2018 ES GMs Mock Draft is complete!

[CommDownMan]

On 4/27/2018 at 2:45 AM, wilco_holland said:

Sooooo

 

I already have my first, second and fourth round player drafted in the real draft. ? Anybody can beat that? 

 

My 1,2,3 all went in first.   But apparently you had a better differential. 

[CommDownMan]

15 minutes ago, jsharrin55 said:

 

My 1,2,3 all went in first.   But apparently you had a better differential. 

 

Then my 4th, a 5th and final 7th weren't drafted at all.  So whomp whomp.  Only other + pick was Joesph Noteboom at 124 (went 89).  Jordan Mailata was even with pick 233.

1 minute ago, jsharrin55 said:

 

Then my 4th, a 5th and final 7th weren't drafted at all.  So whomp whomp.  Only other + pick was Joesph Noteboom at 124 (went 89).  Jordan Mailata was even with pick 233.

 

I did 3 better, 2 push (Quenton Nelson 5/6 I'm calling push), 2 over drafts and 3 total misses.

 

JC Jackson out of MD in 4th, Simmie Cobbs 5th and Steven Richardson 7th.  Which now I will watch to see if they actually do things in the league.

[goskins10]

Hmm.. I took 3 players the Redskins drafted - Guice (a little later - 59 vs 26 - but I did not have the info they did), Settle (although they got him much later 163 vs 44 - if he produces then he was still worth it), and Shaun Dion Hamilton (197 vs 231). 

 

Other players drafted were:

Ogbonnia Okoronkwo - 160 vs 58

Tre'Quan Smith - 92 vs 149

Darious Williams - UDFA - 113

Darius Phillips - 170 - 188

Salesi Uhatafe - UDFA - 241

 

I knew Williams was probably a stretch since he played for a team that did not have football for 2 yrs, but he is going to surprise some people. Not sweating Uhatafe not getting drafted. Bottom end of the 7th is not a huge investment.

 

I am pretty happy with getting 3 players the Redskins took also, even if they were in different spots.

 

 

 

 

[AlvinWaltonIsMyBoy]

I drafted the kicker Carlson for the Vikings in the 6th.  The Vikings drafted him in the 5th.  Respect. 

 

 

 

[CommDownMan]

Skins Simmie Cobbs signed as UDFA.  Now I want him and JC Jackson to join and kick ass so I can pull out a higher 3 year rating  

[Epochalypse]

Michael Joseph

 

Picked him at 255.

 

Went undrafted but seems already signed to the Bears.

 

Otherwise I think I did rather well.

[clskinsfan]

By far my worst year in draft evaluation. I really struggled this year.

 

Mo hurst killed me.

[COWBOY-KILLA-]

Looks like I got an F for Josh Jackson who fell to the 2nd. ?? Oh well.

[Cypress]

I'm really happy with my draft. Was stoked to see Leonard go in the 2nd and Valdes-Scantling in the 5th. Thomas late in the 7th was the only guy that didn't get drafted and I only picked him over Siran Neal because I thought the Chargers had more of a need at LB (consequently they took 2 safeties)  Reid fell 20 spots and Clapp didn't get picked up until late 7th.

 

Even though Derwin James fell into their lap at #17 I feel like my draft was much better for them. Time will tell!

[PokerPacker]

Okay, let's see how I did:

pick no. (actual) Player
14 (17) Derwin James - went a few picks later.  Surprised me, but things happen

45 (66) Lorenzo Carter - Went 20ish picks later.  Not surprised.  Figured it was a reach from the start; could have been worse.

63 (42) Mike Gesicki - Good value.  Makes up for Carter's drop.

101 (44) Donte Pettis - Very good value; got him two rounds after his actual spot.  Deep draft at WR with a lot of different opinions of who goes where, so I didn't want to use an early pick on one.

138 (110) Nick Nelson - Another good value pick taken about a round after his actual spot.  I'm a little surprised he went that high after he blew out his knee, but I guess he's expected to be ready before the season starts, so maybe it didn't worry teams that much.

172 () Poona Ford - I'm rather surprised he wasn't taken.  Great athletic showing at his pro day, and played well in both East-West Shrine game and Senior Bowl.  Biggest detraction is he's short.  Also wasn't invited to the combine.  High priority free agent, in my opinion. (ugh, signed by Seahawks)

186 (192) Jamil Demby - Went just about where I took him.  Seems he was announced as a guard when they drafted him, which fits because I drafted him to convert him to guard

219 (128) Kentavius Street - Taken nearly 111 picks before I drafted him.  Didn't think he'd go that high after injuring himself working out for the Giants.  Freakish athlete for his size, though, and I guess there was a team that didn't care if this would have to be a red-shirt season.

