Skins24

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Everything posted by Skins24

  1. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Yes, Jose is a Cat 4 and might clip some of the northern isles but generally a fish storm. No Lee yet. Not even an organized tropical wave to produce a Lee.
  2. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Yep, I should have specified in the Atlantic. Even the eastern Pac hurricanes don't hold a candle to the typhoons of the western Pacific. They rule all. I don't think Tip will ever be topped (that's what she said?)
  3. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Yep, geography is everything. Georgia hasn't been directly hit in nearly 100 years because of that curve in. North Carolina saves us by sticking out.
  4. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    The "good" news is that, environmental (upper air) conditions look like they won't be as perfect for Irma as they have been. So despite the warm waters, we probably will not see much more strengthening with it. Plus she'll be interacting with land which could disrupt her circulation a bit. While not necessarily weakening a storm like this, it doesn't help them. Plus she's getting long in the tooth. To sustain this much energy for this long is not easy. That being said she still forecast to be an absolute powerhouse by the time she comes to visit Florida. By no means should anyone take this lightly if they hear she may weaken a bit. If it happens she'll only be weakening from one of the strongest storms ever to...one of the strongest storms in decades.
  5. Thoroughly pleased with the episode. Rick had a Sam L moment - I'm tired of these mother****** walkers in this mother****** town! Glad Sam is gone. Yes Glenn's invincibility is ridiculous. I don't think Gabe survives but I don't think he'll betray them again.
  6. Skins24

    The Official Washington Wizards Thread: The JOHN WALL ERA

    Not even mad...good show. Wish we could clone Wall in various sizes....
  7. So if it was Rick....they rescue him from the RV, then just let him run to Alexandria?
  8. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Amazing Hope everyone gets to enjoy! Today, ironically enough, is also the first time this season snow (showers) show up in the long range
  9. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    You received approximately 3/4ths of a chuckle for that one mcsluggo Hope everyone gets out and enjoys tomorrow's record or near record warmth. While no cold air invasions for the near term, this weekend will be only a notch or two above 'cold' in the 'chilly' realm. We moderate a bit next week but by this time next week we may be experiencing our last 60 degree day, at least for a while. GFS has also been very consistent with a mid month storm/cold front after which reaching 50 will be a struggle, even a no go at times. We'll see.
  10. Wait. You guys didn't know old town has a rock quarry in the middle of it? Glenn is...not dead, yet, I don't think. I think they find him alive, but scratched or bitten and have their chance at a proper goodbye before he goes....
  11. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Think we may have to start the winter thread next week. No current winter precip threats on the horizon, but there's every indication that by the second week of November winterish temps (highs in the 40s, lows in the 20s-low 30s) will be visiting and spending some quality time with us.
  12. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Woah! Joaquin took some steroids! Cat 4 again Only a threat to Bermuda currently
  13. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Looking at the water vapor is by far the best way to see all the players in motion
  14. Stricter gun laws? Sure. All for it. Why not? But I hope no one is under the illusion that would do anything to stop incidents like we've seen today...
  15. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    ALL models, or at least all the ones with any credibility, have sided with the out to sea solution today. It's taking it's time turning but as of RIGHT NOW a U.S. landfall appears unlikely. We'll see what tomorrow's runs bring!
  16. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Latest NHC track has it coming up the bay, going over DC as a tropical storm
  17. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    They were spread evenly I would say between Sat. and Sun. Now most leaning towards Sunday. A little too early to pin down timing.NHC has it coming on shore Monday...
  18. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    Yeah models are starting to come in agreement as far as track. It looks very Isabelish right now in terms of impacts on this area. Definitely needs to be monitored closely.
  19. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    So, it looks like Saturday will be the big day. Latest GFS joins other models in bringing tropical storm force winds even in the DC area. But winds will be a secondary issue...rain will be the big story. Very complicated forecast as several storms are in play and how they all interact with each other bears very close watching. Some models are more perfect stormish than others but nevertheless, all give us at least about 10" of rain between now and Sunday.
  20. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    El Nino will ensure this season stays quiet. We are a month away from peak and the Atlantic is absolutely dead right now. Which is great! The hurricane drought continues! I think the 2005 season broke the Atlantic...
  21. Skins24

    The Non-Winter Weather Thread

    I love May! This will be the best stretch of weather since early September! Enjoy!!
  22. I predict rain will fall in a rainforest... Could you please repost that study? Or do you know what they cited would be different in a "climate change drought" over a regular drought in a drought prone area? How do we know the difference?
  23. That's a trick question. The climate is ALWAYS changing. The Earth has and will always have extreme weather events. So....
  24. HAS to be >30 years as we have natural short-term cycles that last that long...