braindx Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 So I've been keeping track of how we are doing (as a whole) prediction wise in the previous threads. Game 1: 66 predictions, 52 Skins win, 14 Giants win Predicted scores: Redskins 22.3 +/- 5.8 (95% confidence interval is 10.7 to 33.9 points) Giants 17.2 +/- 5.6 (95% confidence interval is 6 to 28.4 points) Actual Score = 28 – 14 http://www.extremeskins.com/showthread.php?353394-What-is-your-prediction-for-the-results-of-Sunday-s-Game Game 2: 77 predictions, 71 Skins win, 6 Cardinals win Predicted scores: Redskins 29.3 +/- 6.1 (95% confidence interval is 17.1 to 41.5 points) Cardinals 17.2 +/- 5.3 (95% confidence interval is 6.6 to 27.8 points) Actual Score = 22 – 21 http://www.extremeskins.com/showthread.php?354079-Cardinals-Skins-Predictions-for-Week-2 Game 3: 99 Total, 74 Redskins win, 15 Cowboys win Predicted scores: Redskins: 25.2 +/- 6.2 (95% confidence interval is 12.8 to 37.6 points) Cowboys: 17.9 +/- 5.1 (95% confidence interval is 7.7 to 28.1 points) Actual Score = 16 – 18 http://www.extremeskins.com/showthread.php?354748-Redskins-Cowboys-Predictions-for-Week-3 Game 4: 109 Total, 90 Redskins win, 19 Rams win Predicted scores: Redskins: 23.1 +/- 7.0 (95% confidence interval is 9.1 to 37.1 points) Rams: 16.0 +/- 6.2 (95% confidence interval is 3.6 to 28.4 points) Actual Score = 17 – 10 Rudechain, Bigmuss1, and skinfan1957 all predicted it correctly! First time anyone has so far. http://www.extremeskins.com/showthread.php?355243-Redskins-Rams-Predictions-for-Week-4/ Cumulative predictions: Redskins Predicted Offense = 24.9 +/- 6.9 Redskins Actual Offense = 20.8 +/- 4.8 Redskins Predicted Defense (e.g. Opponent's O) = 17.0 +/- 5.7 Redskisn Actual Defense (e.g. Opponent's O) = 15.8 +/- 4.1 Our defense is doing better than we predict them to be doing in giving up PPG, although cumulatively it's pretty close. Our offense has been doing somewhere around ~20-30% worse than we are expecting it to do... although I'd probably have to run another analysis on confidence intervals to see how much (which I am not going to do b/c too lazy). Our actual O and D differential is 20.8 points minus 15.8 points which is +5 points... a big part of which we are currently 3-1. Our defense is carryin us. But everyone already knew that... As a collective whole in predictions we are: 228 – 113 ------------------------------------------- My prediction = 24-21 us. I sincerely hope we can run against them so we can put up enough points to win because they will likely put up a large amount of points. I'm hoping we can hold them to 3 TDs or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boss_Hogg Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 24 Eagles 20 Great job on the stats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperBash Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 21-16 Eagles We limit the Eagles but we struggle to find the endzone again. Prove me wrong Skins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrifNick21 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 27 Eagles 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdigle Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Like last week, we win by a touchdown. Redskins 24 Eagles 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Spearfeather Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 27 - 20 Redskins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlanta Skins Fan Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 24Eagles 20 Beat me to it. Redskins 24 Eagles 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bibby Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins - 26 Eagles - 21 The ending will be scary. This game will be decided on the final drive, although the Skins' should of had the game wrapped up earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PLZW1N Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 24 Eagles 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wyndorf25 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Hate to say it...but i firmly believe that the Skins drop this one. The Eagles are too desperate and it's a divisional game. My mind tells me the Skins should win by running the ball and playing good defense, but my heart tells me that the Skins will break my heart by falling to a last second field goal.... Eagles 27 Redskins 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SkinsFTW Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 I haven't picked against the Skins this year but I think this is the game we lose even though we beat them in Philly early last year and this team is much better. Unless Vick gets knocked out, then we win for sure if it's early. Of course I could be totally off. I know Vick will fumble faster than Grossman and gives the defense a lot of chances to take it from him. Also I think we are due some Int's, I just don't know if Vick will continue to throw 3-4 picks a game. Eagles have been finding ways to lose games every week but it has to end eventually so of course it'll be against us. we'll still be able to run all over them but they'll score too many points. Eagles 31 Redskins 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Blowout city. Redskins-35 Eagles- 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Smith Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 I predicted the Cowboys loss, but felt we'd win all the other games. This week, my prediction is that a desperate Eagles team finally digs deep and plays disciplined football, and Vick manages to avoid the flukey INTs that plagued him in Buffalo. Grossman struggles under pressure, and the Redskins injury luck finally stalls, as we lose a starter for 6-8 weeks. Eagles 31, Redskins 21. Sure hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G.A.C.O.L.B. Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Eagles - 59 Redskins - 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubble Screen Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Eagles 24 Redskins 17...They are backed into a corner. They probably feel if they lose this game, then their season is over. And it likely would be. You know they're evenutally gonna get it turned around. Hopefully they don't start this week. But I'm thinking they will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smackdown 46 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Breakout game for our offense, 35-31 Skins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveakl Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 34 - Eagles 17 Vick gets knocked out in the 1st quarter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadwiko Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Yeah this will be the first team with a heavy and fearsome pass rush that Vick has come up against. A lot of their drives are kept alive by him scrambling, and I can't see that working for him this week. When he has to stay in the pocket, he makes mistakes and he takes hits. I genuinely believe that the Skins can beat the Eagles if we play to the best of our ability. Redskins 21 Eagles 17 Grossman 1 TD, 1 Int Vick 2 TD, 2 Int Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigmuss1 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 It's the Eagles at home, when was the last time we beat them at home? If it were at the Link, I'd pick us... Eagles 28 - Redskins 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Audible_Red40 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Dream Team - 30 Skins - 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mistahsmif Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 27 Eagles 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwampEm Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Redskins 16 Eagles 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aghar Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 It's only Tuesday and my nerves are already shot for this game. It's ridiculous. I'm never one to use terms like "Biggest game of the year", etc but I have to admit, the way things are playing out this weekend it sure does feel like the most important in recent memory. If for no other reason than we have an opportunity to step on the throat of a badly beaten down Eagles team that would put us up 4 games on them. That along with the Giants and Cowboys looking at a very good chance of losing their matchups this weekend it would put us in the best position in our division in a decade, maybe more. I know it's only week 5, but I will feel much better if we win this weekend(not that I don't say that every weekend, but moreso this game). Over the last few years the Skins would find a way to loose this game. Here's hoping that my optimism about the direction this team is going is well founded. Final Score - Redskins 21 Eagles 17 Defense comes up big again. At least 3 turnovers. Hail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGreek1973 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 I am going to say 24 to 17 Skins. But my confidence level lets just say is very very measured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silent1903 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 I feel I have to apologise too, for my prediction, but after having watched the Bills/Eagles match on tv, you cannot argue against the fact that the Eagles have an explosive offence - I really thought they were going to get those 17 points back in the 4th quarter. Having said that, I think we may put together a couple of good quarters of offence, but will come up short, Eagles 31 Redskins 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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