kleese Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 www.edkleese.blogspot.com Last Week: 10-4 Season: 80-36 Record Picking Redskins Games: 5-3 Against the Spread: 16-13-2 Lock of the Week: 4-3-1 Last Week's Pats: I was on fire during the early games on Sunday, going 9-0 and missing both the final scores of the Redskins-Lions game and Cardinals-Panthers game by a total of one point. I also correctly predicted the Saints to beat the Chargers in a shootout and for the Dolphins to upset the Bills. Last Week's Apologies: I quickly went downhill after the early games, as I missed on the Steelers beating the Giants and missed badly on the Seahawks-49ers game. I also blew my lock of the week on Monday Night, as the Titans easily covered the spread against the Colts. This Week's Picks: New York Jets at Buffalo: Bills fans must loathe me. I haven't shown Buffalo much respect in my picks this year, and it's not because I don't think they are a solid team. But once again, I'm smelling upset in a Bills game. By no means am I in love with the Jets (their defense was pathetic last week), but I'm going with a gut feeling here. Jets 23, Bills 20 Detroit at Chicago: I don't think the Bears will roll over the Lions quite like they did in Detroit a few weeks ago, but this game will not be close late. Bears 27, Lions 17 Jacksonville at Cincinnati: I've reached a verdict on the Jaguars: They are a poorly coached team. Jack Del Rio is not doing a good job down there-- their inconsistency points to shaky leadership from the top. Having said that, the Bengals are just what the doctor ordered for a struggling team. Jaguars 28, Bengals 14 Baltimore at Cleveland: The Browns seem to have gotten back on track a bit and I think they will avenge their earlier loss to the Ravens. Browns 19, Ravens 16 Tampa Bay at Kansas City: The Chiefs fought hard in their loss to the Jets last week, and I think Herm Edwards is probably a good coach to keep that team motivated. But the bottom line is that they just aren't any good. The Tampa defense will smother them this week. Bucs 24, Chiefs 9 Houston at Minnesota: Quietly, the Texans have run off three wins in a row. Houston my pre-season surprise team and they let me down during the first quarter of the season, so I'm a tad gun shy to pick them on the road at this point. So, I'm going to weenie-out and take the Vikings, although I think this is close to a 50/50 game. Vikings 27, Texans 24 Arizona at St. Louis: I think this is close to a must-win game for Arizona if they want to be able to look themselves in the mirror right now. If they lose to St. Louis, they will drop to 1-4 on the road, making it difficult to take them very seriously. And this won't be an easy task, as the Rams are playing good football right now. I'm going to roll the dice and say Kurt Warner finds a way to lead his team to victory at his old stomping grounds. Cardinals 30, Rams 24 Green Bay at Tennessee: I missed badly last week, picking the Titans to go down to the Colts. I'm sure some will view that choice and my pick this week as a slap in the face to the Tennessee, but I really do respect them and view them as a very viable Super Bowl threat. But it's tough to win em' all in the NFL, and I like the Packers coming off a bye week, playing a team on short rest. Packers 17, Titans 14 Miami at Denver: The Broncos defense is so bad that they could lose to anyone at any time right now. But I'm casting my vote this week in their favor, thinking that Jay Cutler gets back on track after a miserable game in New England his last time out. Broncos 31, Dolphins 24 Dallas at New York Giants: It's funny, with the way things are in the NFL right now, I can see almost any team winning any game, but for some reason, I just can't see Brad Johnson leading the Cowboys to victory at the Meadowlands this week. I'd pick the Giants 10 out 10 times in this match-up right now. Giants 27, Cowboys 16 Atlanta at Oakland: I wasn't surprised the Raiders lost week in Baltimore, but I was a bit surprised at how poorly they played. Even though they were putrid last week, I'm picking them to win at home, as I see Atlanta regressing to the mean a bit. Raiders 20, Falcons 17 Philadelphia at Seattle: This is another game that tempts me to choose an upset. Seattle has been horrid all season, but they seem to find a few things that worked last week in San Francisco. If Matt Hasselbeck was healthy, I think I'd lead towards the Seahawks, but I'm not sure Seneca Wallace can get it done against a tough Philly squad. Eagles 23, Seahawks 17 New England at Indianapolis: Picking the Colts this week because it could be argued that a loss virtually ends their season in terms of serious contention. I'm not sure they are going to let that happen quite yet. Colts 29, Patriots 17 Pittsburgh at Washington: Jim Zorn admitted this week that the Redskins are worn down both physically and mentally right now. Although no one likes to admit such things, their 6-2 record and the fact that they are playing an AFC team this week, makes this game far from a must-win. I also think this is just a plain bad match-up for the Redskins, who probably won't be able to count on another 120 yard performance from Clinton Portis this week. Look for the Steelers to win a rugged one. Steelers 20, Redskins 16 4 To Score Lock of the Week: Browns (even) vs. Ravens: Really like the Browns straight-up here. 2. Jets (+5.5) at Bills. I could certainly see the Bills winning the game, but I think it's close. 3. Packers (+6) at Titans. Tennessee made a fool out of me last week, so why not go double or nothing? 4. Jaguars (-7) at Bengals. Not sure Ryan Fitzpatrick can keep the Bengals that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SkinsTerps26 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 i don't like your lock of the week at all i mean, have you even seen that ravens defense? The browns are the Suck against them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbleedBnG83 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 i don't like your lock of the week at alli mean, have you even seen that ravens defense? The browns are the Suck against them. I hate the Ravens, but your lock of the week will get picked. The Ravens defense will have Anderson on his back. But, the Ravens secondary could get torched. Ah well, Stallworth is out, AGAIN, so they only really need to worry about Edwards and Winslow...I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRay Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 The Steelers pretty banged up that game is a toss up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 i don't like your lock of the week at alli mean, have you even seen that ravens defense? The browns are the Suck against them. The Colts torched the Ravens two weeks ago...and I think it has something to do with the fact that Flacco didn't get much done. The rookie has been decent, but they haven't asked him to do much yet. I definitely do not see the Browns offense moving the ball very well on Sunday--- I see that game going similar