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2024 ES GM's Mock Draft....


COWBOY-KILLA-

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Cosmi in the third round?  I like @KDawg's guy Werner over Bolton.    Bolton would surprise me.  He's a good run stopper -- not a bad pass rusher but I don't like him against the pass.  He's more of an old school MLB.   If they are doubling up at LB I get the logic of Bolton because he's a more traditional Mike. But he wouldn't be my pick.

 

 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2021/insider/story/_/id/31359024/best-available-prospects-plus-predictions-best-fits-elijah-moore-asante-samuel-jr-more

 

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33. Jacksonville Jaguars

Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State | Highlights

No one gave up more sacks than right tackle Jawaan Taylor's 18 in 2021, and the Jaguars need to protect Trevor Lawrence. Jenkins is tough to get around and his range as a run-blocker will help set up big runs for Travis Etienne. He would have been a good pick at 25.


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34. New York Jets

Javonte Williams, RB, North Carolina | Highlights

The 37-year-old Frank Gore led the team in rushing last year, and his 3.49 yards-per-rush rate was 43rd out of 47 running backs. Williams is a well-built back who seeks out contact and breaks more tackles than any running back we studied.


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35. Atlanta Falcons

Asante Samuel Jr., CB, Florida State | Highlights

2020 first-round pick A.J. Terrell was picked on as a rookie and he was average. Isaiah Oliver did not record an interception and goes into a contract year. Samuel Jr. is a technically sound and instinctive cover corner who plays bigger than his size and picked off three passes in 2020.


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36. Miami Dolphins (via HOU)

Azeez Ojulari, OLB, Georgia | Highlights

The Dolphins address their pass rush and the outside linebacker position here, after releasing Kyle Van Noy and trading away Shaq Lawson. Ojulari is a natural pass-rusher with excellent initial burst, length, bend, body control and closing speed.


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37. Philadelphia Eagles

Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, ILB, Notre Dame | Highlights

Adding linebackers -- and more specifically, linebackers who can cover -- is a pressing need for the Eagles. Owusu-Koramoah is fluid, smooth and fast in coverage. He flashes the ability to pressure quarterbacks with his closing burst and suddenness. He's the No. 12 player on our board and an absolute steal at this point.


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38. Cincinnati Bengals

Liam Eichenberg, OT, Notre Dame | Highlights

After missing all of 2019 with a shoulder injury, left tackle Jonah Williams missed six games in 2020 with neck and knee injuries. Right tackle Bobby Hart allowed the fifth-most sacks despite playing 14 games. The Bengals also could use help at guard. Eichenberg might be a better fit at guard in the NFL, but he's an effective pass-blocker with the tools to upgrade this line whether he plays inside or outside.


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39. Carolina Panthers

Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss | Highlights

Curtis Samuel signed with Washington after setting career highs in receptions and receiving yards. Offensive coordinator Joe Brady was instrumental in finding a role for Samuel last season, and he could do the same for Moore, who is an NFL-ready slot receiver.


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40. Denver Broncos

Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama | Highlights

Shelby Harris missed five games last season, and the Broncos finished 25th in rushing defense last year before releasing Jurrell Casey. Barmore plays with good leverage and he chases with good effort. He's a great value at this point in the draft.


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41. Detroit Lions

Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU | Highlights

Safety is a top-four need for the Lions, and Moehrig is the top safety in this class. He's a playmaker who shows good burst breaking on the ball and good timing breaking up passes.


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42. New York Giants

Landon Dickerson, C, Alabama | Highlights

The Giants need to address their interior offensive line, and Dickerson is a Day 1 starter at guard or center. He's an exceptional leader and true finisher in the running game.


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43. San Francisco 49ers

Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU | Highlights

Kendrick Bourne signed with New England and Deebo Samuel missed nine games with injuries. Marshall explodes off the line, and he's quite elusive after the catch.


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44. Dallas Cowboys

Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington | Highlights

The Cowboys allowed 2,541 rushing yards last season -- the second most in a season in franchise history -- and defensive tackle is one of their most pressing needs. Onwuzurike has good upper-body strength and active hands to disengage from blocks.


