Census 2020: First results show near historically low population growth and a first-ever congressional seat loss for California

[The Evil Genius]

https://www.brookings.edu/research/census-2020-data-release/

 

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The first results of the 2020 census are finally here, definitively showing that the 2010s saw the second-lowest population growth in the nation’s history. Among all 50 states, 37 grew more slowly in the 2010s than in the previous decade, and three states lost population—the largest number of such states since the 1980s. The constitutionally mandated reapportionment of members of Congress based on the 2020 census indicates a reallocation of seven seats across various states—most notably, the first-ever loss of a seat for California.

 

The 2020 census results are released in several stages. This first release of total populations for states was scheduled to occur last December. However, collection and processing issues associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and natural disasters delayed the release until now.

 

The purpose of this first set of numbers, articulated in the U.S. Constitution, is to provide the basis for allocating members of the House of Representatives across states, taking into account population changes that have occurred since the prior census. At the same time, these numbers provide a definitive assessment of how populations across each state and the nation have shifted over the prior decade.

Below are key findings from the new census data associated with national, regional, and state populations, as well as the reapportionment of seats in the House of Representatives.

 

A lot of interesting info at the link. I'm still trying to figure out the math on the apportionments, in light of California losing a seat despite a 2 million increase in population (a 6% growth). 

 

Found this interesting as well...

 

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Electoral College gains may no longer favor Republicans

The new reapportionment pattern puts recent Sun Belt population gains in historical perspective. Over the 100-year period from 1920 to 2020, three Sun Belt states—California, Florida, and Texas—have gained the most congressional seats due to reapportionment, with additions of 41, 24, and 20 seats, respectively.

However, in the most recent three decades, many new Sun Belt population gains have occurred in the interior parts of the West and South, as migrants and new immigrants began to disperse to other states in these regions. The cumulative shifts in seats over this period have not only given multiple seats to Texas and Florida but also to Arizona, Georgia, Colorado, Nevada, and North Carolina.

 

The political dimension of this shift should not go unnoticed, as reapportionment has increased the Electoral College clout of these particular states. As recently as 2000, each of these seat-gaining Sun Belt states voted fairly consistently for Republican candidates in presidential elections. However, the demographics of each have changed in ways that already or may soon shift each of them to the Democratic column.

 

So, while the reapportionment additions to Sun Belt states have long been seen to favor Republican candidates in the Electoral College, this is not as likely to be the case for future presidential elections.

 

NY lost a seat because they were 89 people shy. Wow.

 

 

Edited April 27, 2021 by The Evil Genius

[China]

 

[The 12th Commandment]

We obviously need to step up with the replacements and what not. 

 

I seriously have to wonder how badly the Trump admin purposefully undercounted.

[LadySkinsFan]

I see Texas gained two seats. With the Republican Death Cult in charge here, I expect very creative gerrymandering to make them Red.

[The Evil Genius]

I nominate Nunes or McCarthy for the lost California seat. 

[mammajamma]

4 minutes ago, The Evil Genius said:

I nominate Nunes or McCarthy for the lost California seat. 

i read its most likely in an LA district, which makes zero sense to me, since most of the so-called California "exodus" was either from the bay area or republicans in red areas

 

as far as texas goes, let the gerrymandering gold rush begin!

[Llevron]

Let’s not forget they basically threatened minorities with ICE. I’m sure that had an effect.

[mammajamma]

5 minutes ago, Llevron said:

Let’s not forget they basically threatened minorities with ICE. I’m sure that had an effect.

good point, and definitely could be an influence on why parts of LA are losing a district. CA might have a grounds for a lawsuit there

[Destino]

1 hour ago, KAOSkins said:

We obviously need to step up with the replacements and what not. 

 

I seriously have to wonder how badly the Trump admin purposefully undercounted.

It’s safer to assume everything Trump oversaw is tainted.  Biden should announce that the census is being redone and not mince words by saying “it’s because Trump can’t be trusted”

[Springfield]

Wow people are flocking to conservative destinations like Florida and Texas. Hope it backfires.

