Jump to content
Washington Football Team Logo
Extremeskins

***Official 2011/2012 Winter Weather Thread***


mikered30

Recommended Posts

It's specific to Minneapolis, but I found this pretty interesting. This time last year, MSP had already racked up 34" of snow. This year? Only 7.9" so far.

http://www.kare11.com/news/article/951048/391/Wheres-the-snow

MINNEAPOLIS -- Did you ever think in the middle of LAST winter that this season (at least to start) we're talking about a lack of snow? Yes, the winter season of 2011-2012 is off to a dull and mild start to be sure. Season to date snowfall stands at just 7.9 inches, compared to the normal season to date snowfall of 14.3 inches. Last year at this time? That's right, a completely different story. We had already seen 34.0 inches of snow! Duluth, one of the "snow capitols" of our state has seen even less than us at just 4.3 inches (compared to a normal 22.1" for them to date).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Don't worry...December will be the calm before the storms. It will all change in Jan & Feb.

http://www.wxrisk.com/2011/12/november-2011-nao-extremely-positive/

The latest from Dave at WXRISK:

Keep in Mind we have weak to moderate La Nina event underway and weaker than last winter. Of course 1982-83 was raging very strong El Ninio…. strongest ever so that is NOT really relvant… 1986-87 was a moderate El Nino so again I wouldnt give that winter much consideration and 1977-78 was a weak El NIno winter.

1952-53 was a neutral year as was 1958-59 and 1992-93 and 1993-94…so again not good matches

Thus right now we do not really have any good analogs of strongly Positive NAO and La Nina. But it is also a FACT that there has never been a winter with a WEAK / Moderate La Nina SHORT DURATION events ( 1962-63 1964-65 1984-85 1995-96 2010-11 ) where the NAO has stayed positive in all 3 months DEC JAN FEB

SUMMARY.. the pattern for rest of DECEMBER looks QUIET.. without any hints of major winters storms for the EASTERN Conus . On the other hand the the pattern does NOT look nearly as warm as it did last week. Its a Blah pattern… with a bias of SEASONALY mild temps over the Deep south and Mid Atlantic . On the other hand the western US into the Rockies ( and Upper Plains) look cold… not severe or even major cold.. but cold and very wet . If we can get the current MJO impulse to NOT turn into the circle of death and ake it to phase 7 we could see the patetrn finally shift. to one where the mean trough moves into the eastern US… But right now that is not supported by the data.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 3 weeks later...

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...