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Time: The end of Excess: Is This Crisis Good for America??


jbooma

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Excellent article

http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1887728,00.html

Don't pretend we didn't see this coming for a long, long time.

In the early 1980s, around the time Ronald Reagan became President and Wall Street's great modern bull market began, we started gambling (and winning!) and thinking magically. From 1980 to 2007, the median price of a new American home quadrupled. The Dow Jones industrial average climbed from 803 in the summer of 1982 to 14,165 in the fall of 2007. From the beginning of the '80s through 2007, the share of disposable income that each household spent servicing its mortgage and consumer debt increased 35%. Back in 1982, the average household saved 11% of its disposable income. By 2007 that number was less than 1%. (See TIME's top 25 people to blame for the financial crisis.)

The same zeitgeist made gambling ubiquitous: until the late '80s, only Nevada and New Jersey had casinos, but now 12 states do, and 48 have some form of legalized betting. It's as if we decided that Mardi Gras and Christmas are so much fun, we ought to make them a year-round way of life. And we started living large literally as well as figuratively. From the beginning to the end of the long boom, the size of the average new house increased by about half. Meanwhile, the average American gained about a pound a year, so that an adult of a given age is now at least 20 lb. heavier than someone the same age back then. In the late '70s, 15% of Americans were obese; now a third are. (Read "What's the Best Diet? Eating Less Food.")

We saw what was happening for years, for decades, but we ignored it or shrugged it off, preferring to imagine that we weren't really headed over the falls. The U.S. auto industry has been in deep trouble for more than a quarter-century. The median household income has been steadily declining this century ... but, but, but our houses and our 401(k)s were ballooning in value, right? Even smart, proudly rational people engaged in magical thinking, acting as if the new power of the Internet and its New Economy would miraculously make everything copacetic again. We all clapped our hands and believed in fairies.

The popular culture tried to warn us. For 20 years, we've had Homer Simpson's spot-on caricature of the quintessential American: childish, irresponsible, willfully oblivious, fat and happy. And more recently we winced at the ultra-Homerized former earthlings of WALL•E. click on link for more

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I can see Americans start acting more humble because of this crisis. And I agree, overall it will be good for us, and bring us back down to earth. I see us saving more, working harder, and overall being happier with living well within our means.

That said, I don't see too many Americans getting slimmer because this. After all, it is a "disease", right? :doh:

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Don't see people changing much myself.

I embraced the simpler pleasures long ago,but as evidenced by the extreme measures being used to prop up the house of cards...Change ain't coming.

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I can see the argument that the people are too hooked to kick their addictions, too.

We had $4/gallon gasoline. Did it change anybody's behaviors, much? I don't think it did, mostly because the prices came back down.

The economy will get better. When it does, does anybody really want to bet that people won't go back to their old ways?

-----

Possible spin-off topic:

What do you think the government should do, to encourage the country to come out of this "reboot" moving in a better direction?

My problem is that a lot of the things I can think of, that I think would be better for the country in the long run, would be terrible in the short run.

We all talk about how it's a problem that America has become a nation that runs on debt. So much so that whenever there's a hint that there might be a short-term bump in the economy, the standard reaction is always to lower interest rates and encourage people to borrow their way past it.

To me, if you want to encourage more saving and less borrowing, you
raise
interest rates.

But doing so would be a disaster in today's economy. Not least of which because of the effect that higher interest rates would have on the federal budget/deficit.

Similarly, I think raising taxes on oil would be a good way to encourage a migration that we should have done 40 years ago.

But seriously, raising the price of gasoline during an economy that's threatening to collapse? It's be suicide.

OTOH, the alternative seems to be "do even more of the things that got us here, and promise that we'll do something about it, later".

"I'll quit drinking tomorrow morning, I swear."

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Back in 1980, people didn't HAVE to have a laptop computer with high speed internet, iPod, cable or dish tv, car with automatic this or automatic that, big house with big closets, high tech medicine, gps systems in their cars...

We're all spoiled by technology and conveniences and feel like we can't live without them. People are so compelled to have these things that they are willing to go into debt just to keep that lifestyle.

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Back in 1980, people didn't HAVE to have a laptop computer with high speed internet, iPod, cable or dish tv, car with automatic this or automatic that, big house with big closets, high tech medicine, gps systems in their cars...

We're all spoiled by technology and conveniences and feel like we can't live without them. People are so compelled to have these things that they are willing to go into debt just to keep that lifestyle.

I agree with that. How many families have multiple computers in their house, have a tv in every room, multiple video game systems, all the premium channels through cable/satellite, etc. I'm not saying that I don't have some of these things, but I think that's the problem. People feel like they have to have all these things to be relavent in society. If people could live within their means we wouldn't have all these problems. I blame MTV Cribs!:silly:

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I can remember just 20 years or so ago, having a credit card was sort of a big deal. And if you had a platinum or gold card, you were the man. New cars were a really big deal, even in upper-middle class neighborhoods. If someone on your block got a new car, everyone went over to check it out and get a whiff of that new car scent.

Nowadays the waiter at Ihop has a platinum card and drives a new car. Whats wrong with this picture?

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I can remember just 20 years or so ago, having a credit card was sort of a big deal. And if you had a platinum or gold card, you were the man. New cars were a really big deal, even in upper-middle class neighborhoods. If someone on your block got a new car, everyone went over to check it out and get a whiff of that new car scent.

Nowadays the waiter at Ihop has a platinum card and drives a new car. Whats wrong with this picture?

bingo!!!!

For those that can have all the tech gadgets and tvs they want as long as they are buying it with their money there is nothing wrong with that. I have to thank my wife because before her I was one of those guys that just said if i pay the payment then I am fine. Now if I want to buy it I either pay it all off or pay in cash, its that simple.

Now what this article should tell people you can live a good life, but you also have to make sure you can handle not working for x amount of months without living on credit, then you are doing well.

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