[The Evil Genius]

31 minutes ago, Springfield said:

Wow people are flocking to conservative destinations like Florida and Texas. Hope it backfires.

 

It largely turns them bluer.

[DCSaints_fan]

1 hour ago, mammajamma said:

good point, and definitely could be an influence on why parts of LA are losing a district. CA might have a grounds for a lawsuit there

Which would eventually end up in the Supreme Court, which is controlled by ....

[mammajamma]

3 minutes ago, DCSaints_fan said:

Which would eventually end up in the Supreme Court, which is controlled by ....

ya.. wondering if it'd at least delay the restructuring of representatives. not sure how that works

 

it doesnt really matter if district maps were correct though. the additional districts in TX for example SHOULD go to blue areas (Austin), so the amount of Dem reps would stay the same. But we all know there's going to be a huge battle over those maps

[Renegade7]

Ya know, its possible we are having less kids and less immigration as well.  It's in our best interests to make having families more realistic for millenials and fix the immigration system so we don't end up like Japan.

[LadySkinsFan]

7 hours ago, mammajamma said:

ya.. wondering if it'd at least delay the restructuring of representatives. not sure how that works

 

it doesnt really matter if district maps were correct though. the additional districts in TX for example SHOULD go to blue areas (Austin), so the amount of Dem reps would stay the same. But we all know there's going to be a huge battle over those maps

 

My county, Williamson, is just north of Austin and runs west to east, and the congressperson for the 31 st district is John Carter, one of the Republican insurrectionists who voted to decertify the EC votes of Pennsylvania and Georgia. So I don't think the new districts will be Blue, the Republican Death Cult will make sure they are red.

 

My city government, Cedar Park, skews Blue, we are having local elections right now.   

 

 

Edited April 28, 2021 by LadySkinsFan

[China]

World grew by 74 million over past year, Census bureau says

 

The world’s population is projected to be 7.8 billion people on New Year’s Day 2022, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That represents an increase of 74 million people, or a 0.9% growth rate from New Year’s Day 2021. Starting in the new year, 4.3 births and two deaths are expected worldwide every second, the Census Bureau estimated.

 

Meanwhile, the U.S. grew by almost 707,000 people over the past year, and the nation's population is expected to be 332.4 million residents on New Year's Day 2022, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

 

The Census Bureau estimate represents a 0.2% growth rate from New Year's Day 2021 to New Year's Day 2022.

 

Click on the link for the full article

[China]

Trump officials interfered with the 2020 census beyond cutting it short, email shows

 

Former President Donald Trump's administration alarmed career civil servants at the Census Bureau by not only ending the 2020 national head count early, but also pressuring them to alter plans for protecting people's privacy and producing accurate data, a newly released email shows.

 

Trump's political appointees at the Commerce Department, which oversees the bureau, demonstrated an "unusually" high level of "engagement in technical matters, which is unprecedented relative to the previous censuses," according to a September 2020 email that Ron Jarmin — the bureau's deputy director — sent to two other top civil servants.

 

At the time, the administration was faced with the reality that if Trump lost the November election he could also lose a chance to change the census numbers used to redistribute political representation. The window of opportunity was closing for his administration to attempt to radically reshape the futures of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Electoral College.

 

Despite the 14th Amendment's requirement to include the "whole number of persons in each state," Trump wanted to exclude unauthorized immigrants from the census counts used to reallocate each state's share of congressional seats and electoral votes.

 

While the former president's unprecedented push did not reach its ultimate goal, it wreaked havoc at the federal government's largest statistical agency, which was also contending with the coronavirus pandemic upending most of its plans for the once-a-decade tally. The delays stemming from COVID-19 forced the bureau to conclude that it could no longer meet the legal reporting deadline for the first set of results and needed more time.

 

The administration's last-minute decision to cut the counting short sparked public outcries, including a federal lawsuit that reached the U.S. Supreme Court.

