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Election 2018 Thread (An Adult Finally Has the Gavel)


PleaseBlitz

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All the early signs are encouraging for the fall elections but in the first of the 2 most important elections in modern American history; depends on turnout.

 

What Trump/GOP is doing so far on immigration and plans to do between now and the election, are designed to make sure the GOP base turns out.

 

The only way the Dems can counter that is to have historic turnout for the midterms.  Something the democratic base has been sorely lacking this decade.  You need presidential level turnout, to counteract the GOP turnout.

 

All the turnout in the primaries has been great but I want see that in the fall vs their GOP opponent.  If you think things are bad now, just think what Trump & the GOP will do between Nov. 2018 and the Nov. 2020 election; if it's Trump and full GOP control. 

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Went to a farmers market in Burke on Saturday, saw a D table at the entrance and an R table right after.  It’s surreal seeing Corey Stewart headlining a statewide race.  It’s surreal seeing the average looking white folks supporting his racist, fearmongering rhetoric.

 

Im disappointed in VA as a state for even voting him on the ticket.  I hope Kane dismantles him.

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More from Monmouth on that poll:

 

Quote

The race for Virginia’s 10th Congressional District starts out with the GOP Republican incumbent trailing by ten points according to the Monmouth University Poll.  Pres. Donald Trump and the overall Republican brand hamper Rep. Barbara Comstock’s chances to retain her seat against her lesser-known Democratic challenger, state legislator Jennifer Wexton.

 

Wexton holds a 49% to 39% lead over Comstock among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 86% of all registered voters in the district).  The race does not look significantly different using two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Wexton a 50% to 41% lead, while a model that includes a turnout surge in areas where Pres. Donald Trump is unpopular gives Wexton a 51% to 40% lead.

 

Half the voters in this district identify themselves as independents, and Wexton leads among this group by 45% to 36%. She also has stronger support among her fellow Democrats (97% to 1% for Comstock) than Comstock has among her fellow Republicans (85% to 10% for Wexton).

Like most Republican candidates across the country, the incumbent can count on solid support from white voters who have not graduated college – a group she leads by 50% to 38%. The problem for Comstock, though, is that 6-in-10 voters in VA-10 actually hold a college degree – which is higher than the national average. Wexton leads among white college graduates by 50% to 41%. She also leads among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters regardless of education level by 62% to 21%.

 

“This part of the commonwealth was a critical factor in the blue wave that elected Democrats in last year’s election for governor and state legislature.  Not much has changed in the political environment since then, with Pres. Trump creating a significant drag for Comstock,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

 

The incumbent’s reelection prospects are weighted down by voters’ negative views of Pres. Trump – 53% disapprove of the job he has done compared to 42% who approve. Importantly, those who strongly disapprove (47%) far outnumber those who strongly approve (24%).  Also, 70% of those who oppose the president’s actions say it is very important for them to cast a vote in the House race that shows their feelings about the president. A smaller number of those who support the president (58%) say the same about their House vote.  More VA-10 voters say Comstock has been too supportive of Trump (34%) than say she has either been not supportive enough (17%) or has offered the right amount of support (23%). Another 26% are not sure.

 

It will be interesting to see if Comstock has any reaction at all to the tea leaves.  She's not a crazy right winger that thinks all polls are FAKE NEWS (unless they are favorable).  She made some sporadic anti-Trump noises a year ago when Trump was historically unpopular, but stopped when his numbers crept up to merely very unpopular.  She's damned if she does, damned if she doesn't.  Still, the prospect of losing her job might jolt her into following her conscious (not entirely clear that she has one) and stating the obvious about Trump's terrible policies and unfitness for the job.  

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25 minutes ago, Corcaigh said:

After today's SCOTUS decision, the 2018 elections have increased massively in importance. 

 

 

 

Maybe if my fellow Dems had voted in 2014 midterms...we wouldn't have had a GOP denial of (to even consider) a SCOTUS nomination in early 2016 and then a quick slam dunk of a Gorsuch appointmentntment in 2017. 

 

That should always be remembered from here on out.

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18 minutes ago, The Evil Genius said:

 

Maybe if my fellow Dems had voted in 2014 midterms...we wouldn't have had a GOP denial of (to even consider) a SCOTUS nomination in early 2016 and then a quick slam dunk of a Gorsuch appointmentntment in 2017. 

 

That should always be remembered from here on out.

 

We had less than 50% turnout in 2017 for the VA governor's election. This was just a few months after actual Nazis armed with assault rifles were marching in the state, and killing a protestor. And the head of the GoP supported them.

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4 minutes ago, PleaseBlitz said:

 

His Republicans opponents response was “voters should hold candidates accountable when it comes to values and ethics as well.”

 

Which is a ringing endorsement for voting against the GOP everywhere. 

 

if you were quoting mine, that was a Dem primary.

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