Koolblue13 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 37 minutes ago, RichmondRedskin88 said: I know people like to go overboard on destruction but as someone who basically grew up studying hurricanes and twisters like a obsession my biggest worry was other hurricane hits the heart of the keys putting Miami in the right front or it hitting the gulf where it would turn into a bomb. Needless it's taking one of my bad paths. And there's nothing but warns waters between Cuba and Florida. My comment early this morning with my weather friend on social media was if the track shifted west you are looking at massive destruction. Keys absolutely destroyed. Now everyone is coming back like that is what they are predicting now. Wish I was wrong. Miami floods from thunderstorms. This monster is going to **** it up. Crazy storm surge and winds. Not that much rain. Hoping the warm waters before Florida don't strengthen it up more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 Latest from NHC is that it's back to being more of a direct slice through the middle of FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 You know, I never thought I'd say this, but Tennessee and Kentucky need to be prepared for a tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeTheBeal! Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, d0ublestr0ker0ll said: You know, I never thought I'd say this, but Tennessee and Kentucky need to be prepared for a tropical storm. Theyre gonna lose a lot of trees and thousands will be without power. Tens of thousands. Edited September 7, 2017 by TryTheBeal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koolblue13 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 https://www.gofundme.com/irma-relief-for-our-sister-islands Here's a reputable fundraiser for the US islands. I took a jeep load down this morning and helped put the dock together. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tshile Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 1 hour ago, d0ublestr0ker0ll said: Cat 3, looks like it will hit the eastern-most islands before taking an early turn north, and hopefully OTS. irma's so strong it appears to knock jose off course and out to sea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FanboyOf91 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Going over Lake Okeechobee = bad news for central Florida. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Just saw an update on WSB-TV...they say it's gonna slow down to a cat 1/tropical storm as it comes through GA. Predicting gusts Monday/Tuesday up to 60 mph, with some rain. Mandatory evac in effect for areas east of I-95, and I-16 will contraflow traffic northbound/inland starting Saturday at 8 am. We've got some stuff to tie down this weekend, and other than some extra flashlight batteries, I think we've got everything. Watching out for the porch kitties is my only real concern. *and possibly trees coming down* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, skinsmarydu said: Just saw an update on WSB-TV...they say it's gonna slow down to a cat 1/tropical storm as it comes through GA. Predicting gusts Monday/Tuesday up to 60 mph, with some rain. Mandatory evac in effect for areas east of I-95, and I-16 will contraflow traffic northbound/inland starting Saturday at 8 am. We've got some stuff to tie down this weekend, and other than some extra flashlight batteries, I think we've got everything. Watching out for the porch kitties is my only real concern. *and possibly trees coming down* Assuming you're off the beaten path of the eye wall a bit, where are you at again? Sustained winds near the eye of a Cat 1 are 74-95 MPH, tropical storm sustained winds can be as low as 39 mph, but that's the lowest. Gusts suck, but the constant wind is the signature of tropical cyclones. A cat 1 or upper tier tropical storm hitting an area that practically never sees this sort of event will be in for a brand new experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
visionary Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malapropismic Depository Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 2 hours ago, Koolblue13 said: Miami floods from thunderstorms. This monster is going to **** it up. Crazy storm surge and winds. Not that much rain. Hoping the warm waters before Florida don't strengthen it up more. It amazes me how many people have the attitude, "Well, I've survived numerous hurricanes before, so I'll survive this one". They're lulled into a false sense of security based on their past experience, by not realizing this storm doesn't even compare to anything they've ever been through. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koolblue13 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 1 hour ago, tshile said: irma's so strong it appears to knock jose off course and out to sea... I hope so. Cat 3 hurricane ain't no joke when you're prepared. But after Irma? **** you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 2 hours ago, Koolblue13 said: Miami floods from thunderstorms. This monster is going to **** it up. Crazy storm surge and winds. Not that much rain. Hoping the warm waters before Florida don't strengthen it up more. The "good" news is that, environmental (upper air) conditions look like they won't be as perfect for Irma as they have been. So despite the warm waters, we probably will not see much more strengthening with it. Plus she'll be interacting with land which could disrupt her circulation a bit. While not necessarily weakening a storm like this, it doesn't help them. Plus she's getting long in the tooth. To sustain this much energy for this long is not easy. That being said she still forecast to be an absolute powerhouse by the time she comes to visit Florida. By no means should anyone take this lightly if they hear she may weaken a bit. If it happens she'll only be weakening from one of the strongest storms ever to...one of the strongest storms in decades. