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  • 2 weeks later...
  • China changed the title to Winter Weather Thread

NOAA releases winter weather predictions for U.S.

 

Climate experts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have put together what they believe is the most likely weather pattern we’ll see when it comes to temperatures, rain, snow and La Niña this winter.

 

The agency released its winter outlook for the 2021-22 season, as La Niña conditions start to take hold for the second year straight.

 

Before we jump into the predictions, John Gottschalck, chief of NOAA’s operational prediction branch, reminds everyone this outlook is based on probability. “Other outcomes are possible, just less likely,” he said.

 

Here’s what NOAA is predicting for winter weather around the country.

 

Temperature
NOAA is forecasting a warmer than average winter for much of the country. The South and the Gulf Coast have the strongest probability of a warmer-than-usual winter. The Southwest, much of the Midwest and the Northeast can also expect a warmer winter.

 

The Pacific Northwest, Montana and the western half of the Dakotas are likely to see a colder-than-average winter.

 

Northern California, Wyoming and Minnesota look like they will see normal temperatures.

 

IMAGE-winteroutlook_seasonal_temperature

 

 

Precipitation (rain and snow)
The Pacific Northwest and Great Lakes region are most likely to see a wetter-than-average winter this year. The Northern Rockies, parts of New York, Ohio, Kentucky, West Virginia and Missouri may also see more precipitation.

 

The southern half of the country is looking at drier conditions, especially the Southwest, Florida and southern Georgia.

 

The rest of the country should expect an average amount of rain or snow.

 

This precipitation forecast has a lot do with La Niña, which has already started to settle in.

 

IMAGE-winteroutlook_seasonal_precipitati

 

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  • 4 weeks later...

'This looks like a Planes, Trains and Automobiles storm': Heavy snow and rain across Northeast and Midwest next week is expected to 'throw a wrench' into Thanksgiving travel plans for up to 50million Americans

 

A winter storm is set to wallop central and eastern US next week, wreaking havoc on roads and flights as more than 53 million Americans make their way home for Thanksgiving - after many were forced to skip last year's gatherings due to Covid

 

The National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center warned the storm could be 'potentially significant.' 

 

It could be disappointing news for the scores of Americans who already missed celebrating the holiday with loved ones during last year's Thanksgiving due to COVID-19 restrictions. 


Weather models are forecast the storm will form in the central plains next Sunday then move northeast into Canada while dumping snow across parts of Minnesota, north Wisconsin and northern Michigan.

 

The storm could result in 'heavy accumulations' from northern Indiana and Michigan to Maryland next Monday through Wednesday, meteorologists said.

 

'We could be looking at a huge mess and a real wrench in holiday travel,' said AccuWeather chief meteorologist Jon Porter.

 

50627229-10210249-image-a-54_16371860428

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

French Toast Alert System

 

The French Toast Alert System has been developed in consultation with local and federal emergency officials to help you determine when to panic and rush to the store to buy milk, eggs and bread.

 

1 Slice / Low: No storm predicted. Harvey Leonard sighs and looks dour on the evening news. Go about your daily business but consider buying second refrigerator for basement, diesel generator. Good time to replenish stocks of maple syrup, cinnamon.

 

2 Slices / Guarded: Light snow predicted. Subtle grin appears on Harvey Leonard's face. Check car fuel gauge, memorize quickest route to emergency supermarket should conditions change.

 

3 Slices / Elevated: Moderate, plowable snow predicted. Harvey Leonard openly smiles during report. Empty your trunk to make room for milk, eggs and bread. Clear space in refrigerator and head to store for an extra gallon of milk, a spare dozen eggs and a new loaf of bread.

 

4 Slices / High: Heavy snow predicted. Harvey Leonard breaks into huge grin, can't keep his hands off the weather map. Proceed at speed limit before snow starts to nearest supermarket to pick up two gallons of milk, a couple dozen eggs and two loaves of bread - per person in household.

