aREDSKIN Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing... http://drudgereport.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 My my my... Aren't you guys just grasping at straws now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigMike619 Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 its like watching a really slow car crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AsburySkinsFan Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 National polls mean absolutely nothing. If the election were decided on overall popular vote then possibly, but with the electoral college, you gotta show the state polls, because the national polls are just a distraction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarrellsMyHero28 Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 I don't buy it. Thats the only poll that has McCain any where near that close to Obama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Predicto Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 What does "traditional likely" mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdskn4Lyf21 Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Nice tags Toe Jam :doh: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AsburySkinsFan Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Show me, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, West Virginia, Missouri, Colorado, and Nevada that's where the election will be won and lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 The truth is here: http://extremeskins.com/showthread.php?t=265783 I'm willing to bet "traditional" likely voters means caribou, eggplants and cacti. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Nice tags Toe Jam :doh: Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burgold Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 What does "traditional likely" mean? Traditional means traditional values or traditional values voters which is a code word for Republican voters. So amongst Traditional Republican Voters, Obama is up 48-47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Traditional means traditional values or traditional values voters which is a code word for Republican voters. So amongst Traditional Republican Voters, Obama is up 48-47. BAHAHAHA! McCain can't even keep his own party intact!:laugh: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooked Crack Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Gallup Tracking (Traditional)* 10/13 - 10/15 2143 LV 49 47 Obama +2 Gallup Tracking (Expanded)* 10/13 - 10/15 2312 LV 51 45 Obama +6 All of a sudden we want to want to look at polls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aREDSKIN Posted October 16, 2008 Author Share Posted October 16, 2008 What does "traditional likely" mean? Probably that Gallup uses a poll that has historically or traditionally measures "likely" voters and not just registered voters. Likely voters being those that are predisposed to actually vote and not just those that are registered to vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigMike619 Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 "For those of you who are feeling giddy or ****y and think this is all set, I just [have] two words for you: New Hampshire," the Democratic presidential nominee said during a fundraiser breakfast in New York. "You know I've been in these positions before where we were favored and the press starts getting carried away and we end up getting spanked. And so that's another good lesson that Hillary Clinton taught me." this is from Barack to ES posters I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redskins Diehard Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 What does "traditional likely" mean? The other definitions are a lot of fun but this is the one that Gallup uses: The "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hersh Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 http://www.gallup.com/poll/111211/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-McCain-43.aspx Gallup is presenting two likely voter estimates to see how preferences might vary under different turnout scenarios. The "expanded" model determines likely voters based only on current voting intentions. This estimate would take into account higher turnout among groups of voters traditionally less likely to vote, such as young adults and minorities. That model has generally produced results that closely match the registered voter figures, but with a lower undecided percentage, and show Obama up by six percentage points today, 51% to 45%. The "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections. Today's results show Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain using this likely voter model, 49% to 47%, this is within the poll's margin of error. -- Frank Newport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hersh Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Grasping at anything now. Naturally the race will tighten over the next 18 days, but it's really about the states anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooked Crack Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 "For those of you who are feeling giddy or ****y and think this is all set, I just [have] two words for you: New Hampshire," the Democratic presidential nominee said during a fundraiser breakfast in New York. "You know I've been in these positions before where we were favored and the press starts getting carried away and we end up getting spanked. And so that's another good lesson that Hillary Clinton taught me."this is from Barack to ES posters I believe. He's telling us to make sure we vote. I think the NH polls had Barack's percentage correctly just not Hillary. If Barack is over 50 then it doesn't matter since he wins. According to Chuck Todd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigMike619 Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 He's telling us to make sure we vote. I think the NH polls had Barack's percentage correctly just not Hillary. If Barack is over 50 then it doesn't matter since he wins. According to Chuck Todd. hes telling you to stop being so ****y because it aint over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redskins Diehard Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Recent Obama Surge Evident Among Men, Less Educated Another Gallup conclusion....shocking. The tags on this thread certainly support the latter conclusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Predicto Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 For good information on all of the polls, state by state, go to fivethirtyeight.com. You may or may not buy the analysis that the website places on those polls, but the actual numbers are all there, in great detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooked Crack Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 hes telling you to stop being so ****y because it aint over. Yeah once we all vote then it will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Recent Obama Surge Evident Among Men, Less EducatedAnother Gallup conclusion....shocking. The tags on this thread certainly support the latter conclusion Americans don't have to be educated to know that McCain is a ****ing moron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckydevil Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 For good information on all of the polls, state by state, go to fivethirtyeight.com.You may or may not buy the analysis that the website places on those polls, but the actual numbers are all there, in great detail. Yep, it is a really good site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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