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Near Stone Mountain in ATL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinfan2k Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 my cousin is ok. US marines are taking him to chicago. The island is now considered inhabitable 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted September 8, 2017 Author Share Posted September 8, 2017 (edited) 23 minutes ago, skinsmarydu said: Near Stone Mountain in ATL. That's right. Nah man, prep as best you can for a serious continuous storm. **** that forecast. Even if they end up being right, this is a freak storm. 38 minutes ago, Skins24 said: The "good" news is that, environmental (upper air) conditions look like they won't be as perfect for Irma as they have been. So despite the warm waters, we probably will not see much more strengthening with it. Plus she'll be interacting with land which could disrupt her circulation a bit. While not necessarily weakening a storm like this, it doesn't help them. Plus she's getting long in the tooth. To sustain this much energy for this long is not easy. That being said she still forecast to be an absolute powerhouse by the time she comes to visit Florida. By no means should anyone take this lightly if they hear she may weaken a bit. If it happens she'll only be weakening from one of the strongest storms ever to...one of the strongest storms in decades. Hurricane Patricia in 2015 should be considered a Cat 6 or 7 hurricane, but only killed 7 people when it hit western Mexico. Atlantic hurricanes are, on the whole, weaker than Pacific hurricanes. So Irma is at a disadvantage when comparing all tropical cyclones. Hurricane Andrew in 1992 is where you have to look for a comparison. Andrew cut through south FL from the direct west. Irma is going zip up the body of FL. Here is a gif fading Andrew in and out: Edited September 8, 2017 by d0ublestr0ker0ll 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
visionary Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LD0506 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Wife has a friend in Broward county that is riding it out because they literally could not get gas to leave. Would suck to have your choices being made for you that way. Hang tight people, be ready to rise up afterwards and make yourself proud the way Houston et. al. had to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koolblue13 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Stroker, that's Andrew vs Irma? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinfan2k Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 i have other family who is leaving FL too. I'm so grateful that this stuff doesnt hit MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koolblue13 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Just now, skinfan2k said: i have other family who is leaving FL too. I'm so grateful that this stuff doesnt hit MD Yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinfan2k Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Koolblue13 said: Yet the geography of this area makes it very hard for hurricanes of this level to come up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, skinfan2k said: the geography of this area makes it very hard for hurricanes of this level to come up the coast. Yep, geography is everything. Georgia hasn't been directly hit in nearly 100 years because of that curve in. North Carolina saves us by sticking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCS Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, Koolblue13 said: Stroker, that's Andrew vs Irma? Good to see you up and at 'em. Yep. http://grist.org/briefly/heres-why-irma-is-a-monster-hurricane-in-one-gif/ Saw this on Facebook earlier today on a page devoted to all those generations of folks who "survived" Homestead AFB before Andrew shut it down. Know people who were there for Andrew and are now going to be there for Irma. Several of those who were there for Andrew are bugging out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, d0ublestr0ker0ll said: That's right. Nah man, prep as best you can for a serious continuous storm. **** that forecast. Even if they end up being right, this is a freak storm. Hurricane Patricia in 2015 should be considered a Cat 6 or 7 hurricane, but only killed 7 people when it hit western Mexico. Atlantic hurricanes are, on the whole, weaker than Pacific hurricanes. So Irma is at a disadvantage when comparing all tropical cyclones. Hurricane Andrew in 1992 is where you have to look for a comparison. Yep, I should have specified in the Atlantic. Even the eastern Pac hurricanes don't hold a candle to the typhoons of the western Pacific. They rule all. I don't think Tip will ever be topped (that's what she said?) Edited September 8, 2017 by Skins24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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