skinsmarydu Posted August 11, 2023 Share Posted August 11, 2023 Thunderstorms abound. It looks more like evening than morning right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PleaseBlitz Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-forecasters-increase-atlantic-hurricane-season-prediction-to-above-normal NOAA forecasters increase Atlantic hurricane season prediction to ‘above normal’ Quote Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity with today’s update. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Nino event. NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has decreased to 25%, down from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook. This new update gives the Atlantic a 15% chance of seeing a below-normal season. NOAA’s update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. These updated ranges include storms that have already formed this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted August 12, 2023 Share Posted August 12, 2023 Extremely hot & humid here, finally gave way to some t-storms. 💥 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ixcuincle Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 3 pm about to leave the house and sky's dark as **** out this is not alaska. when did the sun go down at 3 pm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PleaseBlitz Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Serious storm here in ALX. Tornado warning also in effect. Could get dicey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Sinister Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 So I guess I wasn't the only one that was in the middle of that 3 minute Cat 5 hurricane ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PleaseBlitz Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Old Town ALX. For comparison: The stormwater conduit (Backlick Run) near my house usually, versus today. Vid in second pic taken from atop the bridge in the first pic. IMG_2816.mp4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Sinister Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Yeah that dumped a **** ton of rain in very little time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoCommiesGo Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 On 8/11/2023 at 8:35 PM, PleaseBlitz said: NOAA forecasters increase Atlantic hurricane season prediction to ‘above normal’ It's going to be interesting if congress does nothing to add additional funds to the Disaster Relief Fund. September is the last month expected to have cash on hand without adding additional appropriations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 Woke up early to 64 degrees. Windows are OPEN!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeTheBeal! Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 12th Commandment Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 Hoping to get a little bit of residual moisture from ol Hilldawg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Evil Genius Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 40 minutes ago, TradeTheBeal! said: I see lots of flooding if it hits SoCal and eventually NorCal. We need the rain (as always), but the flooding isn't ever needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeTheBeal! Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 Up to Cat 4! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Evil Genius Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 A years worth of rain in 1 storm for a lot of places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeTheBeal! Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 I’ve got some friends out in LA this weekend for the Morning Jacket Sunday show at the Hollywood Bowl. And it’s starting to look pretty dicey… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Evil Genius Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 Sunday in SoCal is not the place I would want to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGreatBuzz Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 Anyone on ES gonna be affected by this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 12th Commandment Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 It's looking like it will be just west of us in southern NM. I hope we get some moisture out of it which we badly need, but we don't need a years worth in one day. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koolblue13 Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 Hoping my morning dive isn't too affected, but disc golf is going to be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeTheBeal! Posted August 19, 2023 Share Posted August 19, 2023 Welp… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ixcuincle Posted August 21, 2023 Share Posted August 21, 2023 https://www.instagram.com/reel/CwGlnswhrum/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA== 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ixcuincle Posted August 21, 2023 Share Posted August 21, 2023 https://www.instagram.com/reel/CwNljDepn3D/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
China Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fergasun Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 Do I get a t-shirt? Lots of rain. All day. Then we had an earthquake. Some point after 9 pm it went away. Still getting aftershocks, but I am not too close to the epicenter. Small flooding in my neighborhood this AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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