 

5 Slices / Severe: Nor'easter predicted. This is it, people, THE BIG ONE. Harvey Leonard makes repeated references to the Blizzard of '78. RUSH to emergency supermarket NOW for multiple gallons of milk, cartons of eggs and loaves of bread. IGNORE cries of little old lady you've just trampled in mad rush to get last gallon of milk. Place pets in basement for use as emergency food supply if needed.

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

Winter storm could bring 10 feet of snow and rare white Christmas to parts of U.S.

 

A winter storm system could bring a rare white Christmas to parts of the U.S., with some grappling with the possibility of snow piling up to 10 feet high.

 

The incoming storm is expected to hit regions in close proximity to sea level, including Oregon and Washington states, according to the National Weather Service.

 

Meanwhile, heavy snowfall is expected in the central Sierra Nevada Mountains, where snow could pile up as high as 10 feet.

 

Most residents in the Sierra Nevadas are expected to see around five to eight feet of snow, with people urged to avoid travel over the coming days due to potentially hazardous driving conditions.

 

“A series of Pacific storms will bring periods of heavy low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow to the Western U.S. through the Christmas weekend,” the National Weather Service said in a tweet on Wednesday.

 

It also warned that flash flooding and debris flows were possible in the vicinity of recently burned areas.

 

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Yeah it's been raining for the past 36 hours just on this side of the Sierra Nevada,(East),and raining/snowing at Lake level in Tahoe for even longer. Though it turned in to snow overnight and it's Winter wonderland up a bit higher than lake level right now. Turning to snow where I live as I type this. 

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Massive pileup crash closes I-94 in Jackson County

 

The Wisconsin State Patrol says there were no deaths or reported injuries after a massive and fiery pileup on I-94 in northwestern Wisconsin Thursday morning, Dec. 23. Authorities say icy roads between Menomonie to Black River Falls caused about 40 vehicles to be impacted.

 

Around 5:45 a.m., multiple agencies were called to respond to multiple crashes, runoffs and jackknifed semi trucks.

 

State police reported one semi-truck on fire in the median with two passenger vehicles underneath.

 

 

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21 hours ago, China said:

Am I correct in guessing that all this moisture will not even make a dent in the overall drought conditions, and that it will take many such events to get things close to normal?

From what I gather, these storms are making a bit of a dent,but yeah they say it'll take some more of these to make really good progress.

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Christmas highs reach July levels in Texas and Oklahoma, while the West Coast could see a foot of snow

 

Christmas Day doesn't feel much like winter for much of the South and Southeast.

 

More than 200 records may be broken Christmas Day through Wednesday from Texas to the southeastern U.S. as warm air pushes into the region, bringing spring- and summerlike temperatures. Many locations, including Dallas, Houston and Austin are expected to break daily record highs, but high-temperature records for the entire month of December could also be broken.

 

Specifically, Dallas has a forecast high for Christmas of 83, which is only 6 degrees under its July 4 high; Houston has a forecast high of 81, which is 9 degrees below its July 4 high.

Wichita Falls, Texas, hit 91 Friday -- warmer than its July 4 high of 88, and Grandfield, Oklahoma, reached 89, which also beats its July 4 high of 88.

 

Along with the warm temperatures, level 2 of 3 critical fire danger has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for parts of west Texas and Oklahoma and east Colorado on Sunday due to minimal rain chances, sustained winds up to 25 mph and very low relative humidity that will raise wildfire concerns. The warm weather trend will continue through Wednesday before temperatures lower slightly, but highs will remain above average all week.

 

Contrasting the spring- and summer-like temperatures across the South, the West is seeing rounds of coastal rain and heavy high elevation snowfall.

 

Multiple rounds of snow are impacting the West from a Christmas Day system, contributing to significant mountain snowfall and lower elevation rainfall on the West Coast.

 

More than 6 million people across the Western U.S. are under a winter storm warning.

 

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