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Election 2018 Thread (An Adult Finally Has the Gavel)


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Oprah's absolutely killing it....while i'm fully aware of all that is Oprah, i'm not someone who follows/watches her or has meaningful feels/views about her politics or social commentary in general, but she is impressive, speaking, imo

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1 hour ago, BenningRoadSkin said:

 

 

As always, GOP criticizes Dems for identity politics, but its a projection because they are all about (white) identity politics.

 

More from this pile:

 

https://www.vox.com/2018/10/30/18035336/white-evangelicals-immigration-nationalism-christianity-refugee-honduras-migrant

 

The Bible says to welcome immigrants. So why don’t white evangelicals?

 

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In January, a Washington Post/ABC poll found that a staggering 75 percent of white evangelicals in the US described “the federal crackdown on undocumented immigrants” as a positive thing, compared to just 46 percent of Americans overall. And according to a Pew Research Center poll in May, 68 percent of white evangelicals say that America has no responsibility to house refugees, a full 25 points over the national average.

 

White evangelicals are the only Christian group to express this level of hostility toward refugees. While just 25 percent of them say they think Americans should house refugees, white mainline Protestants, black Protestants, and Catholics all express support for refugees by between 43 and 65 points. Meanwhile, according to another July poll by the Public Religion Research Initiative (PRRI), more than half of white evangelicals report feeling concerned about America’s declining white population.

 

The Bible contains numerous passages that seem to straightforwardly exhort care for the poor, immigrants, and refugees. Isaiah 10, for example, sees God excoriating those who “turn aside the needy from justice and to rob the poor of my people of their right.” In Matthew 25 (which a Methodist pastor quoted to Jeff Sessions Monday while protesting his speech), Jesus warns his followers that those who withhold care from the poor or the refugee — “the least of these” — are seen as having done it to Jesus himself. Plenty of other verses — Leviticus 19:33–34, Jeremiah 7:5–7, Ezekiel 47:22, Zechariah 7:9–10 — express similar sentiments.

 

Generally speaking, white American evangelicals have, at least since the 1970s, been wary of counting nonwhites or non-Americans among this “least.” As historian Randall Balmer has frequently argued, the rise of the Moral Majority and the Reagan-era political evangelical religious right in America was due as much to objections to desegregation as to more obvious contentious issues like LGBTQ rights and abortion. For as long as white evangelicals have been a politically robust force, white American identity, GOP party politics, and evangelical theology have been all but inextricable.

 

That said, the age of Trump — and the Christian nationalism he has frequently evoked as a rhetorical campaign strategy — has seen white evangelical nativist rhetoric take on a more politicized role. As Messiah College professor and historian John Fea told Vox in September, white evangelical pastors — and thus their parishioners — are increasingly willing to take their sermon talking points and “marching orders” from an administration buoyed, in part, by its embrace of nativism.

 

Prominent evangelical leaders, including those who serve on Trump’s unofficial evangelical advisory council, have openly cast doubt on what Christians owe to refugees. For example, in July, as debate over immigration raged in the aftermath of Trump’s controversial migrant family separation policy, Paula White — a longtime Trump adviser and well-known prosperity gospel preacher — used the Bible to defend Trump’s policies.

 

She told CBN that those Christians who argued that Jesus was a “refugee” were wrong. “Yes,” she said, “[Jesus] did live in Egypt for three and a half years. But it was not illegal. If He had broken the law, then He would have been sinful and He would not have been our Messiah.”

 

 

Totally unrelated to the above

 

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

 

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Our best guesses right now:

House: Right now, we have 212 House seats at least leaning to the Democrats, 202 at least leaning to the Republicans, and 21 Toss-ups. While we’re still gathering information about the Toss-ups, we do have a sense as to where we’re leaning in the races. As of this moment, we’d probably pick the Democrats in 12 of the Toss-ups and Republicans in nine of them. That would amount to a Democratic House gain of 29 seats. So let’s say, for now, we’re thinking an overall Democratic gain of somewhere around 30 seats, give or take. That’s more than the 23 net seats the Democrats need, but not so many more that one could rule out the Democrats sputtering out short of the majority.

 

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 I've been harping that point ever since Trump's campaign kicked into high gear, that the entire #MAGA stuff was a virtue signal to white people (in general) that "what was once theirs, is being taken...let's go get it back"  It didn't start with Trump, but he was the guy to come along and take it mainstream and turn the volume up to 11.

 

The GOP has for too long got away with this because the Democrats/Liberals have reached out to many different identities and taken on their individual causes, made it easy to point at that and say "identity politics" while the GOP has largely done the same exact thing, except they are reaching out and appealing to a single identity.

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AMERICA’S FOUNDING FATHERS envisioned a republic in which free-thinking voters would carefully consider the proposals of office-seekers. Today, however, demography seems to govern voters’ choices. Since April 2017 The Economist and YouGov, a pollster, have surveyed 1,500 Americans each week. We have built a statistical model to estimate the odds of how each respondent will vote in next week’s mid-term elections.

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2018/11/03/how-to-forecast-an-americans-vote

 

I'm 86% chance for voting Democratic

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18 hours ago, visionary said:

 

 

 

 

??

 

Such ****ing bull****. Another example of republicans clearly creating legislature for one purpose ... deny citizens the constitutional right to vote.

 

So ****ing pissed at this ... so ****ing bull****

 

NA make us a significant voting block for N Dakota ... but since they swing left, the right wants to stop them from voting.

 

so ****ing mad

 

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https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/414579-georgia-judge-rules-against-kemp-in-exact-match-voting-case

 

Judge determines Georgia 'exact match' rule won't apply to midterms

 

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A federal judge ruled Friday that Georgia's "exact match" rules for voter registration will not apply for next week's midterm, allowing people to vote who have seen their voter registration held up.

 

It's a significant victory for Democrats, who had worried the rule could keep some of their voters away from the polls during Tuesday's midterm elections. 

 

it's also a defeat for Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp, the GOP gubernatorial candidate who had advocated for the rule. His opponent in the governor's race, Democrat Stacy Abrams, had argued against it.

 

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