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45. Jacksonville Jaguars (via MIN)

Hunter Long, TE, Boston College | Highlights

The Jaguars declined Tyler Eifert's option, and James O'Shaughnessy isn't much of a threat as a receiver. Long has the speed and frame to make plays down the seam, plus he has some upside as an open-field runner after the catch.


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46. New England Patriots

Jabril Cox, ILB, LSU | Highlights

Dont'a Hightower is 31 years old and coming off an opt-out season, and the Patriots could use an inside linebacker who is effective in coverage. Cox is instinctive in zone coverage, fluid matching up in man coverage, and flashes as a pass rusher.


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47. Los Angeles Chargers

Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia | Highlights

The Chargers have a need at corner after releasing Casey Hayward Jr.. Campbell is on the tall and lean side for a cornerback, with good length and outstanding speed.


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48. Las Vegas Raiders

Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State | Highlights

The Raiders took Alex Leatherwood in the first, but we think he's a better fit at guard than tackle. Radunz is a better fit on the outside and he could push for the starting right tackle job as a rookie.


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49. Arizona Cardinals

Pat Freiermuth, TE, Penn State | Highlights

A Cardinals tight end hasn't eclipsed 500 receiving yards in a single season since Freddie Jones in 2003; meanwhile, Dan Arnold signed with Carolina. Freiermuth is a two-time team captain at Penn State, and a big target who flashes as a route runner. His ability to move around the formation helps create favorable matchups.

50. Miami Dolphins

Elijah Molden, CB, Washington | Highlights

Miami signed Justin Coleman, but it's only a one-year deal; Molden is capable of winning the nickel job as a rookie. He has good balance, body control, instincts and ball skills.


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51. Washington Football Team

Nick Bolton, ILB, Missouri | Highlights

Washington drafted Jamin Davis, who should be a rookie starter, but they still have a need at linebacker. Bolton is one of the best players left on the board. He plays even faster than his timed speed thanks to his instincts and he chases with good effort.


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52. Chicago Bears

Creed Humphrey, C, Oklahoma | Highlights

Although the Bears re-signed Germain Ifedi, it's a one-year deal and he had a disappointing 2020 season. Cody Whitehair played better at guard than center last year. Adding Humphrey would allow Whitehair to play guard and move Ifedi into a backup role.


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53. Tennessee Titans

Tutu Atwell, WR, Louisville | Highlights

Tennessee signed Josh Reynolds, but Corey Davis signed with the Jets and the Titans released Adam Humphries. Atwell is a small slot receiver with lightning-quick feet and explosive top-end speed. He's a threat to pull away whenever he gets a seam. He'd make a good running mate for A.J. Brown.


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54. Indianapolis Colts

Andre Cisco, S, Syracuse | Highlights

Former first-round pick Malik Hooker is a free agent who missed 14 games last year. Cisco is an interchangeable safety with a blend of size, length and range. He's a ball hawk with natural hand skills.


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55. Pittsburgh Steelers

Quintin Meinerz, OG, Wisconsin-Whitewater | Highlights

Center Maurkice Pouncey retired, and left guard Matt Feiler left in free agency. Meinerz may fit best at center in the NFL, but he has the skills to quickly develop into an effective starter at either spot.


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56. Seattle Seahawks

Carlos Basham Jr., DE, Wake Forest | Highlights

Bruce Irvin is a free agent coming off a torn ACL, 2020 second-round pick Darrell Taylor didn't play last year and Carlos Dunlap is 32 years old. Basham is a good fit for the LEO role in Seattle's defense, and he's an excellent value this late. He's a first-round talent.


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57. Los Angeles Rams

Jevon Holland, S, Oregon | Highlights

The Rams allowed slot wide receivers to catch 77% of their passes last season, which was the second worst rate in the NFL; then, 2020 starter John Johnson III signed with Cleveland this offseason. Holland is a well-built and instinctive safety, who is at his best lining up over the slot where he has the balance, upper-body strength and speed to compete with both receivers and tight ends.


