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The Non-Winter Weather Thread


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On 7/21/2022 at 9:12 AM, China said:

Now at 15 days without A/C.  Just got a call that the part isn't in yet and they won't be able to fix our A/C 'til Monday.  It's supposed to get up to 97 on Sunday.  What a fun weekend!

 

Finally, got my A/C fixed yesterday, just in time for the temps to drop.  Happy nonetheless.

 

National Integrated Heat Health Information System

 

At left, see the current number of people in the U.S. that are currently under active National Weather Service extreme heat advisories, watches, and warnings.

 

Below, interact with current and future heat tools to understand where dangerous heat conditions may exist in the future.

 

Click the link for the heat maps, warnings, etc.

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Forecasters trim hurricane season outlook a bit, still busy

 

This hurricane season may be a tad quieter than initially projected, but it is still likely to be busier than normal, government forecasters and others say.

 

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday trimmed their hurricane season outlook from a 65% chance for above normal activity to 60% and increased the odds of a normal season from 25% to 30% because of uneven sea surface temperature, including a patch of cooler water off Portugal. Parts of the Atlantic are warmer than normal, but the variability had forecasters “backing off on the higher end” of their predictions, said lead hurricane outlook forecaster Matthew Rosencrans.

 

The weather agency now predicts 14 to 20 named storms instead of its May forecast which was 14 to 21. The predicted number of hurricanes remains the same at six to 10 while those storms that hit major category of at least 111 mph are now forecast to be three to five instead of three to six. The forecast includes the three tropical storms that formed in June and early July, about average for this time of year, but quieter than the last few years.

 

An average season has 14 named storms with seven becoming hurricanes and three of those being majors, according to NOAA. There were 21 named storms last year, a record 30 in 2020 and 18 in 2019.

 

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The Radio System That Keeps Us Safe From Extreme Weather Is Under Threat

 

In March, a group of massive tornadoes struck communities around Des Moines, Iowa. Seven people were killed, including two children under 5. The crisis received attention not only due to its human cost, but also because of delays in emergency wireless communications: Thanks to a broken fiber optic cable at the Dallas-Fort Worth National Weather Service offices, wireless emergency transmissions were switched to an auxiliary satellite system, which all NWS offices use. Overloaded with extreme weather messages from elsewhere in the Midwest, the satellite messaging system found itself backed up just as the Iowa tornadoes reached their peak. This caused anywhere from a two- to nine-minute delay in tornado warning messages—and may have significantly reduced warning time at a moment when seconds count. The issue lasted for several hours as the deadly tornadoes ripped through the state.

 

NOAA Weather Radio, on the other hand, continued broadcasting effectively during the crisis.  According to Bruce Jones, a weather radio expert and meteorologist with Midland Radio Corporation, “because the NWR broadcast comes direct from the National Weather Service local forecast office, those NOAA Weather Radio alerts and warnings were unimpeded and reached folks immediately.”

 

Often referred to as the “voice” of the National Weather Service, NOAA Weather Radio is a 24/7 public service that broadcasts weather information from more than 1,000 stations across the United States and many of its territories. And while Des Moines was a great success story for NOAA Weather Radio, the service faces mounting issues with aging technology and infrastructure, raising concerns over whether it will be able to continue protecting communities facing extreme weather.

 

Heard across several frequencies outside of the AM and FM bands, the NOAA Weather Radio system is the only radio service operated by the federal government. 

 

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More storms forecast for flooded areas of West Virginia

 

More thunderstorms were forecast this week for much of West Virginia, including areas that flooded Monday after up to 5 inches (13 centimeters) of rain fell in some areas, the National Weather Service said.

 

Storms were expected to develop Tuesday and Wednesday, according to the weather service, but a flood watch was no longer in effect.

 

West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice declared a state of emergency in two southern counties hit by flooding from heavy rains. The declaration in Fayette and Kanawha counties enables the National Guard to respond to hard-hit areas.

 

Some people had to be rescued by water as the flooding damaged more than 100 homes, bridges and roads, the governor’s office said in a statement. Drinking water systems also were disrupted and more than 2,000 customers lost electricity.

 

Several feet of mud made roads impassible in the Smithers area along the Fayette-Kanawha county line, the state Division of Highways said.

 

Crews were working Tuesday to open roads, clear mudslides and repair drainage structures in the area, but it wasn't easy.

 

"The area is so saturated that, as they’re clearing away the debris, it’s like working through mud soup.” said District 9 Engineer Jim Moore.

 

Fayette County resident Georgia Cottrell told WCHS radio the mud, combined with bridge washouts, left her stranded, unable to reach either her job or her home.

 

Smithers Mayor Anne Cavalier told the station that a lot of homes got water in their first floors and basements.

 

“I saw cars coming down Smithers Creek. They're somewhere out in the Kanawha River now,” she said.

 

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Dozens of high-water rescues are underway as the drought-parched Dallas area gets a summer's worth of rain in a day

 

Dozens of high-water rescues were underway Monday -- amid more than 450 such pleas since the prior night -- as greater Dallas faces the threat of more flooding caused by sudden, climate crisis-fueled storms that have stunned parts of Texas afflicted by "flash drought."

 

According to the National Weather Service office in Fort Worth, 9.19 inches of rain fell at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport during a 24-hour period that began Sunday. It was the second highest rainfall total for that length of time in that area and most since 1932.


Another area of Dallas had 15.16 inches, the according to the NWS.


A flood watch was in effect for Dallas and Tarrant counties continue until 8 p.m. CT Monday, the NWS said.

 

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Western Alaska braces for strong storm, possible floods

 

 A vast swath of western Alaska could see flooding and high winds as the remnants of Typhoon Merbok move toward the Bering Sea region.

 

The National Weather Service has coastal flood warnings in place, beginning Friday, spanning from parts of southwest Alaska all the way up to the Chukchi Sea coast in northwest Alaska. The agency warned Thursday that water levels in Nome could be up to 11 feet (3.3 meters) above the normal high tide line, and in Golovin up to 13 feet (4 meters).

 

The weather service's Fairbanks office on social media said some locations “may experience their worst coastal flooding in nearly 50 years. Peak water levels will persist for 10 to 14 hours before water recedes."

 

The coastal flood warning for the southern Seward Peninsula coast, including Nome, was in effect from Friday evening until Sunday morning.

 

Damaging winds were possible, with widespread power outages expected on St. Lawrence Island and communities including Wales, Nome, Golovin and Kotzebue, the weather service said.

 

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Storm lashes Alaskan shore, bringing severe coastal flooding and prompting evacuations

 

The remnants of Typhoon Merbok have been battering Alaska's western coast since late Friday, bringing flooding powerful enough to uproot buildings and forcing residents to seek shelter.

 

Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy on Saturday declared a disaster for impacted communities as heavy rains lashed the coast, filling roadways with water and debris.

 

By Saturday night, the governor was reporting impacts to roads, oil storage and possibly sea walls. Authorities were still assessing whether the storm affected water supplies and sewage systems in the state's western towns, Dunleavy said in a Saturday night briefing.


About 450 residents in coastal communities have sought shelter in schools, according to Bryan Fisher, director of the state's Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management.
There were no reports of injuries or fatalities related to the storm as of Saturday night, said Maj. Gen. Torrence Saxe of the Alaska National Guard, adding that "there likely will be a military response" with aircraft ready to help with evacuations if necessary.


Water continues to surge early Sunday, with levels expected to peak above the high tide line of 3-5 feet at Deering, 4-6 feet at Kotzebue, and 5-7 feet at Shishmaref and Kivalina, according to the National Weather Service.


"These are concerning numbers," NWS tweeted.

 

 

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