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Election 2018 Thread (An Adult Finally Has the Gavel)


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29 minutes ago, Cooked Crack said:

 

@nonniey

Why do you think all these racist candidates seem to be having success running as Republicans?

Because they are in districts that are going to easily be won by Dems so no decent gop candidate runs.  That leaves open lanes for lunacy 

Larouche folks used to run for everything in Loudoun county decades ago because no democrat bothered to try and unseat guys like Frank Wolf

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11 minutes ago, Kilmer17 said:

Because they are in districts that are going to easily be won by Dems so no decent gop candidate runs.  That leaves open lanes for lunacy 

It's not only fringe loonies. This dude is the Republican candidate in a district that's gone Republican since 1995.

 

People use this fringe loonies to obstruct from the racists who are actually winning primaries in legit races or governing.

 

They should be asking why does their party seem to attract these kinda folks.

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2 hours ago, Cooked Crack said:

It's not only fringe loonies. This dude is the Republican candidate in a district that's gone Republican since 1995.

 

People use this fringe loonies to obstruct from the racists who are actually winning primaries in legit races or governing.

 

They should be asking why does their party seem to attract these kinda folks.

 When it comes right down to the basic party foundational positions they are running in a party that is opposed to their goals. Ultimately the Democratic party would be more suitable for them after all it still adheres the position that people should be treated according to their circumstances just as it did when they still controlled it.

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Just now, nonniey said:

 When it comes right down to the basic party foundational positions they are running in a party that is opposed to their goals. Ultimately the Democratic party would be more suitable for them after all it still adheres the position that people should be treated according to their circumstances just as it did when they still controlled it.

You're right. I must have been fooled when the leader of the party said people won't go back to their huts when they come to America.

 

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Don't act confused Visionary I've explained this to you and the board before. Both parties were founded on some basic premises that were diametrically opposed to each other one was people should be treated according to their circumstances and the other was you can't do that. Those premises never changed for either party.  The reason the white racists left the Democratic party was because that parties policies no longer favored them. 

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14 minutes ago, nonniey said:

Don't act confused Visionary I've explained this to you and the board before. Both parties were founded on some basic premises that were diametrically opposed to each other one was people should be treated according to their circumstances and the other was you can't do that. Those premises never changed for either party.  The reason the white racists left the Democratic party was because that parties policies no longer favored them. 

And the Republican Party supported them.

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https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-ratings-changes-10-districts-move-mostly-democrats-direction

 

House Ratings Changes: 10 Districts Move, Mostly in Democrats' Direction

 

AZ-01: O'Halleran | Lean D to Likely D 
AZ-09: OPEN (Sinema) | Likely D to Solid D ←
CO-03: Tipton | Solid R to Likely R ←
CT-05: OPEN (Esty) | Likely D to Solid D ←
MT-AL: Gianforte | Likely R to Lean R ←
NY-11: Donovan | Lean R to Likely R →
NY-25: VACANT (Slaughter) | Solid D to Likely D →
PA-01: Fitzpatrick | Toss Up to Lean R →
PA-16: Kelly | Likely R to Lean R ←
VA-07: Brat | Lean R to Toss Up ←

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3 minutes ago, visionary said:

What's up with those two New York districts?

 

NY-11: Dan Donovan (R) - Staten Island, Brooklyn: Bay Ridge, Bensonhurst
Likely Republican. With a strong endorsement from President Trump, Donovan crushed convicted felon and former Rep. Michael Grimm 64 percent to 36 percent in the June 26 GOP primary. Just as important, Donovan locked Grimm out of the Conservative Party primary, ensuring that Grimm won't appear anywhere on the fall ballot and Donovan will have Republican voters to himself.

 

Democrats, who nominated Army veteran and healthcare executive Max Rose with 65 percent, had been hoping Grimm would win at least one ballot line, badly splitting GOP voters in this Staten Island district that gave President Trump 53 percent. Instead, Rose ($1 million raised) will have an uphill fight against Donovan, a popular former prosecutor who broke with his party on repealing Obamacare last year.

 

NY-25: VACANT (Slaughter) (D) - West Central: Greater Rochester
Likely Democratic. Nearly four months after iconic Democratic Rep. Louise Slaughter passed away, Gov. Andrew Cuomo still hasn't called a special election to replace her, and most Empire State aficionados say it's doubtful he will. After all, Democrats don't want to risk having to defend this Rochester seat in a low-turnout special when the November general is right around the corner.

 

State Assembly Majority Leader Joe Morelle won the June 26 Democratic primary for the full term with 46 percent, and his name ID after 27 years in Albany was an advantage in the sprint to an unexpected open seat. Local TV reporter Rachel Barnhart, who ran against Albany corruption, came in second with 20 percent. Morelle is now the heavy favorite in November, but the race may not be totally over.

 

A month before the primary, Morelle was forced to apologize for a 2001 comment casting doubt on the rape allegations of a female assembly staffer against Assembly Democrats' chief counsel. The staffer, Elizabeth Crothers, endorsed Barnhart and lambasted Morelle, but Barnhart simply lacked the resources to go on air attacking him. After all, Morelle raised $631,000 to Barnhart's $18,000.

 

By contrast, GOP neurosurgeon Jim Maxwell has the resources to paint Morelle as a 27-year Albany insider: he's loaned his campaign $470,000. Hillary Clinton won by 16 points here, but in the last midterm, Democratic turnout plummeted and Slaughter came within a point of a shocking defeat. 2018 is a better year for Democrats to say the least, but Morelle's potential liabilities and Maxwell's wealth make it worth keeping an eye on.

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This is interesting too:

Quote

PA-01: Brian Fitzpatrick (R) - Southeast: Bucks County


Lean Republican. In February, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court dealt Fitzpatrick a small setback when it slightly redrew this Bucks County seat, making it a point less Republican. But Fitzpatrick may have received an even bigger gift when multi-millionaire attorney and philanthropist Scott Wallace won the Democratic primary in May. Wallace has the ability to self-fund the race, but he's off to a very rocky start and may have problems money can't solve.

 

This Bucks County seat is a true swing district: it voted for Hillary Clinton 49 percent to 47 percent in 2016. It's the kind of seat that should be atop Democrats' target list in a wave. But Bucks also has a strong local identity, and the Fitzpatrick family has succeeded in building a strong, moderate brand (Fitzpatrick was just endorsed by Gabby Giffords and the AFL-CIO). It's also the kind of place where Wallace's wealth, elite pedigree and out-of-state addresses could backfire.

 

Wallace is the grandson of former FDR vice president Henry Wallace. He grew up in Bucks County, and his bio video notes he grew up "flipping burgers" there. But he hasn't lived there in decades, and until recently he was a registered lobbyist for non-profits who lived in Maryland. His Maryland homestead exemption claim and his ties to exclusive South African country clubs is ready-made for attack ads geared towards Bucks's parochial, blue-collar electorate.

 

 

https://giffords.org/2018/06/pa-endorsements1/

Quote

Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick (PA-01): A former FBI agent, Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick’s law enforcement experience has been critical in informing his positions on gun safety. In 2017, Congressman Fitzpatrick voted against concealed carry reciprocity, which would have forced Pennsylvania to allow potentially untrained, unlicensed individuals to carry hidden, loaded guns into its communities. Congressman Fitzpatrick is a leader in the Republican caucus on the issue of gun safety, and supports legislation expanding background checks, federal research into gun violence, raising the age to purchase semi-automatic rifles to 21, banning bump stocks, and enacting laws to temporarily remove firearms from individuals in crisis. We are proud to endorse Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick for Congress in 2018.

 

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