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58. Kansas City Chiefs (via BAL)

Ronnie Perkins, DE, Oklahoma | Highlights

Frank Clark had six sacks, but he's taken a step back in production since joining Kansas City in 2019; meanwhile, Alex Okafor is a free agent. Perkins is the best available player on the board here, and he's a relentless pass rusher.

 

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59. Cleveland Browns

Bobby Brown III, DT, Texas A&M

Sheldon Richardson is a free agent, and free agent addition Malik Jackson is 31 years old. Brown is a substantial reach here according to our board, but I think he's a good value on Day 2. He has a great blend of size, length, quickness, foot speed and range.


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60. New Orleans Saints

Ifeatu Melifonwu, CB, Syracuse | Highlights

Marshon Lattimore heads into his contract year, Patrick Robinson turns 34 this season and Janoris Jenkins signed with Tennessee. Melifonwu has the size, length and speed to develop into a No. 1 corner in defensive coordinator Dennis Allen's defense.


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61. Buffalo Bills

Michael Carter, RB, North Carolina | Highlights

The Bills' run game was mediocre in 2020, ranking 20th in yards per rush. Devin Singletary took a step back in his sophomore year and rookie Zack Moss did not provide the elusiveness he showcased at Utah. Carter is an undersized back with quick feet and good top-end speed.


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62. Green Bay Packers

Chazz Surratt, ILB, North Carolina | Highlights

 

Inside linebacker is one the Packers' top three needs, and Surratt is the best player on our board. He's got excellent instincts and sideline-to-sideline range.


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63. Kansas City Chiefs

Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue | Highlights

Kansas City gets another explosive receiver after Sammy Watkins signed with Baltimore. Moore makes defenders miss, has the contact balance to break some tackles and has the second gear to pull away when he gets the ball in space.


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64. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Walker Little, OT, Stanford | Highlights

Left tackle Donovan Smith signed a two-year extension, but he struggled at times in pass protection last year. Little has the size, foot speed and enough length to develop into an effective starting left tackle in time.

Edited by Skinsinparadise
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I wouldn’t go Bolton over Werner (obviously)

 

But with the way that mock’s board shakes out I wouldn’t take either over Cisco/Sterns let alone Holland. Holland would be a huge get for us. As much as I love Werner and think we could benefit from the double up with two damn good LB... I have a hard time passing on OL/S for a second LB in the second.
 

Meinerz would be tempting as hell. But we are guard heavy. So I could see passing that. 
 

EDIT: just realizing Cosmi is still on the board going into the third with this mock. That’s... interesting.
 

 

Edited by KDawg
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Packers Post-draft facts:
Where I took players and where they actually went
Player - My Pick (Actual) | difference
OT Sam Cosmi - 40 (51) | -11
CB Tyson Campbell - 62 (33) | +29
DL Alim McNeil - 71 (72) | -1
OL Trey Hill - 114 (190) | -76
LB Monty Rice - 135 (92) | +43
WR Marquez Stevenson - 142 (203) | -61
RB Rhomondre Stevenson - 178 (120) | +58
WR TJ Vasher - 214 (260) | -46*
OL Drew Dalman - 220 (114) | +106
EDGE Adetokunbo Ogundeji - 256 (182) | +74

Where in the real draft my picks were taken by position and where Packers drafted for that position
Pos - Mine (Packers)
OL - 51, 114, 190 (62, 142, 214)
WR - 203, 260*, (85)
RB - 120 (256)
CB - 33 (29, 178)
LB - 92 (220)
DL - 72 (173)
EDGE - 182 ( )


Pick positions I started with before trades, and actual draft slot of my picks
Start : 29, 62, 92, 135, 142, 173, 178, 214, 220, 256
Actual: 33, 51, 72, 92 , 114, 120, 182, 190, 203, 260*
*undrafted; 259 total picks in draft

Edited by PokerPacker
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I had either really good picks or really bad ones -- LOL 

 

ES Mock Draft - 2021 - Atlanta Falcons                                                       NFL Team - Pick Taken                                                   Overall plus /minus    

