Toe Jam Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Nahhh....you left yourself an out again there...c'mon step up to the plate! I will step up on Thursday when there can be a little bit more confidence. It is only Tuesday and so, as you know, it would be futile to make any sensible prediction. However my current thinking is an 8 to 14 inch type snow for the D.C/Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwbiggs Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Hoiw many of these models are there and where are they done? Websites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2007 Author Share Posted December 11, 2007 I will step up on Thursday when there can be a little bit more confidence.It is only Tuesday and so, as you know, it would be futile to make any sensible prediction. However my current thinking is an 8 to 14 inch type snow for the D.C/Baltimore area.[/QUOTE] :doh1: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Hoiw many of these models are there and where are they done? Websites? There are tons of models. The main models are the GFS, Euro, and the NAM. You can go to www.weather.gov for more information. They have links and pages full of models and weather maps. You have to remember that models are computer generated and have huge room for error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 I will step up on Thursday when there can be a little bit more confidence.It is only Tuesday and so, as you know, it would be futile to make any sensible prediction. However my current thinking is an 8 to 14 inch type snow for the D.C/Baltimore area.[/QUOTE] :doh1: :laugh: My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2007 Author Share Posted December 11, 2007 Okay..Here is the potential and most likely scenario. if everything goes perfectly IAD 12-20 inches DCA 10-16 inchces BWI 14-22 inches If there is mixing involved and the track is closer to the coast IAD 6-12 DCA 3-6 BWI 5-9 I think my 1st forecast will be somewhere in the middle but I need to see a few more days of data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slacky McSlackAss Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Okay..Here is the potential and most likely scenario. if everything goes perfectly IAD 12-20 inches DCA 10-16 inchces BWI 14-22 inches If there is mixing involved and the track is closer to the coast IAD 6-12 DCA 3-6 BWI 5-9 I think my 1st forecast will be somewhere in the middle but I need to see a few more days of data Finally i can put that snow blower to good use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SkinsHokieFan Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Okay..Here is the potential and most likely scenario. if everything goes perfectly IAD 12-20 inches DCA 10-16 inchces BWI 14-22 inches If there is mixing involved and the track is closer to the coast IAD 6-12 DCA 3-6 BWI 5-9 I think my 1st forecast will be somewhere in the middle but I need to see a few more days of data When do we expect this storm to hit? After 5:20 on Saturday, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ComebackKing Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Whoa sweet even 6 inches would be awesome at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 When do we expect this storm to hit?After 5:20 on Saturday, right? You may want to fly out Friday. Just a suggestion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B&GPride44 Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Ji what about South and East of DC? Southern Maryland area? We gonna get a mix to rain hosing again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Ji what about South and East of DC? Southern Maryland area? We gonna get a mix to rain hosing again? Depends on the track. 50 miles to the west or east makes all the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2007 Author Share Posted December 11, 2007 Ji what about South and East of DC? Southern Maryland area? We gonna get a mix to rain hosing again? your in trouble based on the current model runs...maybe snow to start but definite changeover issues. The track will make all the difference but coastal areas usually dont do that well from Noreasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2007 Author Share Posted December 11, 2007 Doug hill says no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ComebackKing Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 I think it might come down to a difference of 3 or 4 degrees by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B&GPride44 Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Ah poop...When is the last time we had a good snowfall down here I can't even remember! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2007 Author Share Posted December 11, 2007 Skins at Giants 8:30pm Sunday Night. Could be really interesting weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slacky McSlackAss Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Ah poop...When is the last time we had a good snowfall down here I can't even remember! I want to have '96 type snow. What a great year that was. Brings back great memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleeds Gold Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 How about a forecast for Orange County, VA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwbiggs Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Doug hill says no way Well...who can argue with Doug Hill. Why do we have all these prognostications going on when we could have put up Doug Hills forcast in the beginning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbooma Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 I will step up on Thursday when there can be a little bit more confidence.It is only Tuesday and so, as you know, it would be futile to make any sensible prediction. However my current thinking is an 8 to 14 inch type snow for the D.C/Baltimore area.[/QUOTE] :doh1: Ok anyone else who wants to play the game make your predictions in this thread. I will track all of our weather peeps and see who is the most accurate in a seperate thread You only get 1 prediction Let the weather rumble of 2007-2008 commence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2007 Author Share Posted December 11, 2007 New Euro is out. It trended East and Colder but still needs some work. The surface low heads inland and then redevelops off the coast. So there is definite mix issues with the European but the main thing is, it has trended east and colder and thats what you look for right now 4-5 days out. in any case, this storm a going to be a monster and some higher elevations in the east could see 3 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G.A.C.O.L.B. Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 What's this mean for us exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rtbasye Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 Saturday 12/15/2007Hi: 39°Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.Lo: 33°Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Weather bug is on board!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toe Jam Posted December 11, 2007 Share Posted December 11, 2007 New Euro is out. It trended East and Colder but still needs some work. The surface low heads inland and then redevelops off the coast. So there is definite mix issues with the European but the main thing is, it has trended east and colder and thats what you look for right now 4-5 days out.in any case, this storm a going to be a monster and some higher elevations in the east could see 3 feet I could actually see this being more of a Miller B system. This would be bad news for you guys in DC/MD but not too bad a blow to me. I'll keep an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.