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The Non-Winter Weather Thread


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I was working yesterday and it was legit 56 degrees out in May with rain

 

It's going to be 60's today. It's not winter anymore.

 

This cold weather has long overstayed it's welcome

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Stormy Pattern In South Could Produce Severe Weather, Flooding Rain

 

A pair of weather systems will bring wet weather to parts of the South, Midwest and East this week. The South has the greatest risk of some severe weather as well as flooding rainfall.

Here's what to know.

 

An isolated severe weather threat is possible through Wednesday: Showers and storms are spreading across the South right now. Below is a look at the latest radar along with any watches and/or warnings that are in effect.

 

DCT_SPECIAL40_1280x720.jpg?crop=16:9&wid

 

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Some in Houston facing no power for weeks after storms cause widespread damage, killing at least 4

 

Power outages could last weeks in parts of Houston, an official warned Friday, after thunderstorms with hurricane-force winds tore through the city, knocking out electricity to nearly 1 million homes and businesses in the region, blowing out windows on downtown high rises and flipping vehicles.

 

The National Weather Service said it confirmed a tornado with peak winds of 110 mph (177 kph) touched down near the northwest Houston suburb of Cypress in Harris County.

 

Harris County Judge Lina Hidalgo, the county’s top elected official, said crews were still trying to determine the extent of the damage and the number of casualties from Thursday’s storms. Houston Mayor John Whitmire said four people, and possibly five, had died.

 

“It was fierce. It was intense. It was quick, and most Houstonians didn’t have time to place themselves out of harms way,” Whitmire said at a news conference.

 

With multiple transmission towers down, Hidalgo urged patience. Thousands of utility workers were headed to the area, where power had already been restored to roughly 200,000 customers. Another 100,000 customers were without power in Louisiana, down from a peak of 215,000.

 

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NOAA issues its most severe May hurricane season forecast ever

 

The upcoming hurricane season is likely to be especially active due to factors including the return of La Nina and extremely warm waters in the Atlantic, NOAA forecasters announced Thursday.

 

The outlook amounted to the most severe the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has ever issued for the Atlantic basin in its May analysis, just ahead of the start of the season. 

 

The forecast for the season beginning June 1 and ending November 30 predicts 17-25 named storms, 8 to 13 hurricanes and 4-7 major hurricanes of Category 3 and above.

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

Massive melon-size hail could be a Texas record

 

An extreme rotating thunderstorm dropped cantaloupe-size hail and produced a tornado in the Texas Panhandle on Sunday, part of a larger severe weather episode that took storms all the way to North Dakota. One of the hailstones was at least six inches in diameter, if not larger, and could be declared a Texas state record.

 

442426925_1025714508919040_4813107051858

 

The stone was recovered by Val and Amy Castor, storm chasers with News 9 in Oklahoma City. The couple found the stone about 10 miles northwest of the Mackenzie Reservoir in rural Swisher County, Tex., three miles north-northwest of Vigo Park.

 

They snapped photos of a spiky hailstone next to a can of Monster Energy, which, if it’s a standard can, is 6.5 inches tall. Val Castor later posted on Facebook that the stone “conservatively” measured at least seven inches long. If the stone closes in on seven-inch territory, it could qualify as a state record.

 

The record in Texas is a hailstone measuring 6.4 inches that was recovered near Hondo, west of San Antonio, on April 28, 2021. It doesn’t come close to the eight-inch bowling-ball-size hailstone that crashed to the ground near Vivian, S.D., on July 23, 2010. It weighed nearly two pounds.

 

The National Weather Service in Lubbock is investigating the newly discovered hailstone.

 

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This year is terrifying. The water is 2.5 to 4 degrees warmer than it should be and that's down 300 feet. Storms are already ripping off Africa. My roof isn't going to last if we get a good one. I can't even begin to explain how wet it's been. We had a storm drop between 4.5 to 6 inches in one day on island. There is going to be a record number of hurricanes this season. I just bought a 30x40 14 mil tarp. Probably get a couple more, too, just to be safe.

 

May be an image of tornado and text that says 'CONGRATULATIONS! YOU HAVE SUCCESSFULLY MADE IT to THE END OF MAY. WELCOME To JUMANJI LEVEL 6: HURRICANE SEASON'

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I suggest everyone review their hurricane kits. I recommend longer than 72-hours but up to you. 1 gallon of water per person, per day. Food you can prepare without power, blah blah blah. I think you're going to need it.

 

Best be ready.  ( @Bang )

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28 minutes ago, TheGreatBuzz said:

I suggest everyone review their hurricane kits. I recommend longer than 72-hours but up to you. 1 gallon of water per person, per day. Food you can prepare without power, blah blah blah. I think you're going to need it.