to the way our game went against them....but I don't think the Ravens will have enough to capitalize. It's also tough to beat a division opponent twice (2nd time on the road) over that short of a time span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbleedBnG83 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 I think the Redskins matchup VERY well against the Steelers. The Steelers offensive line is mediocre while the Redskins secondary is playing great. A little added pressure on Big Ben should make for an interception or two by our secondary. Running the ball for the Steelers has been a chore. I think the Redskins match well against their defense, despite the Steelers having the best unit. We may not be able to run the ball as well, but we should be able to spread them thin in the passing game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeGibbsRypenGClark91 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 You have picked against the redskins in every big game. No homer in you i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 You have picked against the redskins in every big game. No homer in you i guess. I also picked them to beat the Rams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbleedBnG83 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 You have picked against the redskins in every big game. No homer in you i guess. Maybe it will be good karma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 Maybe it will be good charma? http://www.charmaspoodles.com/ ??????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbleedBnG83 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 http://www.charmaspoodles.com/??????????? hardy har-harr... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
China Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 I'm not sure I like your lock of the week either, but based on your record with locks of the week, they don't seem to really be locks, do they? Overall, another very nice job however and I would agree with most of your analyses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kubstix Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 I don't care that you picked the Steelers over the Skins, however you mention the skins are banged up mentally and physically? Have you seen the reports on Pittsburgh by any chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LD0506 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 I would definitely take both Buffalo and Tennessee to win, the Titans crushing GreenBay. But as usual, interesting food for thought and one of the "must read" threads of the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdskn4Lyf21 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 Wow...I've never disagreed with you so much on your picks Bills over the Jets Ravens over the Browns Texans over the Vikings Titans over the Packers Falcons over the Raiders Patriots over the Colts Redskins over the Steelers Upset...Dolphins over the Broncos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeGibbsRypenGClark91 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 I also picked them to beat the Rams I don't what to expect to how of the team Kleese. They score enough points for me to trust them against good teams . But i think they will make the playoffs still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooley4President Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 Upset...Dolphins over the Broncos. Count it. Broncos can't defend at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 Wow...I've never disagreed with you so much on your picks Bills over the Jets Ravens over the Browns Texans over the Vikings Titans over the Packers Falcons over the Raiders Patriots over the Colts Redskins over the Steelers Upset...Dolphins over the Broncos. Every now and then I have weeks where I really go out on a limb. I've gone 10-4 the past 4 weeks running and my picks against the spread have been decent as well (although last week was bad). If ever there was a week to make me look like an idiot, this would be the week. I don't do it to be "cute." When I do, I usually admit it. I KNOW the Bills are better than the Jets, and they are at home, but for some reason, when I "picture" that game, I just see Favre smiling for some reason. The only one of my picks this week that I went with kind of an a lark was the Green Bay pick...although I do really like them against the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 I would definitely take both Buffalo and Tennessee to win, the Titans crushing GreenBay. But as usual, interesting food for thought and one of the "must read" threads of the week Thanks for the compliment, much appreciated. Glad you enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRay Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 But the Broncos look so good on defense against the Bucs oh wait.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RAAZ227 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 The Steelers pretty banged up that game is a toss up.. They're more banged up than we are! I'd say flip the score around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iMeast Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 I just hope you are wrong about the Monday night game. As far as Clinton Portis not going for 120 against the Steelers, I am not so sure he won't. I mean who would have thought he would have put up over 100 yards against the Eagles tough defense a few weeks ago? :steelersu HTTR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted November 3, 2008 Author Share Posted November 3, 2008 Kiss of death, I just changed my pick. From my blog: I am 0-1 so far this year when changing a pick at the last minute. And I actually might be 0-Lifetime when doing it over the years. But all week I've slowly been tilting back towards the Redskins, especially as their injury situation appeared to get better. So, I'm gonna go with my heart and a late-charging gut feeling and swap the score. New Prediction: Redskins 20, Steelers 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdskn4Lyf21 Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 Kiss of death, I just changed my pick. From my blog: I am 0-1 so far this year when changing a pick at the last minute. And I actually might be 0-Lifetime when doing it over the years. But all week I've slowly been tilting back towards the Redskins, especially as their injury situation appeared to get better. So, I'm gonna go with my heart and a late-charging gut feeling and swap the score. New Prediction: Redskins 20, Steelers 16 Nice call on the Jets. If we combine your guesses and mine we can make some money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted November 3, 2008 Author Share Posted November 3, 2008 Nice call on the Jets.If we combine your guesses and mine we can make some money Thanks...just go ahead and skip over that Falcons-Raiders prediction though. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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