MattFancy Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 http://news.yahoo.com/15-current-technologies-child-born-today-never-142409696.html Wired Home Internet Dedicated Cameras and Camcorders Landline Phones Slow-Booting Computers Windowed Operating Systems Hard Drives Movie Theaters The Mouse 3D Glasses Remote Controls Desktops Phone Numbers Prime-time Television Fax Machines Optical Discs Definitely agree with landlines. We have one in our house, but I'd say that 95% of all the phone calls I make are on my cell phone. Agree with the dedicated cameras too. I think some of the high quality cameras will stick around for the photography folks, but as far as the low end cameras, I think those will start to disappear. Prime-time TV I think is more of a pipe dream. Its kind of happening with more and more people using DVRs, but I don't think prime-TV will go anywhere. Same with phone numbers, I don't see how those would go away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAbrendan Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Neat list...I don't see how remote controls would be obsolete, though, unless everything would be controlled VIA optics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattFancy Posted May 14, 2012 Author Share Posted May 14, 2012 Neat list...I don't see how remote controls would be obsolete, though, unless everything would be controlled VIA optics. With the technology in things like Kinect, it could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Califan007 The Constipated Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 I'll add some more: - Stand-alone GPS devices - iPods - Game controllers - CDs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warhead36 Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 This list reminds me of things in my childhood that are no longer around, like VCRs. Ahh how I do miss VCRs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrypticVillain Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 I'll add some more:- Stand-alone GPS devices - iPods - Game controllers - CDs These aren't going anywhere. Those Wii/Kinnect games are fun to play, but as long as there are hardcore games being made (Call of Duty, Madden, Halo, ANY FIGHTING GAME) We will need those game controllers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattFancy Posted May 14, 2012 Author Share Posted May 14, 2012 I'll add some more:- Stand-alone GPS devices - iPods - Game controllers - CDs Not sure about game controllers. I think people like being able to use a controller, but I could see that happening. Definitely agree with your others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GhostofSparta Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Eh, I get the point, but these people are obviously talking about rich kids born today. Poor and middle class kids will still use things like a Mouse and Hard Drive and Desktop because schools will still have computers in 5-10 years that aren't top-of-the-line. Those things will still exist. And phone numbers, really? Again, land lines still exist right now, and they won't be totally gone in 5 years. So if you want to talk to your grandparents, you might have to dial a number. Or, again, if one of your poor friends still has a cell phone instead of whatever telepathic implant they're imagining will exist in 7-8 years, they'll still need to get in touch with them somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheers, Beers and Mountaineers Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Movie theaters? I think it will take longer than 15 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enter Apotheosis Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Land lines are the only one I completely agree with. Everything else is either optimistic or just plain stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAbrendan Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Land lines are the only one I completely agree with. Everything else is either optimistic or just plain stupid. I would agree, but would also add fax machines, and even optical discs. I think both have a chance of staying around, but in 10-15 years, I wouldn't be surprised to see either as an obsolete product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLongshot Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Land lines are the only one I completely agree with. Everything else is either optimistic or just plain stupid. Until I can get a reliable signal in my basement, I think this is a pipedream as well. While many people can go without land lines, there are still many places in this country where wireless penetration hasn't quite happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larry Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 I'm wondering if, 10-20 years from now, if broadcast media, and things associated with it, will be obsolete. I mean, I can at least envision the day where the bulk of the entertainment you watch, will come in through the ethernet jack. You'll pick and chose which shows you subscribe to. (Either individually, or through a bundle. Maybe the networks will survive, as programming bundles.) At the very least, things like "the TV schedule" and "changing channels" would be a thing of the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Califan007 The Constipated Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 These aren't going anywhere. Those Wii/Kinnect games are fun to play, but as long as there are hardcore games being made (Call of Duty, Madden, Halo, ANY FIGHTING GAME) We will need those game controllers. Not sure about game controllers. I think people like being able to use a controller, but I could see that happening.Definitely agree with your others When I say "game controllers", I mean those units you hold in your hands, press A or B or some combo, move this lever, press this switch...that stuff. I have zero doubt that what we use as game controllers now will be history 15 years down the road. We already have software that allows you to "physically" interact with things on the monitor, where you actually feel the item, its textures, its weight, its substance...you just put on some light gloves and start picking up and moving items on the screen. Actually this was like 10 years ago lol..."game controllers" may still exist, but they will not be anything like this anymore: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger187126 Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 there's some merit here. i don't think completely gone, but i do think you will be in an extreme minority for the majority of this list in 10-15 years. some of these things are already on their way out. i wonder, in reference to movie theaters, how much sports venues are going to drop in usage. in 10-15 years i bet the blackout rules will be modified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enter Apotheosis Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 When I say "game controllers", I mean those units you hold in your hands, press A or B or some combo, move this lever, press this switch...that stuff. I have zero doubt that what we use as game controllers now will be history 15 years down the road.We already have software that allows you to "physically" interact with things on the monitor, where you actually feel the item, its textures, its weight, its substance...you just put on some light gloves and start picking up and moving items on the screen. Actually this was like 10 years ago lol..."game controllers" may still exist, but they will not be anything like this anymore: You will very likely be wrong. There are some tools that are just too functional to achieve true obsolescence in such a short timeframe. Game controllers, the mouse, and the keyboard aren't going to go anywhere for quite some time. Even a dramatic, paradigm-shifting invention in the realm of human-computer interaction would take more than 15 years to fully be realized and perfected to a level that would completely eliminate the current status quo. The optical and touch screen technologies in their current states are not that caliber of