Rd 1 Pick #4 - 4th (overall) - JaMarr Chase, WR LSU                                Cincinnati     Rd 1 Pick #5, 5 overall                                        -1     

Rd 2 Pick #3 - 35th - Gregory Rousseau Edge Miami                                    Buffalo          Rd 1  Pick 30, 30 overall                                        +5

Rd 3 Pick #4 - 68th - Baron Browning, LB Ohio State                                  Denver          Rd 3  Pick 42, 105 overall                                      -37                        

Rd 4 Pick #3 -  108th - Benjamin St-Juste, CB Minnesota                          Washington   Rd 3  Pick 10, 74 overall                                       +32

Rd 4 Pick #35 - 140th - Jermar Jefferson, RB Oregon State                       Detroit          Rd 7  Pick 30, 257 overall                                    -117

Rd 5 Pick #4 - 148th - Patrick Johnson, EDGE Tulane                               Philadelphia  Rd 7 Pick 6, 234 overall                                    -86

Rd 6 Pick #11 - 195th - Ambry Thomas, CB Michigan                                 San Fran        Rd 3, Pick 39, 102 overall                                   +93  

Rd 6 Pick #28 - 212th - Brenden Jaimes, OT Nebraska                               LA Chargers   Rd 5,  Pick 15, 159 overall                                 +53

Rd 6 Pick #35 - 219th - Reed Blankenship, S Middle Tennessee                Not Drafted                                                                                   -40                                               

 

Edited by goskins10
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39 minutes ago, goskins10 said:

I had either really good picks or really bad ones -- LOL 

 

ES Mock Draft - 2021 - Atlanta Falcons                                                       NFL Team - Pick Taken                                                   Overall plus /minus    

Rd 1 Pick #4 - 4th (overall) - JaMarr Chase, WR LSU                                Cincinnati     Rd 1 Pick #5, 5 overall                                        -1     

Rd 2 Pick #3 - 35th - Gregory Rousseau Edge Miami                                    Buffalo          Rd 1  Pick 30, 30 overall                                        +5

Rd 3 Pick #4 - 68th - Baron Browning, LB Ohio State                                  Denver          Rd 3  Pick 42, 105 overall                                      -37                        

Rd 4 Pick #3 -  108th - Benjamin St-Juste, CB Minnesota                          Washington   Rd 3  Pick 10, 74 overall                                       +32

Rd 4 Pick #35 - 140th - Jermar Jefferson, RB Oregon State                       Detroit          Rd 7  Pick 30, 257 overall                                    -117

Rd 5 Pick #4 - 148th - Patrick Johnson, EDGE Tulane                               Philadelphia  Rd 7 Pick 6, 234 overall                                   +86

Rd 6 Pick #11 - 195th - Ambry Thomas, CB Michigan                                 San Fran        Rd 3, Pick 39, 102 overall                                   +93  

Rd 6 Pick #28 - 212th - Brenden Jaimes, OT Nebraska                               LA Chargers   Rd 5,  Pick 15, 159 overall                                 +53

Rd 6 Pick #35 - 219th - Reed Blankenship, S Middle Tennessee                Not Drafted                                                                                  -40                                               

 

That +86 should be a minus no? Also what about a bonus for the right position the team drafted? and an extra one for the exact player and round?

+10 for right position

+25 for right player, right pick.  

+10 if they make the team

 +50 for rookie of the year 

+25 Top 10 finish in a major positive statistical category for their position at season's end. (sacks) others can be defined..

+15 Top 10 finish in a minor positive statistical category for their position at seasons end. (batted passes)

+ 5 for selecting a player within 3 picks of his actual pick...

Edited by COWBOY-KILLA-
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                                                                     Pick #.      Actual Pick #    Diff.

