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Election 2022 (Dems in charge of Senate. Reps take the House. Herschel Walker headed back home to ignore his children )

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Texans Don’t Want Abbott Back As Governor—But Don’t Want O’Rourke Or McConaughey, Either, Poll Finds


The 2022 Texas governor's race is already attracting a lot of attention, but Texas voters don't seem too excited about the names being floated for the job at this point, according a a Quinnipiac poll, which found most voters don't think Gov. Greg Abbott (R) should be reelected, but also aren't confident that Beto O'Rourke or Matthew McConaughey are good fits for the job.


The poll of 863 Texas voters conducted September 24-27 found only 42% think Abbott is deserving of a third term, while 51% said he should not be reelected.


Democrat Beto O'Rourke, who will reportedly jump into the race, only has 33% of voters believing he'd make a good governor at this point, while 50% think he wouldn't.


O’Rourke has strong support among Democrats, with 81% believing he'd do a good job, but scores poorly among Republicans and independents—84% in the GOP and 55% of independents don't think he'd make a good governor.


Matthew McConaughey, the famed actor who's publicly mulled a run, also doesn't seem to be inspiring potential voters at this point.


A quarter of those polled think he'd do a good job as governor, but 49% say he would not, and his numbers are underwater with Republicans, Democrats and independents.


Democrats are the most confident in McConaughey, with 36% saying they think he'd make a good governor, but only 23% of independents and 17% of Republicans agree.


Abbott is facing a primary challenge from former U.S. Rep. Allen West, who served as chairman of the Texas GOP from July 20, 2020 to July 11, 2021. 


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  • 2 weeks later...

History doesn't bode well for the Dems in 22.   Ultimately, it will come down to 3 things:


1.  Who will be more motivated?  The GOP voters, who are voting against the Dems and their agenda  or the Dems voters, who will be voting for ????  Okay, I am not sure what the Dem voters motivation will be.  History says the GOP voter will be.


2.  The impact of Trump.  I don't think Trump was a factor in Virginia but he will definitely be a factor in 22.  You know Trump won't stay out of the midterm races.


3.  The type of candidates.  There will be more MTG type candidates.  Will that help or hurt the GOP?  I think at the congressional level, it probably helps the GOP.  At the state level- where you are voting for Senator and Governor; I'm not sure a Trumpy candidate wins everywhere. Might be the Dems only shot.  The more crazier GOP candidate the better for Dems chances.

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U.S. Rep. Louie Gohmert exploring run against Attorney General Ken Paxton in increasingly crowded GOP primary


U.S. Rep. Louie Gohmert, R-Tyler, is exploring a run for Texas attorney general, weighing a late entry into the already crowded primary to unseat GOP incumbent Ken Paxton. Gohmert said he will run if he can raise $1 million in the next 10 days.


He announced his plans during an event Tuesday morning in Tyler that was surrounded by confusion. He had been set to make a "very important" campaign announcement there, and while a live broadcast of the announcement did not work, a website surfaced around the same time that claimed he was making an "exploratory" effort in the race. The Texas Ethics Commission said afterward that it received a new campaign treasurer appointment from Gohmert for an attorney general run, one of the first formal steps someone has to take to vie for state office.


According to video of the event, Gohmert repeatedly warned that Paxton's legal problems could jeopardize the attorney general position for Republicans in November.


"We've got to have an attorney general that's undistracted by moral and legal issues of his own and who can get elected a year from now," Gohmert said.


Gohmert said he would be "all in" if he can collect $1 million in contributions by the end of the day on Nov. 19. If he does not, he added, he would run for reelection to his current seat in Texas' 1st Congressional District.


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Wouldn't mind seeing him leave Congress, I just wonder who'd replace him and would they be any better.

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Budowsky: A Biden war plan to win 2022 midterm elections




Hard truth for Democrats: If the midterm elections were held today, Democrats would probably lose control of the House and their Senate majority would be endangered.


Hard truth for Republicans: Contrary to GOP propaganda, Democrats have tremendous majority support on a wide range of the most important issues facing the electorate. If they play their cards right, Democrats can increase their majorities in the House and Senate.


