Lombardi's_kid_brother Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Granted, its DailyKos, but the Kos polling data is always pretty honest and straightforward. They wanted to be taken seriously by real politicians so their hard numbers are usually correct. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/31/13210/726/834/648006 It looks like a 2 to 3 point pounce, which would just destroy McCain at this point if accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
helptheSKINS Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Granted' date=' its DailyKos, but the Kos is [b']NEVER[/b] pretty honest and straightforward. They wanted to be taken seriously by real politicians so their hard numbers are usually correct.http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/31/13210/726/834/648006 It looks like a 2 to 3 point pounce, which would just destroy McCain at this point if accurate. Fixed it for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Granted' date=' its DailyKos, but the Kos polling data is always pretty honest and straightforward. They wanted to be taken seriously by real politicians so their hard numbers are usually correct.[url']http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/31/13210/726/834/648006[/url] It looks like a 2 to 3 point pounce, which would just destroy McCain at this point if accurate. Not just that website. http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#98QBKiller Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Well no need for me to get out and vote on Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Predicto Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Daily KOS is the last place to look for reliable news. I'll wait until I see what fivethirtyeight has to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lombardi's_kid_brother Posted October 31, 2008 Author Share Posted October 31, 2008 Daily KOS is the last place to look for reliable news.I'll wait until I see what fivethirtyeight has to say. They're just quoting gallup. Rasmussen has it 51-47. But Rasmussen's national polling always confuses me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burgold Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 They're just quoting gallup.Rasmussen has it 51-47. But Rasmussen's national polling always confuses me. That Rasmussen national poll is strictly a poll of McCain offices. That's why it's so confusing. You would think McCain would get a better showing from his campaign managers and volunteers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Predicto Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 They're just quoting gallup.Rasmussen has it 51-47. But Rasmussen's national polling always confuses me. Gallup is the most famous pollster, but hardly the best one. According to 538, Rasmussen probably is the best polling organization in the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ccsl2 Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Well no need for me to get out and vote on Tuesday... Don't do it dude. Go vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lombardi's_kid_brother Posted October 31, 2008 Author Share Posted October 31, 2008 Gallup is the most famous pollster, but hardly the best one. According to 538, Rasmussen probably is the best polling organization in the US. Rasmussen daily tracking poll always seems to be a tracking poll of 8 days ago. Maybe that is a better model, but it always seems to be a week behind polling trends for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Predicto Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Rasmussen daily tracking poll always seems to be a tracking poll of 8 days ago. Maybe that is a better model' date=' but it always seems to be a week behind polling trends for some reason.[/quote']Daily tracking is pretty worthless, unless you are looking at a synthesis of several polls. Daily trackers really only using a third of a normal sample each day, so minor rises and falls are often magnified improperly. IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ingtar Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 I think that most polls are showing close to a statistical dead heat. All that really matters is what states go to whom. I think this will be one of the more fascinating elections to watch in our history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjah Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 I think that most polls are showing close to a statistical dead heat. All that really matters is what states go to whom. The polls are showing Obama ahead nationally by roughly 6.5%, which is way beyond the margin of error of the polls. But yes, the states are all that matter -- and states like CO, PA, VA, OH are leaning notably to Obama at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DjTj Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 You misspelled Obamamercial. I read the title and was wondering what the Obamamiracle was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ford Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 Gallup is the most famous pollster, but hardly the best one. According to 538, Rasmussen probably is the best polling organization in the US. SurveyUSA was definitely the most accurate throughout the primary season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilmer17 Posted October 31, 2008 Share Posted October 31, 2008 It's over. Tell all Obama voters not to bother showing up. It's already a landslide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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