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Presidential Election: 11/3/20 ---Now the President Elect Joe Biden Thread


88Comrade2000
Message added by TK,

 

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1 hour ago, DogofWar1 said:

I worked out a whole system yesterday while I was bored, I'll post it in a little bit.

 

Okay, y'all ready?

 

 

Primary Overhaul:

Round 1 – 3 states from 3 “regions” – Regions A – 3 total

Round 2 – 3 more states from 3 “regions” – Regions A – 6 total

Round 3 – 4 states from 4 “regions” – Regions B – 10 total

Round 4 – 5 states from 5 “regions” – Regions C – 15 total

Round 5 – 7 states from 6 “regions” – Regions D – 22 total

Round 6 – 7 states from 6 “regions” – Regions D – 29 total

Round 7 – 7 states from 6 “regions” – Regions D – 36 total

Round 8 – 14 states from 6 “regions” – Regions D – 50 total

 

For rounds 5-7, the 7th state is determined first by random draw of the region, and then by random draw of the state.  The region from round 5 with the 2nd state cannot have a 2nd state in round 6-7, and region from round 6 with 2nd state also not allowed a 2nd state in round 7.

 

TERRITORIES: American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, Washington D.C. – Assigned a random number 1-8 (2 numbers have nothing), random number is chosen for each round, meaning 6 of 8 rounds will have a territory, and 2 will have no territory voting)

 

Regions A:

-          East, Central, West

-          East: - 17 - Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, West Virginia

-          Central: - 17 - Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas

-          West: - 16 - Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska

 

Regions B:

-          Northeast, South, Midwest, West

-          Northeast: - 12 - Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia

-          South: - 13 - North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kentucky, New Mexico

-          North Central: - 13 - West Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas

-          West: - 12 - Washington, Alaska, Hawaii, Oregon, California, Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado

 

Regions C

-          Northeast, Southeast, Midwest, Central West, West Coast

-          Northeast : - 10 - Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania

-          Southeast: - 10 - Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, West Virginia, Louisiana

-          Midwest: - 10 - Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Illinois, Kentucky, Tennessee, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri

-          Central West: - 10 - North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming, Montana, Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Texas, Arkansas

-          West: - 10 -  Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, Colorado

 

Regions D

-          Northeast, Southeast, Central South, Midwest, Central North, West Coast

-          Northeast: - 9 - Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, New York

-          Southeast: - 8 - Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi

-          Central South: - 8 - Tennessee, Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Missouri, Kentucky

-          Midwest: - 9 - Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa

-          Central North: - 8 – Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Utah

-          West: - 8 - Alaska, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington, California, Idaho, Nevada, Arizona

 

Generalized start date around Feb 1:

-          Round 1 Feb 1

-          Round 2 Feb 14 (2 weeks)

-          Round 3 Feb 28 (2 weeks)

-          Round 4 March 17/18 (2.5 weeks)

-          Round 5 April 7 (3 weeks)

-          Round 6 April 28 (3 weeks)

-          Round 7 May 19 (3 weeks)

-          Round 8 June 10 (3 weeks)

 

 

And for future proofing, if you're in the first 3 rounds in any given cycle you cannot be in the first 3 rounds the next cycle.

 

 

Boom.  Jams.

 

You're welcome, DEMOCRACY.

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26 minutes ago, visionary said:

If Democrats punish Iowa and Republicans treat Iowa the same as usual, seems like it could have negative consequences for Dems in Iowa though. 

 

Democrats shouldn't let Iowa be first because Iowa doesn't represent the party very well, not because they can't run an election (but that certainly doesn't help). 

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2 minutes ago, Warhead36 said:

I'm no Republican supporter but at least they're organized and committed to their cause. The Democratic party is a joke.


Yeah, just a shame that cause is King Trump. 

2 minutes ago, Warhead36 said:

I'm no Republican supporter but at least they're organized and committed to their cause. The Democratic party is a joke.

 

Don’t worry. All of this will be forgotten when the national election is hacked.

 

 

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Just now, Warhead36 said:

I'm no Republican supporter but at least they're organized and committed to their cause. The Democratic party is a joke.

I think this is more of an "Iowa" problem.  Sure the DNC didn't help, but it sounds like more of this is at the feet of the state D party, not the national one.

 

Everybody bends over backwards to try and make the caucus work, and it's just an inherently TERRIBLE system.  Like just the worst.