Big truth for President Biden: He did some things brilliantly well with dramatic results that included a landmark bill that was a historic recovery act, a landmark bill that was a bipartisan infrastructure plan, and will soon achieve a landmark Build Back Better bill. He is not remotely getting the credit he and Democrats deserve because he failed to make the powerful public case, alerting voters to the great benefits they receive from Democratic programs, and calling on voters to deluge Congress to urge members to support Democratic plans.


President Biden needs to spearhead, coordinate and execute a political war plan. Make no mistake, the midterm elections are a political war with incalculable consequences for the future of his presidency, his party and the nation.


On major issues in the leading bills that Biden and Democrats have already passed, and will soon pass, public support for the major provisions ranges from 60 percent to above 80 percent, from West Virginia and Arizona to Michigan and New Hampshire, in red, blue and purple states across the nation.


The biggest communications challenge, but the best kind of challenge a president can confront, is the sheer number of highly popular proposals that have been passed, and that Biden and Democrats are battling to pass.


A Biden war plan, to mobilize support to enact Democratic plans and receive well-earned credit for what Democrats have already accomplished, would include:


First, Biden should give a series of short fireside chats, each focused on one or two major plans at most. Lasting two to three minutes each, they should inform voters about how they are helped by important and popular proposals that have been passed and urge voters to deluge their members of the House and Senate to urge support for those that have not yet been passed.

The topics could be child care, paid family leave, lowering prescription drug prices, jobs building infrastructure, climate change, voting rights and other priority issues.


Critically, each of these fireside chats should be organized and coordinated with advance notice to major groups of voters that benefit from these proposals such as women, seniors, labor and minorities who should mass notify their members of these fireside chats to understand how they benefit, and if needed, to contact Congress en masse.


Second, there should be coordinated saturation of  television, radio, and internet ads to supplement the fireside chat mobilization to convey the simple, clear, understandable message of how voters benefit from them, and if necessary, could contact Congress to support them.  This could be organized by the Democratic National Committee and/or other organizations.


Third, President Biden should address the nation from the Oval Office in prime time when Congress returns from recess to inform voters of how they benefit from these plans and urge them to contact Congress en masse to support them.  


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GOP recruitment struggles give Democrats hope in 2022 Senate fight


They lost the governor's race in Virginia. They had a bad scare in New Jersey. They're the clear underdogs in the battle for the U.S. House. But Democrats saw glimmers of hope in the fight for the Senate on Tuesday when a top Republican prospect decided not to run.


In New Hampshire, popular Republican Gov. Chris Sununu shocked party leaders when he announced that he wouldn't launch a bid for a Democratic-held seat, preferring instead to seek re-election for a fourth term as governor.


With one-third of the Senate up for grabs next year and a handful of competitive states likely to decide control, Democrats are looking for any advantage as they try to defend their majority. They've been getting some help recently from Republicans.


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Wow, a Lot of 2022 Republican Candidates Have Been Accused of Assaulting or Threatening to Murder Someone


Things might be different by November 2022—you might even say that the only constant in this crazy world is change itself—but as it stands right now, Republicans are, by conventional indicators, in a good position to retake Congress. The incumbent Democratic president’s approval rating is low, off-year elections in swing states are tilting red, and rising costs are forcing certain bloggers (me) who don’t enjoy the subject of macroeconomics not just to pay more for groceries but to read articles about “aggregate demand” and “the money supply.”


The key phrase in the paragraph above, though, is conventional indicators. Historical models and precedents don’t account for one party being controlled by someone like Donald Trump, who judges potential congressional candidates only by whether they support his absurd claim that he won the previous election. The exclusive prioritization of this specific attribute means ignoring other factors that are traditionally used to screen potential nominees, such as whether they have a personality and record that might appeal to a specific electorate, or whether they have been accused of violent crimes.


The latter consideration has been made salient in recent days thanks to developments in a custody trial involving Sean Parnell, a right-wing Pennsylvania activist and former Army Ranger who earned Trump’s endorsement in his state’s 2022 Senate primary two months ago. (Parnell’s only previous run for office was an unsuccessful 2020 challenge to Pittsburgh-area Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb.) In the trial, which is ongoing, Parnell’s ex-wife testified that he once strangled her and that he has hit their children. In 2019, meanwhile, Parnell made an appearance on a Fox Nation talk show in which he blamed feminism for creating “women tyrants” and asserted that “men don’t want to put up with the BS of high-maintenance narcissistic women.” (He has denied the accusations of abuse and said his comments on the show were tongue-in-cheek.)