 

Best be ready.  ( @Bang )

Yeah, I burned through my canned stuff (chunky soup, chili, etc.) lately and I now see it's time to stock up again. 

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Good advice. I will get my wife in on the idea this evening.

Weirdly enough, it's been rather pleasant so far. Usually we're sweltering by now, but most days in May and now into June have been really nice.

 

~Bang

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12 hours ago, China said:

Wow.  Scary.  Not the kind of weather you usually expect around here.

Yep. It's pretty rare. We get the occasional tornado, but the long lasting/long distance super cell(s) we saw yesterday are very rare.

 

 

 

4 hours ago, Koolblue13 said:

This year is terrifying. The water is 2.5 to 4 degrees warmer than it should be and that's down 300 feet. Storms are already ripping off Africa. My roof isn't going to last if we get a good one. I can't even begin to explain how wet it's been. We had a storm drop between 4.5 to 6 inches in one day on island. There is going to be a record number of hurricanes this season. I just bought a 30x40 14 mil tarp. Probably get a couple more, too, just to be safe.

If we were fully back in La Nina, then I'd think there'd be a good chance we take a run at the record. But we're still in that transition state to neutral. Yes, the waters are warm, but that just means when storms do develop they have a chance of gaining strength quickly. They have to develop first though. A fully neutral or La Nina state would be more conducive to that. That's expected mid-late summer.

Fortunately there is nothing in terms of tropical systems coming off of Africa right now. And nothing else in the Atlantic (or Pacific) to worry about...for now.

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1 hour ago, Skins24 said:

Yep. It's pretty rare. We get the occasional tornado, but the long lasting/long distance super cell(s) we saw yesterday are very rare.

 

 

 

If we were fully back in La Nina, then I'd think there'd be a good chance we take a run at the record. But we're still in that transition state to neutral. Yes, the waters are warm, but that just means when storms do develop they have a chance of gaining strength quickly. They have to develop first though. A fully neutral or La Nina state would be more conducive to that. That's expected mid-late summer.

Fortunately there is nothing in terms of tropical systems coming off of Africa right now. And nothing else in the Atlantic (or Pacific) to worry about...for now.

Maybe it's that I live in the Caribbean , but there are definitely storms with chance of development rolling off of Africa. Yes, we have another two months before I really need to worry and they start coming off further north, but yeah, this season is going to suck.

 

 

 

5 hours ago, TheGreatBuzz said:

I suggest everyone review their hurricane kits. I recommend longer than 72-hours but up to you. 1 gallon of water per person, per day. Food you can prepare without power, blah blah blah. I think you're going to need it.

 

Best be ready.  ( @Bang )

That's great advice. The weather is changing and getting more violent and unpredictable. The way Sandy hit Jersey a few years back, that hurricane that went from the gulf to NYC and gained strength over land? That's fairly concerning. You never know when weather is going to blow up your life. 

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Koolblue13 said:

Maybe it's that I live in the Caribbean , but there are definitely storms with chance of development rolling off of Africa. Yes, we have another two months before I really need to worry and they start coming off further north, but yeah, this season is going to suck.

Video is a few days old.

Here's how things look now:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

 

Latest discussion

 

 

Storms roll off of Africa pretty much year round. For tropical development through, we need more than just warm water.

Currently windshear across the Atlantic is not conducive.

And the Dust certainly isn't either. That'll pretty much kill anything that rolls off.

****

 

In the DMV, heads up! Strong storms are once again starting to pop and roll through the area.

 

Edited by Skins24
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6 minutes ago, Skins24 said:

Video is a few days old.

Here's how things look now:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

 

Latest discussion

 

 

Storms roll off of Africa pretty much year round. For tropical development through, we need more than just warm water.

Currently windshear across the Atlantic is not conducive.

And the Dust certainly isn't either. That'll pretty much kill anything that rolls off.

****

 

In the DMV, heads up! Strong storms are once again starting to pop and roll through the area.

 

You are correct. We've had no dust and an absurd amount of rain though.

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1 hour ago, Skins24 said:

Video is a few days old.

Here's how things look now:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

 

Latest discussion

 

 

Storms roll off of Africa pretty much year round. For tropical development through, we need more than just warm water.

Currently windshear across the Atlantic is not conducive.

And the Dust certainly isn't either. That'll pretty much kill anything that rolls off.

****

 

In the DMV, heads up! Strong storms are once again starting to pop and roll through the area.

 

I had similar thoughts. Gfs shows a week ts like 10-14 days from now hitting gulf but on some runs it looses it.

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On 6/6/2024 at 5:14 PM, CousinsCowgirl84 said:

I had similar thoughts. Gfs shows a week ts like 10-14 days from now hitting gulf but on some runs it looses it.

If the GFS doesn't show a ts developing in the Gulf at least once a day, I'd think something is wrong with it, lol

18z wins today 🙂

 

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