 

Click on the link for the full article

[China]

Mapped: Census data reveals COVID population shift

 

The map above shows distinct migration to the West and Sunbelt during the pandemic, based on census figures out Thursday.

 

Why it matters: This race to the Rockies and Southwest in our work-from-anywhere world signals emerging powers in tech, business, politics, philanthropy — every dimension of life.

Two other accelerating trends detailed by the Census Bureau:

1. America is getting older: Since 2000, the national median age — the point at which half the population is older and half younger — has grown by 3.4 years, to 38.8 years. Only one state, Maine, became slightly younger.
2. America is getting more diverse: Every race and origin group grew from July 2020 to July 2021 — except the white population, which fell 0.03%. "Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander" was the fastest-growing category, increasing 1.54%. Hispanic was the largest category in numerical gain (800,000) — and second-fastest-growing, up 1.24%.

Click on the link for the map

[CousinsCowgirl84]

On 4/27/2021 at 2:01 PM, Springfield said:

Wow people are flocking to conservative destinations like Florida and Texas. Hope it backfires.

Taxes and cost of living. Of course you get what you pay for…

[Captain Wiggles]

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"Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander" was the fastest-growing category, increasing 1.54%. 

 

Nice.

 

[China]

Documents detail the secret strategy behind Trump's census citizenship question push

 

Former President Donald Trump's administration spent years trying to add a census citizenship question as part of a secret strategy for altering the population numbers used to divide up seats in Congress and the Electoral College, internal documents released Wednesday by the House Oversight and Reform Committee confirm.

 

Long kept from the public, the Trump administration memos and emails were disclosed by lawmakers following a more than two-year legal fight that began after Trump officials refused to turn them over for a congressional investigation. Citing the "exceptional circumstances" of the case, the Biden administration, which inherited the lawsuit last year, agreed to allow House oversight committee members and their staff to review the documents.

 

The hotly contested question — "Is this a person a citizen of the United States?" — ultimately did not end up on the 2020 census forms. In 2019, the Supreme Court blocked the Trump administration's unprecedented efforts after finding its use of the Voting Rights Act as the stated reasoning for the question "seems to have been contrived," as Chief Justice John Roberts wrote in the majority opinion.

 

Before Trump eventually released a presidential memo in 2020 calling for the unprecedented exclusion of unauthorized immigrants from a key set of census numbers, earlier releases of internal documents and public statements by Trump officials signaled their interest in using citizenship data to try to break with more than two centuries of precedent in how congressional seats and Electoral College votes are redistributed among the states.

 

Click on the link for the full article

[The Sisko]

If they think population growth is slow now, wait until we see what almost a decade of early vasectomies and tubal ligations does. Then there's the increase in births by POC. So it turns out we're not going to replace you, you're going to do it yourself with asinine policy changes.🤣🤣🤣

[GhostofSparta]

3 hours ago, The Sisko said:

If they think population growth is slow now, wait until we see what almost a decade of early vasectomies and tubal ligations does. Then there's the increase in births by POC. So it turns out we're not going to replace you, you're going to do it yourself with asinine policy changes.🤣🤣🤣

Simple. Pass a law that makes it a crime for doctors to perform those procedures on white people before the age of, say, 40. As for minorities, well, that's what higher police budgets and more prisons (and prison slave labor) are for!

[Captain Wiggles]

12 minutes ago, GhostofSparta said:

Pass a law that makes it a crime for doctors to perform those procedures on white people before the age of, say, 40. 

 

Buddy of mine from high school went to get a vasectomy when he turned 18. Doctor told him to come back when he's in his 30s. 🤣

[GhostofSparta]

1 minute ago, Captain Wiggles said:

 

Buddy of mine from high school went to get a vasectomy when he turned 18. Doctor told him to come back when he's in his 30s. 🤣

I asked my doctor at 34 and was told I was too young since I have no kids. It's getting better with the younger doctors but the older ones are still too hesitant to let people control their own reproductive decisions.