Similar accusations have been made against three other candidates in potentially competitive 2022 races who have either been endorsed by Trump or appear to have a good chance at earning his support:


• In Georgia, Trump has endorsed the Senate campaign of former football player Herschel Walker. Walker’s ex-wife and one of his ex-girlfriends have both accused him of threatening to kill them; his ex-wife, who received a protective order against him, said he once pointed a gun at her. Walker denies the ex-girlfriend’s accusations and has said he does not remember threatening his now-ex-wife.


• In Ohio’s 16th District—currently represented by Republican Anthony Gonzalez, who has decided not to run for reelection after becoming an outcast in his party for voting to impeach Trump after Jan. 6—the former president has endorsed a onetime aide of his named Max Miller. Former White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham says Miller pushed her against a wall and slapped her while they were dating during Trump’s term. (Miller denies it.) Per the Washington Post, Miller also pleaded no contest to two misdemeanor charges related to an alleged 2007 assault (the charges were later dismissed as part of a program for first-time offenders) and guilty to a disorderly conduct charge related to a fight outside a hookah bar in 2010.


• In Missouri, former Gov. Eric Greitens, who is running for Senate, has appeared with Rudy Giuliani and hired Donald Trump Jr.’s girlfriend Kimberly Guilfoyle as the national chair of his campaign. Greitens resigned as governor in 2018 after a woman who was not his wife said he had slapped her, intimidated her into performing oral sex on him, and taken a nude photo of her without her permission that he told her he would release if she spoke about their affair. He denies the allegations and says the affair was consensual; an investigative committee of state legislators found the woman’s version of events “credible.”


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Yes, Trump prefers only the best people.



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Trump-backed Michigan secretary of state candidate spread false election claims and January 6 conspiracy theories


Kristina Karamo -- the candidate Donald Trump is backing to be Michigan's next secretary of state -- has falsely claimed the former President was the true victor in Michigan in 2020 and has spread the conspiracy theory that left-wing anarchists were behind the January 6 attack on the Capitol.


"Based on the series of evidence and knowing how these situations work, how these anarchists operate, I believe this is completely Antifa posing as Trump supporters," Karamo said on an episode of her podcast the day after the January 6 insurrection. "I mean, anybody can buy a MAGA hat and put on T-shirt and buy a Trump flag."

In fact, hundreds of federal indictments have affirmed since then that Pro-Trump supporters attacked the US Capitol to disrupt the certification of Joe Biden's 2020 election win.

Karamo has never held elected office or run a statewide race before, but the 36-year-old community college professor has become a leading candidate to be Michigan's GOP secretary of state nominee after receiving Trump's endorsement in September. She's one of several candidates in key battleground states across the country Trump has backed in an effort to elect allies who embrace his 2020 election lies. Offices like Michigan's secretary of state run the presidential election while Trump is preparing for a potential 2024 comeback bid -- meaning Trump's preferred candidates could replace the very officials who stopped his attempts to overturn the 2020 election, like Republican Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.

In Michigan, Karamo is one of three declared Republican candidates seeking to run against Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson in 2022, who is expected to run for reelection.


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Republican Sean Parnell suspends candidacy for Pennsylvania Senate seat


Sean Parnell, the Republican endorsed by former President Donald Trump for Pennsylvania's open US Senate seat, announced on Monday he is suspending his campaign.


The decision comes after a judge awarded Laurie Snell, Parnell's estranged wife, primary physical custody and sole legal custody of the couple's three children, according to an order that was made public Monday. The judge also determined that Parnell committed some abusive acts toward his wife in the past.

"There is nothing more important to me than my children, and while I plan to ask the court to reconsider, I can't continue with a Senate campaign," Parnell said in a statement.

Parnell spoke with Trump on Monday to inform him of his plans, according to Trump spokesman Taylor Budowich. The former President had backed Parnell, an Army veteran and former congressional candidate, in September in the competitive Republican primary. GOP Sen. Pat Toomey is not running for reelection, and Democrats see the seat as one of their top pickup opportunities heading into the 2022 midterms.


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