Blizzard of 2009: accumulation map up; schools/fed gov't closed Monday

[Dan T.]

As of the 0Z NAM run, NYC gets blasted as it crawls up the coast following cyclogenesis (a very good thing).

C'mon, you're just making words up now.

[Tom [Giants fan]]

As of the 0Z NAM run, NYC gets blasted as it crawls up the coast following cyclogenesis (a very good thing).

Good. I am so looking forward to our first snowstorm. This would be a perfect weekend for that to happen!! I love snow!!!

[haithman]

As of the 0Z NAM run, NYC gets blasted as it crawls up the coast following cyclogenesis (a very good thing).

Im assuming this means Philadelphia will get hammered?

[Johnny Punani]

The 0Z NAM was a run we needed and here's what it giveth:

Leaves us measuring well over a foot of snow.

I think the NAM over does the QPF. That would give central VA/MD 25" of snow with a 10 to 1 ratio and baltimore and eastern MD over 30" inches of snow.

[Sticksboi05]

Im assuming this means Philadelphia will get hammered?

Yes good sir, yes it does.

[Johnny Punani]

Im assuming this means Philadelphia will get hammered?

How much for Philly?

[Johnny Punani]

Could have blizzard conditions along coastal areas that are cold enough for snow.

[Tom [Giants fan]]

Could have blizzard conditions along coastal areas that are cold enough for snow.

That doesn't look good for a decent Long Island snowstorm. Unless it moves further north. I am turning my vacuum on and facing it south.

[THEREALTOR1]

Love the NAM

[Tom [Giants fan]]

Love the NAM

That looks a little more promising for Long Island on the northern fringes of some heavier snow than they are saying right now.

But it is going to be a mess around the nation's capital. It is a good thing this is happening on the weekend. Wait, it is happening on the weekend for you guys in the heavy target zone right? Or is it starting during the day on Friday?

[Rumrunner6900]

Looks like I am getting further out of the "sweet spot", but Ill still take it. If we get over a foot, Ill be happy.

I really dont remember I decent snow since 96...this is gonna be fun.

[Johnny Punani]

;7124472']That doesn't look good for a decent Long Island snowstorm. Unless it moves further north. I am turning my vacuum on and facing it south.

The time is only 3Z Sunday morning. Don't worry Tom the model tracks it NE... What part of LI do you live in?

[Tom [Giants fan]]

The time is only 3Z Sunday morning. Don't worry Tom the model tracks it NE... What part of LI do you live in?

A little west of the middle. Western Suffolk County.

[Johnny Punani]

;7124495']A little west of the middle. Western Suffolk County.

As of right now you would be getting 10-16 inches BUT since the NAM is trending east slightly that could put you in the 12-18" range.

[Rumrunner6900]

Brandon...I see you lurking...damn shame you are gonna miss all this...looks historical at this point!

[Tom [Giants fan]]

As of right now you would be getting 10-16 inches BUT since the NAM is trending east slightly that could put you in the 12-18" range.

The weird thing is, there is no talk of anything right now. They are saying maybe an inch or two. Long Island may wake up tomorrow morning to a winter storm watch and talk of a foot of snow. There will be major panic with only a days notice of this.

[Sticksboi05]

;7124531']The weird thing is' date=' there is no talk of anything right now. They are saying maybe an inch or two. Long Island may wake up tomorrow morning to a winter storm watch and talk of a foot of snow. There will be major panic with only a days notice of this.[/quote']

Not weird. They want to be sure of it. If the 0Z EURO tonight backs up the NAM, you will be put under a watch. NWS Upton is very conservative.

[Johnny Punani]

Love the NAM

I still think it is over doing the QPF amounts. If the low is pulling in that much moisture to produce those vaules you are going to have mixing issues.

[Tom [Giants fan]]

Well, I'm going to go to sleep and hope I wake up to snow panic.

[Tom [Giants fan]]

I still think it is over doing the QPF amounts. If the low is pulling in that much moisture to produce those vaules you are going to have mixing issues.

That is why these early storms suck sometimes. Still a warm ocean out there which could change precip from snow to other.

Although, I would think that would add fuel to the fire as well.

[Sticksboi05]

;7124542']That is why these early storms suck sometimes. Still a warm ocean out there which could change precip from snow to other.

Although' date=' I would think that would add fuel to the fire as well.[/quote']

The mixing would still mainly be along the coast, which I guess is bad for you but for us here in DC would be a south and east of I-95 issue. As this thing bombs, it'll pull cold air into it and any mix will eventually return to all snow.

[Dan T.]

I saw a weather.com map that showed the bullseye of this storm as west of Richmond, into southwest Virginia/Roanoke area, and into the mountains of North Carolina. That area showed getting 12+", with 6-12" closer to DC.

Is that what you guys are seeing?

[THEREALTOR1]

I'd prefer a slightly more easterly track with a nice 12-18 hour stall just E/NE of me.

[Burgundy Burner]

I saw a weather.com map that showed the bullseye of this storm as west of Richmond, into southwest Virginia/Roanoke area, and into the mountains of North Carolina. That area showed getting 12+", with 6-12" closer to DC.

Is that what you guys are seeing?

They would be wrong. Looks like they are working off of models from this morning.

[Burgundy Burner]

Additional watches were just issued for North Jersey, Central Jersey, and west of Philly. This storm appears to be trending just a bit more to the north and closer to the coast. Gonna get socked here.