The official Hurricane Earl thread........

[DeanCollins]

Ivan's remnants spawned 40 tornadoes in Virginia.

Ivan threw marine life into the bath tubs on the 6th floor of condos on Pennsacola beach.

[Drockvb]

Earl is Isabel's devil spawn.

17' for VB on friday :munchout:

[CarlaFbaby06]

Of course theres a hurricane coming the weekend i plan on getting away to Ocean City with the girls =(

[twa]

Hurricane party.

[Homercles82]

NGPS as of 11:30 is showing landfall around Cape Lookout as best I can tell. It is the first track I have seen with the eye hitting land in NC.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif

[Veretax]

From what I saw on the Weather channel, it won't be because of the gulf current/stream, or the 'cold front' that pushes it off to the north east, it will be either a weakness in a High pressure system, or one that moves far enough that it will be steered to the left. (that I suppose could be a cold front)

The angle this thing is going is weird. I'd not be surprised if it suddenly took a hard right and never recovered.

[GoSkins561]

Of course theres a hurricane coming the weekend i plan on getting away to Ocean City with the girls =(

Friday into early Saturday is going to be pretty nasty,

Saturday and Sunday will be near perfect beach days.

[ffxdrummer]

Heading down to Kill Devil Hills on Sunday with a group, just have to hope the house survives until then.

[Veretax]

OKay the Weather channel this morning was a bit better. Looks like the high that steered earl more to the west will in fact be out of the way by the time it reaches the coastline, depending on the trough/low pressure system that moves in behind it could affect its angle of impact to the coast line. If you live in the outerbanks or Virginia CApes, start getting ready people.

[War Paint]

What's the big deal about this thing? From everything I've seen, it's not even hitting land. Swimmers and surfers should use extra caution with the rip currents, but it seems to me they are blowing this into a huge story when it isn't.

[Homercles82]

What's the big deal about this thing? From everything I've seen, it's not even hitting land. Swimmers and surfers should use extra caution with the rip currents, but it seems to me they are blowing this into a huge story when it isn't.

Then you have not seen much. It is a category 3, almost 4, pushing towards the outer banks at the moment. There is most likely a chance of it pushing NE away and skirting the coast but as it pushes NE winds towards the outer banks it will cause heavier currents, rip tides, and flooding.

There are some models suggesting a direct hit, such as https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2010090100∏=500τ=054&set=Core which has it making direct land fall on the southern OBX and pushing up the East Coast. Look at this with a direct hit https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2010090100∏=500τ=048&set=Core

A Category 3 hurricane with a direct hit on the Southern OBX will cause major damage. I suggest you read up on Isabelle which hit with 110 MPH wind speeds; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Isabel

[wantarace17]

Then you have not seen much. It is a category 3, almost 4, pushing towards the outer banks at the moment. There is most likely a chance of it pushing NE away and skirting the coast but as it pushes NE winds towards the outer banks it will cause heavier currents, rip tides, and flooding.

There are some models suggesting a direct hit, such as https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2010090100∏=500τ=054&set=Core which has it making direct land fall on the southern OBX and pushing up the East Coast. Look at this with a direct hit https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2010090100∏=500τ=048&set=Core

A Category 3 hurricane with a direct hit on the Southern OBX will cause major damage. I suggest you read up on Isabelle which hit with 110 MPH wind speeds; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Isabel

I lived near colonial beach when Isabel hit and we got demolished

[skinsfan44]

Should I go Fishing or Surfing? I always love to surf a good hurricane!

Or ride a cannon.

I hope and pray Earl stays far away from the entire east coast, but especially the Chesapeake Bay area.

Isabel messed her up bad back in 2003 and took years to get things back in order.

[DeanCollins]

NGPS as of 11:30 is showing landfall around Cape Lookout as best I can tell. It is the first track I have seen with the eye hitting land in NC.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif

one out of 15 tracks, oh noes time to call in the drama Llama

[Homercles82]

one out of 15 tracks, oh noes time to call in the drama Llama

Bad job at trolling.

Looks like it is shifting east.

[Rdskn4Lyf21]

11am.....

[War Paint]

Then you have not seen much. It is a category 3, almost 4, pushing towards the outer banks at the moment. There is most likely a chance of it pushing NE away and skirting the coast but as it pushes NE winds towards the outer banks it will cause heavier currents, rip tides, and flooding.

There are some models suggesting a direct hit, such as https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2010090100∏=500τ=054&set=Core which has it making direct land fall on the southern OBX and pushing up the East Coast. Look at this with a direct hit https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2010090100∏=500τ=048&set=Core

A Category 3 hurricane with a direct hit on the Southern OBX will cause major damage. I suggest you read up on Isabelle which hit with 110 MPH wind speeds; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Isabel

I don't know. I used to live on the NC coast and it seems like every storm heading near NC is overhyped. Most of them weaken a bunch before it gets close to shore in NC. Once in a while a strong one will hit the coast, but most of the storms weaken as they get closer to NC and stay well off shore. This storm is strong, but isn't forecast to make landfall.

[DeanCollins]

Bad job at trolling.

Looks like it is shifting east.

oh pulease, this storm is going to remove some of the beach sand off the outbanks and perhaps some at VA beach. If any structures are damaged it's because they weren't built very well to begin with, which is common for beach houses.

[aREDSKIN]

http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpp/news/us-astronaut-posts-spectacular-photo-of-hurricane-earl-from-space-090110

[Homercles82]

oh pulease, this storm is going to remove some of the beach sand off the outbanks and perhaps some at VA beach. If any structures are damaged it's because they weren't built very well to begin with, which is common for beach houses.

Yea 7 - 10 foot waves are little jokes. And those forecasted 25' waves? Just little splashes of water.

I don't know. I used to live on the NC coast and it seems like every storm heading near NC is overhyped. Most of them weaken a bunch before it gets close to shore in NC. Once in a while a strong one will hit the coast, but most of the storms weaken as they get closer to NC and stay well off shore. This storm is strong, but isn't forecast to make landfall.

True. Because it all depends on how the jet stream grabs it and the position of fronts. I was just linking to a forecast model that showed landfall.

[War Paint]

I remember playing outside in Hurricane Isabelle. I went to a fishing pier while the wind and rain was blowing hard. It was fun. I was in Wilmington, so we didn't get the full brunt of it. I went outside some when Fran hit. That was pretty intense.

[GoSkins561]

oh pulease, this storm is going to remove some of the beach sand off the outbanks and perhaps some at VA beach. If any structures are damaged it's because they weren't built very well to begin with, which is common for beach houses.

Surf reports are calling for double head high waves, (9 to 15ft) in Ocean City which means the waves will be breaking on the dunes. That's a beating to OC beaches.

[wantarace17]

GFS shifted further west. It basically is a landfall for Hatteras island. I would not be surprised to see tropical storm watches posted further up the chesapeake bay.

[Zguy28]

I'm worried about my in-laws on outer Cape Cod. But then again, they've been through worse.

[Sticksboi05]

I'm worried about my in-laws on outer Cape Cod. But then again, they've been through worse.

It's just going to be windy rain, nothing more. Unless this thing tracks further west the only things to worry about are rip currents and high waves. If I lived on the NC coast I wouldn't even leave at this point.