Rd 1. Zaven Collins LB Tulsa                        19                 16                +3

 Rd 2. Dillon Radunz OT NDSU                    51                  53                -2

 Rd 3. Elijah Molden CB Washington           74                 100             -26

 Rd 3. Hunter Long TE Boston College        82                  81                +1                

 Rd 4. Deonte Brown OG Alabama              130                193             -63

 Rd 5. Divine Deablo S Virginia Tech           163                80                +83

 Rd 6. Austin Watkins Jr. WR UAB              190              undrafted       -69

 Rd 7. Cornell Powell WR Clemson              244                 181              +63

Rd 7. Zach Davidson TE/LS C. Missouri      246                 168              +76

 

Difference: +68 

applying the bonus of right position of +10 which I hit in rounds 1,2,3,5,7= +50 + Difference of +68 =  +118

applying the within 3 picks bonus of + 5 in rounds 1,2,3= +15 + 118= +133

 

 

 

Edited by COWBOY-KILLA-
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9 hours ago, COWBOY-KILLA- said:

  Difference: +68 

applying the bonus of right position of +10 which I hit in rounds 1,2,3,5,7= +50 + Difference of +68 =  +118

applying the within 3 picks bonus of + 5 in rounds 1,2,3= +15 + 118= +133

 

Hmm, back to the drawing board in that case. Did not know we were using these in the adjustments.

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19 minutes ago, Chump Bailey said:

 

Hmm, back to the drawing board in that case. Did not know we were using these in the adjustments.


we are not unless you want to.  @cowboy-killa just having some fun.  There is no real measurement other than have they play long term.  

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image.png.6762942c60d4297f09bc644c15b947e1.png

** DISCLAIMER +380 ERROR IN BONUS ADJUSTMENT - WHOOPSY

* DISCLAIMER: +380 FOREVER SEALED IN THE ANNALS OF ES GM MOCK DRAFTS. ANYTHING AND EVERYTHING TO INFLATE MY SCORE WAS USED. NO OTHER ADJUSTMENTS NECESSARY. 

THANK YOU, CHUMP BAILEY M.M.D, M.O.I, C.C.I (MASTER MOCK DRAFTER, MASTER OF THE INTERWEBZ, CERTIFIED CORNHOLE INSTRUCTOR)

 

woo hoo ric flair GIF

 

Edited by Chump Bailey
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20 minutes ago, Chump Bailey said:

 

You killed it man and had a great draft! I'm just being silly as per usual with the scoring stuff. 

Feel pretty good about my draft, though there are a couple sticking points.  First was taking Trey Hill so early.  As mentioned before, I was caught with my pants down on that pick.

Which takes me into my second sticking point.  Drafting a Receiver so late given the Rodgers drama that has since unfolded.  I had intended to take Tutu Atwell at 114, who went at pick 57 in the real draft, but he was taken at 113 in our draft, ultimately resulting in my taking Hill.  And then I finally drafted Marquez Stevenson who at 143 who wound up going at 203.  Yet to be seen if Stevenson works out, but the optics don't look great for a team trying to appease their disgruntled first-ballot HOF QB.

Edited by PokerPacker
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6 minutes ago, PokerPacker said:

Feel pretty good about my draft, though there are a couple sticking points.  First was taking Trey Hill so early.  As mentioned before, I was caught with my pants down on that pick.

Which takes me into my second sticking point.  Drafting a Receiver so late given the Rodgers drama that has since unfolded.  I had intended to take Tutu Atwell at 114, who went at pick 57 in the real draft, but he was taken at 113 in our draft, ultimately resulting in my taking Hill.  And then I finally drafted Marquez Stevenson who at 143 who wound up going at 203.  Yet to be seen if Stevenson works out, but the optics don't look great for a team trying to appease their disgruntled first-ballot HOF QB.

 

Minor miscues my man and nothing to beat yourself up over. Trey Hill where you took is likely where 95 percent of us would have too. I'm not that keen on Tutu but I am in the minority but do like the potential of Stevenson. You did far better with your draft capital then did the boneheads in the Packers FO.

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7 minutes ago, Chump Bailey said:

 

Minor miscues my man and nothing to beat yourself up over. Trey Hill where you took is likely where 95 percent of us would have too. I'm not that keen on Tutu but I am in the minority but do like the potential of Stevenson. You did far better with your draft capital then did the boneheads in the Packers FO.