232 () Josh Adams - I guess it was a deep draft at RB, too.  We'll see if he catches on somewhere.  If not, it's not the end of the world; it was a 7th rounder. (signed by Eagles)

[wilco_holland]

Holy ****...

 

All my guys got drafted this year! I have "reached" for one player the rest where "steals". I can't believe it. Yeah I liked my draft but expected a zero total score. ?

[Gibbs Hog Heaven]

4 hours ago, clskinsfan said:

By far my worst year in draft evaluation. I really struggled this year.

 

Mo hurst killed me.

 

Don't beat yourself up. 

 

This (the real) draft showed yet again that most all NFL teams draft firstly on need. As much as they like to say otherwise. And they've reached massively all through one of the maddest, weirdest drafts I can remember. 

 

But yeah, moving up and taking a guy who could not only have a short career but could risk death at any time SO high, regardless of his definite first round, top-tier talent was a HELL of a rick bud that was never gonna' happen in reality. a HELL of a risk. 

 

Hail. 

[Redskin21502]

On 4/15/2018 at 12:18 PM, Redskin21502 said:

with the 196th pick in the 2018 ES Mock Draft the New England Patriots select

 

WR Braxton Berrios from Miami

 

 

Berrios was born to be a slot receiver in the Patriots offense.

 

 

nailed it

[Redskin21502]

Landry-31, went 41 (-10)

Phillips-43, went 96 (-53)

O'Neill-76, went 62 (+14)

Walton-95, went 112 (-17)

Allen-133,  went 148 (-15)

Whitehead-136, went 117 (+19)

Speaks-163, went 46 (+117)

Berrios-196, went 210 (-14)

 

+41 thanks to Speaks

[Chump Bailey]

Pretty happy overall 3 not drafted considering more risk for having 13 picks total...   PLAYER	TEAM	ES DRAFT	ACTUAL	DIFF.
LEIGHTON VANDER ESCH	COWBOYS	15	19	-4
JAMES WASHINGTON	STEELERS	52	60	-8
DUKE DAWSON	PATRIOTS	75	56	19
JAMARCO JONES	SEAHAWKS	79	168	-89
SHAQUEM GRIFFIN	SEAHAWKS	110	141	-31
JOHN KELLY	RAMS	118	176	-58
JAYLN HOLMES	VIKINGS	152	102	50
J'MON MOORE	PACKERS	159	133	26
TROY APKE	REDSKINS	190	109	81
AVONTE MADDOX	EAGLES	193	125	68
KYLIE FITTS	BEARS	217	181	36
NATRELL JAMERSON	SAINTS	222	164	58
				+148

[wilco_holland]

Name	My Pick	Real Pick	Score
Rashaan Evans	29	22	7
Frank Ragnow	61	20	41
Cedrick Wilson	93	208	-115
Terrel Edmunds	129	28	101
Jordan Akins	203	98	105
Bilal Nichols	230	145	85
Chase Edmonds	247	134	113

 

Total score of +337, average per pick +48

 

[Burgold]

12 minutes ago, wilco_holland said:

Name	My Pick	Real Pick	Score
Rashaan Evans	29	22	7
Frank Ragnow	61	20	41
Cedrick Wilson	93	208	-115
Terrel Edmunds	129	28	101
Jordan Akins	203	98	105
Bilal Nichols	230	145	85
Chase Edmonds	247	134	113

 

Total score of +337, average per pick +48

 

Dang! You crushed it. Hire the man.

[ComManDersFan57]

For those interested I've uploaded my spreadsheet to Dropbox here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/14dukfwst6pycah/Mock.xlsx?dl=0

It's a simple scoring method where draft values are used to add weight to the difference in picks. The total is then divided by the number of picks a team had. The same was done for simple pick differences. I'll summarize and make post later today. 

 

[PokerPacker]

21 minutes ago, skinfan57 said:

For those interested I've uploaded my spreadsheet to Dropbox here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/14dukfwst6pycah/Mock.xlsx?dl=0

It's a simple scoring method where draft values are used to add weight to the difference in picks. The total is then divided by the number of picks a team had. The same was done for simple pick differences. I'll summarize and make post later today. 

