Skins24 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 November now, and we've entered that time of year where for the next four months or so, the probability of seeing winter weather is greatly enhanced What's in store for this winter? It's becoming increasingly...unclear. A very favorable (for winter storms) El Nino was setting up, but decided to change it's mind. Conditions in the Pacific look (right now) as they'll be neutral for the most part. Haven't checked recently, and I'll update once I do, but I think conditions in the Atlantic are still forecasted to be favorable for average or below average winter temps for the mid Atlantic. I'm fairly confident we won't see a repeat of last year which was a total dud. Unfortunately, (I like snow) I'm also fairly confident we won't see a repeat of 2009/'10. Near term - Models have been waffling on a little system coming through mid next week. Earlier GFS had the system riding up the coast close enough to give us rain changing to a snow. Latest one, running now, and I think most of the other models have it scooting out to sea. Likely a non event, but something to keep and eye on I guess, and a reminder to us what time of year it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Aww shucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaSkins21 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Right now, I don't think anyone is thinking about snow, sleet, or freezing rain. Let's have everyone recover from this all the Sandy **** and then then worry about winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
88Comrade2000 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Sandy did cause snow, in West Virginia and parts of Maryland and the mountains of VA and NC. Maryland got all 3 types of damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
China Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Right now, I don't think anyone is thinking about snow, sleet, or freezing rain. Let's have everyone recover from this all the Sandy **** and then then worry about winter weather. As Rdskns2000 mentioned MD and WV got a bunch of snow. Sandy dumps snow on MD with more on the way Superstorm Sandy dumped close to 30 inches of snow in west Maryland after 24 straight hours of precipitation and counting.... Forecasters expect several more inches of snow through Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skinz4Life12 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 It better not snow January 12th. If I can't fly to the Caribbean, I think I'll cry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooleyfan1993 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 yeah last winter SUCKED for me. senior year of highschool and i couldn't get at least 1 or 2 final snow days??? ah well, the 3 hurricane days this week in long island kinda made up for no snow days. and i gotta admit, it was pretty fun wearing shorts almost every day last winter. dont think it ever got below 40 more than 3 days last winter in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhoRUSupposed2Be Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Being in Laurel and looking through the confinement of my window, it has not brought me much bad luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted November 1, 2012 Author Share Posted November 1, 2012 Yikes! So, next week's storm is back on again for the GFS and EURO. Both have classic nor'easters. With the GFS, it still a little too offshore to affect our weather (except very cold air and cloudy) but it does have it affecting NYC and the rest of New England. They don't need that. EURO affects us all. Both are pretty strong nor'easters, but with the EURO it's a little closer to the coast meaning more rain (changing to snow). GFS dumps heavy snow on NYC and the northeast. Which is "better?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Yikes! So, next week's storm is back on again for the GFS and EURO. Both have classic nor'easters. With the GFS, it still a little too offshore to affect our weather (except very cold air and cloudy) but it does have it affecting NYC and the rest of New England. They don't need that. EURO affects us all. Both are pretty strong nor'easters, but with the EURO it's a little closer to the coast meaning more rain (changing to snow). GFS dumps heavy snow on NYC and the northeast. Which is "better?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGoodBits Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Yikes! So, next week's storm is back on again for the GFS and EURO. Both have classic nor'easters. With the GFS, it still a little too offshore to affect our weather (except very cold air and cloudy) but it does have it affecting NYC and the rest of New England. They don't need that. EURO affects us all. Both are pretty strong nor'easters, but with the EURO it's a little closer to the coast meaning more rain (changing to snow). GFS dumps heavy snow on NYC and the northeast. Which is "better?" EURO is often acknowledged as superior. It crushed the GFS for Sandy, by a ton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pjfootballer Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 What the hell is a EURO and GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sticksboi05 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Eh, a storm shown a week plus out doesn't even grab my attention for days. Especially on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wantarace17 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Eh, a storm shown a week plus out doesn't even grab my attention for days. Especially on the GFS. But with the EURO it does.... We will see but the teleconnections are all there. +PNA -NAO, blocking high....this could get ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renaissance Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 What the hell is a EURO and GFS? Weather models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pjfootballer Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Weather models. Thanks Ren, but what does the acronym GFS mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renaissance Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Thanks Ren, but what does the acronym GFS mean? Haha sorry. That is well beyond my nerd level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sticksboi05 Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Thanks Ren, but what does the acronym GFS mean? Global Forecast System EURO is short for ECMWF or European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Btubes18 Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Looks to be close to the 50's next week, if it doesn't get colder, doubt we will get any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pjfootballer Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Global Forecast SystemEURO is short for ECMWF or European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Cool, thanks sticks. And good try Ren. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wantarace17 Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 EURO holds serve and shows either really cold rain or snow....other models back down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikered30 Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 GFS jokingly stands for Global Failure System, because the EURO is king. (Nerd joke) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dfitzo53 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 It'll be a whole new ballgame staying home from school with a one-year-old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wantarace17 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Confidence is increasing in a major storm on the east coast. Euro/UKMET/GGEM show snow even into the DC region. The GFS is not as strong and is more progressive with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 Yeah, I was just about to post, I'm getting a little nervous about this storm... And the latest GFS (18Z) is pretty strong and also shows snow for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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