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Let's do this. Crushing the Bookie in 2010.


illone

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LSU gotit done :)

Taking Saints @ -9.5, bought 1/2 point at -115. Half a unit, not crazy bout it.

Will place unit and half on nite game with Indy if win. Was really down on Indy's performance last week, bu their last 3 games they really stopped the run. Nice line for a home game for 18. Just don't think Sexy Rexy and his Hard Knock boys have enough to win on road with these stakes.

Indy is myWildcard play for the weekend.

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wow. what quitters we have on here ;)

Seriously though, I've lost $765 in the past two weeks. I'm still positive for the season (approx $350) and won't quit. If you play the averages you never finish out of the money. I haven't finished in the red yet and I'm forgetting the recent bets I missed on. I chased a couple by not thinking them through. The Rams on the road with a rookie QB weren't enough against a really tough environment to play in....oh and no receivers with any talent.

OK, with that out of the way, what do you guys think about Auburn/Oregon? I don't know if I can pick a team, I just don't follow college enough BUT the over/under which is 78 pts, seems incredibly high to me. Thoughts?

The total is at 74 on Bookmaker. I remember when the line was about the same for USC/Texas championship when Leinart and Vince Young went head to head. Game went over.

It does seem like a high line. I keep going back and forth on this one, but I lean towards the over at 74. With the total at 78 for you, that should mean the first half is 39. In that case, I would probably take the first half under.

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Who has a strong feel for today's games? I want to come out plus a grand this weekend.

Baltimore tomorrow appears to be the safest bet.

NO today seems like they should beat the living hell out of Seattle, but that Seattle stadium provides a serious advantage. Also, NO is thin in the backfield. I don't doutt they win, but that's a large spread.

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$300 - SEA +10.5 (-115)

$50 - SEA ML (+500)

$200 - NYJ ML (+130)

Good luck, the SEA game is going to be interesting. Hardly anyone is on SEA from what I can tell.

Way to be NAtty... nice score

Placed a little piece on Pitt U just prior to their kickoff for fun, helped neutralize NO. Love Indy here.

Gotta go GB/Bal tomorrow.

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Well I was right on that Jets -2.5 against the Bills in the last game of the season, even though no one paid attention :) So I'm hot! Plus I crushed it last night at a casino in roulette (up 720 euros) so I got some dough to play around with.

Thinking about making my return today. Tough games to bet on though honestly. Chiefs are at home yes and getting +3 is tempting, but I feel Ray Rice is gonna scamper all around that field, and if Flacco get time he can pick apart the Chiefs secondary with Boldin, Housh, Mason, Stallworth. In terms of offense, Chiefs rank 1st in the league in rushing but 30th in passing, and Ravens are 5th in league against the run. I'd take the Ravens at -3. Eagles will cover at -2.5 as well, no analysis into that pick other than they are at home and the Pack can stink it up sometimes with no running game.

$110 on Ravens -3

$55 on Eagles -2.5

Also tempted to mess with the under 74 in the Oregon/Auburn game. That just seems like a huge number, but I learned a long time ago that two high scoring offenses usually produce. 41-34 Oregon is going to be the final score in that one, book it. :)

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Well, made up for recent missteps and went 3-0 this weekend taking LSU and then Baltimore and GB. I still don't know why people thought KC could win, if you looked at who they beat this season it was nobody impressive. Even the opening week win over San Diego was shady. +$ 240 for the efforts.

Any thoughts about tonight's championship game? I'm still liking that under at 74 pts.

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I like Auburn and the under. Dont know what to do yet. The long layoff means no safe bet for me. I like the under just because these big games give people some jitters early, but the points will be flowing in the second half, the number is large enough to hold them off.

Nice moneyline on Seattle Natty.

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I already posted it, but doing it again.

Auburn -3 $500.

Everything about this game points to Auburn. Battle tested SEC team going against a weaker conference.

Who did Oregon beat this year? Stanford counts as a good win, but who else?

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Auburn went down to pick em. Either Oregonians are heavy bettors or Vegas isn't feeling Cam and the War Eagle.

Oh well, see what happens, I think it can go either way, but am foreseeing Auburn being to much over 4 qtrs.

Well, the line went from Auburn -3 to a pick 'em now. I'm glad I slow played my bet for the Tigers. $50 on Bo Jackson's alma mater

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Well, the line went from Auburn -3 to a pick 'em now. I'm glad I slow played my bet for the Tigers. $50 on Bo Jackson's alma mater

Yea I got the same, I went and looked at the espn bottom line for a minute to make sure some big starter didnt get hurt in warmups or something. Must have been alot of late Oregon money.

The under worked for me as well, good night.

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I'm liking Chicago this weekend at home against the Seahawks. Even though the last scrum, at Soldier's Field, ended in the Bears losing by three. The only downside, and it's considerable, is the 10 pt line. May have to opt for the over instead. Seattle has been nothing but dreadful on the road.

Thoughts on any of the other NFL games upcoming?

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I like Pittsburgh -3. Two physical teams one coming off a bye, one working on a short week. I look for Big Ben to make more plays than the non-mobile Matt Cassel. Pittsburgh to wear them down in the second half.

Im with you, but it would be Joe Flacco (not Cassel) be he is also not mobile.

I like New England giving 10. I just think they are a bad matchup for the Jets

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