just654 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 We had 28 inches of snow in February of 2010 in a Friday-Sunday storm, and schools were closed all week. I think if DC gets the 30 inches they're expected to get, it will be the same thing again-schools and work places closed all week I don't disagree. I just really want to put it down. Still possible it gets cleaned up a little quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I was in SoMD in '96, don't remember that much. The late '70's though we're real bad. The '79 storm is ranked 3rd all time for DC http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter_storm-pr#TopDaySnowfall Please note, the amounts listed for DC are at Reagan (except for 1899 and '22 I believe - which is what we're gunning for this storm ) which is in some weird snowhole. The amounts for DC itself and of course the burbs are always much higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
just654 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 EURO Running looks really good for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sticksboi05 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Just to put in perspective how incredible 1996 was: Forecast for this week's storm: Blizzard of 96 snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellis Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Freaking Obama! He does it once again. Thanks, Snowbama!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamesMadisonSkins Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That forecast map is very conservative. I wouldn't compare a conservative projection 2 days out with actual from 1996. I've seen some talk of this rivaling the Knickerbocker 1922 storm for biggest ever. That white spot over DC in the 12Z GFS is not 30" ... It's 30"+ ... Based on a 10-1" snow to rain calculation ... Lots of storms see some 12 and even 14 to 1 ratios depending on temps ... That 30"+ could be much higher. But that bullseye will shift 4-5 more times before Friday. The Thursday midnight runs will be very telling. Also, Accuweather sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
just654 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 EURO in 2.1 IAD 1.9 BWI 2.0 DCA 2.3 Winchester 2.1 Frederick 1.9 Richmond About 20-24inches for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TD_washingtonredskins Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I just can't imagine this region getting anything approaching 40 inches of snow. I understand that it CAN happen, but I just can't wrap my head around it actually coming to fruition. What were the totals for the storms a couple years back? We never eclipsed 2 feet did we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sticksboi05 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That forecast map is very conservative. I wouldn't compare a conservative projection 2 days out with actual from 1996. I've seen some talk of this rivaling the Knickerbocker 1922 storm for biggest ever. That white spot over DC in the 12Z GFS is not 30" ... It's 30"+ ... Based on a 10-1" snow to rain calculation ... Lots of storms see some 12 and even 14 to 1 ratios depending on temps ... That 30"+ could be much higher. But that bullseye will shift 4-5 more times before Friday. The Thursday midnight runs will be very telling. Also, Accuweather sucks I doubt anyone sees 30 inches in the D.C. area. Maybe out west in the mountains. Can't take the QPF verbatim. 18-24 with locally higher right now is a good call for the D.C. area. But I was more referring to 1996 as far as the entire East Coast is concerned. To put down that massive a swath of 20-30 inches in insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingGibbs Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hey Bang. I'm guessing the world dding reception will be at Kurtz Beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I just can't imagine this region getting anything approaching 40 inches of snow. I understand that it CAN happen, but I just can't wrap my head around it actually coming to fruition. What were the totals for the storms a couple years back? We never eclipsed 2 feet did we? The back to back in 2010? Yes. Everyone (except National) did with the first storm. With the second, it varied but I don't recall anyone seeing less than a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
just654 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 I just can't imagine this region getting anything approaching 40 inches of snow. I understand that it CAN happen, but I just can't wrap my head around it actually coming to fruition. What were the totals for the storms a couple years back? We never eclipsed 2 feet did we? Most places did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TD_washingtonredskins Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The back to back in 2010? Yes. Everyone (except National) did with the first storm. With the second, it varied but I don't recall anyone seeing less than a foot. Most places did Got it, I think I got confused since it was two separate storms. I think I also blacked out for 18 hours after all the shoveling. I'm getting old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18-24 with locally higher right now is a good call for the D.C. area. That's what I'm going with until the 0z runs tonight. It's being sampled, they've sent up weather balloons (a hurricane hunter is going in tomorrow,) we're getting good data now. If the models continue to show what they're showing...going to be hard to predict less than two feet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpage520 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 At this point, as long as this snow happens THIS weekend, and not next I should be fine. I'm moving next weekend. Lol Go ahead and blizzard now Old Man Winter. Just leave next weekend alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Predicto Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Headline: Wedding turns into funeral, cannibalism Survivor: It was rough. We were trapped. We did what we had to do. Reporter: It was 48 hours. Survivor: The cake had coconut icing. Fixed that for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Califan007 The Constipated Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ok, so at what point will the predictions from the models and GFS and Oz and QMB and XYZ and what-the-****-ever else has been listed start to be taken as accurate by youse guys? lol...My mom lives in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpage520 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Apparently NoVa is getting some snow early. Winter weather advisory here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
just654 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ok, so at what point will the predictions from the models and GFS and Oz and QMB and XYZ and what-the-****-ever else has been listed start to be taken as accurate by youse guys? lol...My mom lives in DC. lol, we are getting to that point. This afternoon model runs were really important and same goes for tonight's. You will start to see first guess maps coming out tonight. As a general 18-24inches across the area is a good bet. There will be places that get higher than that. It has to do were that banding sets up. Models have some trouble predicting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeddyKGB Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The worry I have is with the sever winds 30-50mph+ during the heat of the storm starting Saturday AM - drifts and visibility will be crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
just654 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Here is a good first call Map TV Mets might go a little low tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Califan007 The Constipated Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Here is a good first call Map TV Mets might go a little low tonight Is Washington DC in the pink area?...Didn't see it listed by name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wantarace17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 NOVA/DC area is pretty much the bullseye. You guys could be looking at 20-30 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpage520 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 LMAO And meanwhile, Georgia issues a Winter Storm Warning "State of Emergency" over 2.5in of wintery mix. Yeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Damn man. Snow lover. Just moved away from central Moco. 2 feet? ****. Enjoy. It'll be cloudy and dreary here. Unbelievable. My dog would friggin' be in heaven playing in this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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