invention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger187126 Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 When I say "game controllers", I mean those units you hold in your hands, press A or B or some combo, move this lever, press this switch...that stuff. I have zero doubt that what we use as game controllers now will be history 15 years down the road.We already have software that allows you to "physically" interact with things on the monitor, where you actually feel the item, its textures, its weight, its substance...you just put on some light gloves and start picking up and moving items on the screen. Actually this was like 10 years ago lol. the future is NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IONTOP Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 I wouldn't be able to live without wired home internet... I already suck at WoW and I don't need extra lag to screw me up more... Just like Desktops, there's a certain appeal to people about being able to swap things and build your own... Laptop lets you swap hard drives and ram... But that's about it... To keep my computer competitive, really the only thing I need is a video card and ram upgrades... Possibly a SSD... With a laptop, I'd be searching for a new one (~$1200) I'd guess... I could see the mouse being obsolete with eye tracking software that would put the cursor to where you look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
China Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Phone Numbers? What will they be replaced with? Seeing as everyone is moving towards smartphones. And are phone numbers and prime time TV technologies or just things in everyday use by most people? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger187126 Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 You will very likely be wrong. There are some tools that are just too functional to achieve true obsolescence in such a short timeframe. Game controllers, the mouse, and the keyboard aren't going to go anywhere for quite some time. Even a dramatic, paradigm-shifting invention in the realm of human-computer interaction would take more than 15 years to fully be realized and perfected to a level that would completely eliminate the current status quo. The optical and touch screen technologies in their current states are not that caliber of invention. i think that movement based games are a lot like 3D TVs. a neat niche, but not really revolutionary and lack a broad enough appeal to catch on. even smart TVs fit into this. people bought 3D tv's because they were excellent 2d tv's at a more reasonable price than elite 2d tvs. i read an article that said that some 50% of smart TV owners have never used a smart feature on their TV. oh, and as a fan of PC gaming and xbox/playstation gaming i would like to present this chart: our controllers are not going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sticksboi05 Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Lol, you don't have to be 20 to use something. Theaters and desktops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Corcaigh Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Hyperbole ... but a title of '15 current technologies a child born today will consider a niche product' wouldn't be as compelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Califan007 The Constipated Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 You will very likely be wrong. There are some tools that are just too functional to achieve true obsolescence in such a short timeframe. Game controllers, the mouse, and the keyboard aren't going to go anywhere for quite some time. Even a dramatic, paradigm-shifting invention in the realm of human-computer interaction would take more than 15 years to fully be realized and perfected to a level that would completely eliminate the current status quo. The optical and touch screen technologies in their current states are not that caliber of invention. Two things tell me I could be right: 1) I worked in an industrial design firm 12 years ago, the one that designed the Sony game controller. At that time was when I first experienced that glove-like thing that allowed me to manipulate the items on-screen as if they were 3-dimensional objects. It was freaky. The reason we were experimenting with it was precisely because it was an avenue that game controlling was thinking about traveling down...so if it happens, it won't be a 15 year journey because it would not be starting today. It started 15-20 years ago. 2) Porn tends to play a HUGE role in the development of electronic entertainment...basically speaking, the reason DVDs took off is because of the benefits that watching porn on DVD offered as compared to VHS. For a long time it was thought that DVDs would be little more than a fad, especially because sales were so slow. Well, until the porn industry started putting their movies out on discs instead of tape lol... Now...imagine having that technology I mentioned above--where some lightweight gloves can allow you to interact with what you see on the screen in an extremely realistic way... Yeah, exactly lol... ---------- Post added May-14th-2012 at 03:02 PM ---------- the future is NOW!http://images.wikia.com/nintendo/en/images/4/4e/PowerGlove.jpg :rotflmao: See? See??...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enter Apotheosis Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Two things tell me I could be right:1) I worked in an industrial design firm 12 years ago, the one that designed the Sony game controller. At that time was when I first experienced that glove-like thing that allowed me to manipulate the items on-screen as if they were 3-dimensional objects. It was freaky. The reason we were experimenting with it was precisely because it was an avenue that game controlling was thinking about traveling down...so if it happens, it won't be a 15 year journey because it would not be starting today. It started 15-20 years ago. I figured someone would say this. The core basis of my belief, however, is that said technology that has been under development for a decade or more is missing some critical element that it genuinely needs to truly become mainstream. That critical element, if it exists at all at this point in time, is only going to be in its infancy and will need a decade or more to mature to the point of widescale adaptation. When it comes to input devices specifically, proper ergonomics and functional tactile feedback are sorely lacking from most of the "cool", new devices. 2) Porn tends to play a HUGE role in the development of electronic entertainment...basically speaking, the reason DVDs took off is because of the benefits that watching porn on DVD offered as compared to VHS. For a long time it was thought that DVDs would be little more than a fad, especially because sales were so slow. Well, until the porn industry started putting their movies out on discs instead of tape lol...Now...imagine having that technology I mentioned above--where some lightweight gloves can allow you to interact with what you see on the screen in an extremely realistic way... Yeah, exactly lol... Again, I get where you're coming from... but we're not even close to the part I emphasized. Technology moves frighteningly quickly but it still takes some time for novel ideas to be fully realized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Destino Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Wired Home Internet - nonsense. Dedicated Cameras and Camcorders - point and shoot cameras and low end video cameras. The high end stuff will remain. Landline Phones - nonsense. Slow-Booting Computers - agreed. Windowed Operating Systems - agreed. Hard Drives - agreed. Movie Theaters - Why go out to a restaurant when you can eat at home? Same principle. The Mouse - On some devices sure... but i can't imagine working with a screen I had to constantly reach for. 3D Glasses - agreed. Remote Controls - Screaming at your TV for it to change the channel might be fun. Desktops - nonsense. Phone Numbers - nonsense. Prime-time Television - agreed. Fax Machines - agreed. Optical Discs - agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.