Just to be clear, we're talking Trey Hill, not Trey Smith.  I think Smith was rated pretty highly on the draft guru boards, but then fell like a sack of bricks in the actual draft.  Hill was rated, at least on the CBS board where I was watching the draft, at 200.  Wound up going before Smith.  I made up for that pick later on, though, with Drew Dalmon.  Swap their draft positions and it looks pretty good.  In fact, Dalman actually went at 114 exactly where I took Hill.

I'm not too down on Stevenson due to his draft position because it looked like teams simply weren't drafting WRs when there were still so many good choices.

As for GB front office...  There were some questions.  Given how high Campbell went, Stokes probably was not a reach.  CBs with that kind of speed at that size don't grow on trees.  But the Josh Meyers pick felt like a bit of a reach.  Plus they could have used a true Tackle prospect; seems like all three O-lineman picked are interior linemen.  Could have used an earlier pick on LB given the current situation at that position.  On the other hand, Kylin Hill could be a steal at 256.  Wish they'd made a play like that last year for RB rather than wasting a 2nd round pick on an RB (Nothing against the player, but we still had Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams; use that opportunity to see if you can find a late-round steal as insurance against them leaving and use the second rounder for a win-now player; if he doesn't work out, and Aaron Jones walks, THEN you use premium draft capital on an RB).

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@Chump Bailey @goskins10 @PokerPacker Yes guys I’m totally just making some stuff up to give it some value outside of the where they were drafted. 
 

But it has some bearing I’d say. For example if the pick was 2 slots away from the actual pick should you only get +2 or -2 when you almost nailed pick and player? So the +5 bonus. 
 

If the goal is to see how you did vs the real team and you got the position right hence the +10 point bonus. 
 

We can add more categories that you guys think would make sense and reflect an adept drafter.. These were just off the top of my head. Obviously future ones are harder so I just left those for the big ticket ones. 

Edited by COWBOY-KILLA-
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4 hours ago, PokerPacker said:

Just to be clear, we're talking Trey Hill, not Trey Smith.  I think Smith was rated pretty highly on the draft guru boards, but then fell like a sack of bricks in the actual draft.  Hill was rated, at least on the CBS board where I was watching the draft, at 200.  Wound up going before Smith.  I made up for that pick later on, though, with Drew Dalmon.  Swap their draft positions and it looks pretty good.  In fact, Dalman actually went at 114 exactly where I took Hill.

 

Kylin Hill should have been a WFT pick too and I agree a steal. Smith, the Georgia Center right? 4th round seems legit to me.

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Not to be pretentious or anything, okay maybe a smidge, my undrafted CB out of Oregon State Isaiah Dunn is someone a team should have taken a flyer on in the 7th. Slot corners that run 4.38 are not exactly common.

 

https://jetswire.usatoday.com/2021/05/02/new-york-jets-undrafted-free-agents-isaiah-dunn-kenny-yeboah-contracts/

Jets hand out big contracts to UDFAs Isaiah Dunn, Kenny Yeboah

 

Dunn’s contract is the biggest ever for a UDFA cornerback, per Wilson, and includes a $160,000 fully guaranteed base salary and a $25,000 signing bonus. 

 

 

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4 hours ago, Chump Bailey said:

Not to be pretentious or anything, okay maybe a smidge, my undrafted CB out of Oregon State Isaiah Dunn is someone a team should have taken a flyer on in the 7th. Slot corners that run 4.38 are not exactly common.

 

https://jetswire.usatoday.com/2021/05/02/new-york-jets-undrafted-free-agents-isaiah-dunn-kenny-yeboah-contracts/

Jets hand out big contracts to UDFAs Isaiah Dunn, Kenny Yeboah

 

Dunn’s contract is the biggest ever for a UDFA cornerback, per Wilson, and includes a $160,000 fully guaranteed base salary and a $25,000 signing bonus. 

 

 

Something say a slight bonus might reflect, lol. +1...

Edited by COWBOY-KILLA-
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