 

The problems will be rapidly gone once we get to actual primaries with, y'know, actual election infrastructure.

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5 minutes ago, Springfield said:

If Bernie pounded that caucus, would it really be a big deal?

 

Yes, Biden's platform is beating Trump, so if he gets blown out in Iowa it will have a ripple effect to his black support in South Carolina like Obama beating Hillary did in 08.

 

Jus my opinion, but even the rumors this is what's happening that's what I was seeing while watch CNN last night, even if the results come out after New Hampshire the damage was done.  Biden winning Iowa coulda dented what's looking for a Bernie blowout in New Hampshire.

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10 minutes ago, Renegade7 said:

 

Yes, Biden's platform is beating Trump, so if he gets blown out in Iowa it will have a ripple effect to his black support in South Carolina like Obama beating Hillary did in 08.

 

Jus my opinion, but even the rumors this is what's happening that's what I was seeing while watch CNN last night, even if the results come out after New Hampshire the damage was done.  Biden winning Iowa coulda dented what's looking for a Bernie blowout in New Hampshire.

Are there polls showing Bernie winning in a blowout in New Hampshire?

 

 

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/481327-sanders-leading-in-new-hampshire-ahead-of-primary-poll

Quote

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is leading in New Hampshire one week out from the first-in-the-nation presidential primary, according to a Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University poll.

 

The survey, released late Monday, showed Sanders with 24 percent support among likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters. Former Vice President Joe Biden trailed at 18 percent, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 13 percent. 

 

The poll is likely to bode well for Sanders, who overwhelmingly won the state's primary in 2016. 

 

Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg received 11 percent support, while the rest of the field polled at single digits. 

Quote

The candidates are set to hit the ground running in New Hampshire on Tuesday as they await the results out of Iowa. Buttigieg is slated to hold at least five events in the state, while Sanders will hold a town hall and deliver his response to Trump's State of the Union address on Tuesday. 

 

Warren will also hold a town hall in the state and campaign alongside former 2020 Democratic contender Julián Castro. 

 

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18 minutes ago, visionary said:

Are there polls showing Bernie winning in a blowout in New Hampshire?

 

 

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/481327-sanders-leading-in-new-hampshire-ahead-of-primary-poll

 

 

Ya, The Hill put out an article 7 days ago showing Bernie with a 15 point lead

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/480355-poll-sanders-opens-up-15-point-lead-in-new-hampshire

 

I'm not a fan of these polls, but it's what we got, I trust you when it comes to sources, sometimes I dont get what I'm looking at because of so much conflicting information.  I'm jus trying to put two and two together, I think it's fair to say Biden needed Iowa to win New Hampshire, maybe not South Carolina, but definetly New Hampshire.

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11 minutes ago, hail2skins said:

Apparently turnout for the caucuses sucked. Sounds like four more years of Twitter crap talking, folks.

Devils advocate, huge complaint about the caucuses is you have to stay in there for a long period of time, it's not an in and out vote like we get with primaries. If folks got jobs or kids, thatd doesnt sound realistic.

 

Caucuses need to go, it's not cute anymore.

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5 minutes ago, Renegade7 said:

Devils advocate, huge complaint about the caucuses is you have to stay in there for a long period of time, it's not an in and out vote like we get with primaries. If folks got jobs or kids, thatd doesnt sound realistic.

 

Sucks for anyone who can't devote an entire day to this very undemocratic process. I would never caucus personally. It's really dumb that we're still doing this, in Iowa of all places.

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3 minutes ago, No Excuses said:

 

Sucks for anyone who can't devote an entire day to this very undemocratic process. I would never caucus personally. It's really dumb that we're still doing this, in Iowa of all places.

 

Exactly. I can vote in a primary in 5 minutes. I'd never stand around for 4 hours in this nonsense. 

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1 hour ago, tshile said:

It makes me sad klobachar never got traction. 
 

that was my favorite so far :( 

 

if she somehow finished 4th ahead of Biden, she'll stick around awhile.  You never know who might wind up being the compromise candidate if you have two larger factions that can't agree and a 3rd person hanging around waiting for an opportunity.  Don't know if she has the cash to do that though.

 

As far as the caucus thing goes, I admit this sucks but a small part of me would like to experience it once.  I don't know if I'd want to go through a full day of listening to people badger me about why I should switch to their side, but to by a fly on the wall while it is going on, could be interesting.

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