 

You have Mike Gesicki as going undrafted.  Please fix.

[ComManDersFan57]

44 minutes ago, PokerPacker said:

You have Mike Gesicki as going undrafted.  Please fix.

Thanks! I was sure I was going to miss some due to misspellings. There are probably others. 

[Skinsinparadise]

For the Miami Dolphins

 

1st:  Josh Rosen  #11:  +1

2nd: Mike Hughes #42: +12

3rd: Josh Sweat #73: -57

4th: D. Hamilton #123 +10

4th: Cruikshank  #137 -15

6th:  Philip Lindsay #209 -48 (udf)

7th: T. Walker #227:  +145

7th: K. Robertson #229  -27 (udf)

7th Ito Smith #236 +110

 

Total Points:  +131 

[RWJ]

Congrads, goSkins10.   3 picks out of 7 rounds is very good.  It's hard to even pick one player in the entire 7 rounds.

[ComManDersFan57]

There is an explanation of my scoring system and a link to the spreadsheet a few posts up. Please check it to make sure I didn't miss a player that you picked. They could be UDF in the spreadsheet if their names were spelled differently. 

 

Here's the results:

 

Score By Draft Value Difference / No. Of Picks

1. Jaguars      194.64
2. Jets            115.93
3. Ravens      104.1
4. 49ers           73.45
5. Chargers     65.4
6. Bills             46.8
7. Lions           39.73
8. Broncos      35.02
9. Packers      31.17
10. Rams        31.1
11. Dolphins    26.09
12. Bengals     17.79
13. Browns      13
14. Chiefs          9.9
15. Patriots      -2.01
16. Colts          -4.7
17. Texans        -5.6
18. Bears        -10.23
19. Raiders      -13.68
20. Buccaneers   -19.13
21. Steelers     -20.85
22. Cowboys      -31.27
23. Seahawks     -37.37
24. Titans       -40.27
25. Vikings      -42.62
26. Panthers     -44.78
27. Eagles       -65.33
28. Saints       -67.1
29. Giants       -93.13
30. Redskins    -132.9
31. Cardinals   -145.67
32. Falcons     -264.3

 

Score By Pick Difference / No. Of Picks

1. Jaguars    48.14
2. Browns     24
3. Dolphins   14.44
4. Buccaneers 13.43
5. 49ers       8.18
6. Packers    6.33
7. Patriots    5.13
8. Bengals     0.92
9. Cowboys     -1
10. Raiders     -1.47
11. Chargers   -4.43
12. Chiefs     -5
13. Bears      -7.14
14. Seahawks   -7.86
15. Cardinals  -12
16. Panthers   -12.78
17. Colts      -13.56 
18. Rams       -21.63
19. Ravens     -21.33
20. Bills      -22
21. Steelers   -23.38
22. Jets       -25.5
23. Texans     -25.88
24. Lions      -29.33
25. Vikings    -31.5
26. Eagles     -33.17
27. * Redskins -38
27. * Titans   -38
29. Broncos    -38.7
30. Saints     -51
31. Giants     -59.33
32. Falcons    -93.4
(* tied)

 

Bonuses go to:
Broncos for pick number 233
Falcons for pick 244
 

[wilco_holland]

What is interesting is that one of the better ES drafts was imo the Redskins one but in the real draft they score low. So I'm curious to see who was right. We or the NFL people. 

 

Right now I look like the draft Oracle, but three years from now my class might look trash. So I will put my draft class in my signature to track it. @ZRagone aka clownshoes, do you have any precious draft classes of me in your online database? Last year I did the almost no picks Patriots...year before I don't know. I would like to add does too. 

[goskins10]

53 minutes ago, wilco_holland said:

What is interesting is that one of the better ES drafts was imo the Redskins one but in the real draft they score low. So I'm curious to see who was right. We or the NFL people. 

 

Right now I look like the draft Oracle, but three years from now my class might look trash. So I will put my draft class in my signature to track it. @ZRagone aka clownshoes, do you have any precious draft classes of me in your online database? Last year I did the almost no picks Patriots...year before I don't know. I would like to add does too. 

 

I believe this is who you picked last year. Do you remember what team you had in 2016? I did not record the GMs that year but I have all the selections. Pick positions are for the ES. I did not get the NFL teams except for the ones I selected...