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profusion

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Everything posted by profusion

  1. profusion
    The fan relationship has been slowly eroding for years. I date the real decline to the RG3 debacle. That one brief glimmer of hope in 2012 brought the enthusiasm back in a way I hadn't seen since the early '90s, but the crushing nature of the way it ended--plus the fallout with Kirk, Bruce, Jay and the rest--was a clear turning point. Before 2012, people loathed Dan but there was still a lot of residual love for the organization. After 2012, that's been changing year by year. If Dan was a "lovable loser", I think the fan support would still be strong. If he was a "winning weasel", I'm not sure. I suspect there'd be a lot more people (here and elsewhere) attempt to excuse the inexcusable. For all I know, I'd be one of them, though I hate to admit that.
  2. profusion
    I suspect the value of the TV market is the biggest factor. Since the teams have relatively limited avenues for individualized revenue streams, with TV and merch profits shared equally, it might be that the valuations are properly flatter top to bottom than they'd otherwise be.
  3. profusion
    Speaking just for myself, I don't give two bits about the product on the field anymore as long as Snyder is the owner. 22 years of this. I can't take any more of it. He's the one who hurts the football product, pure and simple. That and his wretchedness are enough for me to tune out. I stick around here mostly just to read and comment on the Snyder chronicles.
  4. profusion
    It's a nice thought, and I felt that way for a long time. I just don't see it happening unless Dan's scandal gets so big or explosive as to threaten the league at large. Racism would do it, and that's probably what got Richardson out. Otherwise, I see the owners as not wanting to get too involved.
  5. profusion
    Danny Boy's going to spend all his stadium fund on white-shoe attorneys. 😄
  6. profusion
    Stan Kroenke already did that in Los Angeles, and it's working out very well. The current state of affairs seems to be that owners are willing to build out "football destination" developments in wealthy primary markets where they don't need to ask for public money to make the numbers work out the way they want. The rest of the development ends up being at least as profitable than the concrete bowl at the center of it. They're actually better off not letting the government get involved in the financing, since they have more control over the profits and outcomes. It's secondary markets like Buffalo and St. Louis that are expected to be the chumps that pay the tab for their "NFL Experience", sort of like the monorail huckster in that episode of "The Simpsons." DC is a primary market. The money here is outrageous, and the right development in the right place could generate vast oceans of profit beyond providing a place for the football to happen. Right now, it's iffy whether Snyder could even get land-use permission from local governments, let alone public financing. Nobody in this area wants to be associated with his foul odor. However, I don't think that fact will drive the other owners to vote him out. The precedent and legal complications are too risky as balanced against the relatively low impact of Dan's continued stinkitude on other franchises and the league overall. It's a big deal to *us*, but it's a minor news story to fans in most of the rest of the country, even now. The Commanders have truly become the "Washington Generals"--the patsy opposition no one pays much attention to. If racism allegations came out, then they'd cut him loose in a heartbeat, but sexist behavior doesn't seem to generate the same level of controversy or risk (and I'm not EVEN going to wade into offering an opinion about that outside the Stadium...)
  7. profusion
    The only way I see the other owners getting rid of Dan is if he impacts their own bottom lines significantly. They may not like the DC market being stuck with a zombie franchise with no support, but it doesn't have a huge impact on their own franchises unless widespread support for the league drops.
  8. profusion
    Here is a summary explaining the congressional subpoena process. It's based on a newspaper article that discusses it in the context of political stuff we don't get into here, but the procedural points are relevant to this topic. In short: The Supreme Court has upheld Congress' power to issue subpoenas for "legitimate legislative purposes." This doesn't include law enforcement or political gain. A majority of either House can vote someone as in contempt of Congress for defying a subpoena. The sergeant-at-arms can arrest and detain those found in contempt of Congress, but this hasn't been done in almost a century. Congress can ask the U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia to bring criminal charges against a witness who refuses to appear. Doubtful anything happens to Dan if he ignores this, as it would take a bigger group than just this committee to bring forth any consequences.
  9. profusion
    So, when I imagined Dan playing the new "Commander in Chief" by walking around in a fake naval uniform like L. Ron Hubbard, I never thought he'd take it all the way by floating around on his boat in perpetuity to evade the law just like Mr. Scientology.
  10. profusion
    No way the other owners force Dan out unless he's having an impact on the larger NFL business. However, I can see them pressuring him to sell by promising not to aid him in funding a new stadium. Essentially just tell him any new stadium proposal is DOA at the league office. Dan's Commanders can play at FedEx until it collapses.
  11. profusion
    The main job of congressional committees is to consider, amend and forward legislation, not to act as law enforcement. They can hold hearings on anything they want and call public attention to things, but the only possible "work product" is referring the matter to the DOJ or causing enough public outcry that DOJ gets involved. Neither is likely here. Looks like we're stuck with Snyder, which means I'm still teamless for the time being.
  12. profusion
    JDR will be a big hit in St. Louis, along with the rest of this fine organization.
  13. profusion
    The culture isn't damn good. It's damn GREAT!
  14. profusion
    What's amazing is that Watson didn't somehow end up in Ashburn.
  15. profusion
    Dan won't sell unless he's forced to. Nothing Roger says publicly or the committee does will make it impossible for him keep owning the team. He'll have to be voted out. You or I? Sure, we'd sell quietly to avoid being thrown under the bus. Dan is incapable of shame and thinks his lawyers can bully their way to any desired result.
  16. profusion
    Dan and Roger would be fools to show up. Nothing to be gained.
  17. profusion
    Oh god, the PSL sales would be a massively entertaining disaster.
  18. profusion
    Part of the point of going with a smaller stadium in the modern era is to make up for the smaller capacity by jacking up prices for such a "premium" experience, assuming that the poors will simply be watching on TV. Does anyone think the impresario behind sewage leaks, unsafe safety railings, defunct airline peanuts and expired beer is going to provide anything approaching a "premium" experience? He'll jack up the prices, for sure, but for the same level of awfulness all around. If there's a corner to be cut, it'll be cut with a chainsaw.
  19. profusion
    It's not just market size. The DC area includes 3 or 4 of the wealthiest counties in the country. Forget attendance. Having an engaged fanbase in the DMV impacts the TV contract due to the area's desirability to advertisers. With all that said, there are a lot of transplants here, and ratings might still be high without a local team. And the owners love having an empty market out there as leverage for stadium negotiations. St. Louis and San Diego don't have the same punch that way.
  20. profusion
    If Dan can't get a stadium deal anywhere around here, then I wouldn't be shocked if the league let him move. They'd do that before forcing him out, I think. We'd become the new Los Angeles: the big vacant market used as leverage for the other teams' taxpayer extortion effort. The NFL was willing to let LA go without a team for 20 years. It could absolutely happen here.
  21. profusion
    There shouldn't be any kind of deal. If a billionaire's club wants a playpen for the Washington branch of their business, let them build it themselves. I'd feel that way if the [I'll always call them Redskins] had won the Super Bowl last season.
  22. profusion
    An entertainment destination project at the Dulles quarry site would seemingly be a winner. I can imagine politicians falling all over themselves for a big moneymaker like that. Thing is, it probably doesn't need a Commanders stadium to work, just the way National Landing doesn't. If anything, a Snyder stadium would be a drag on the entire thing, since there is so little demonstrated demand for the team. The only reason to plop down a big useless concrete bowl into a project like that is to generate foot traffic. If I'm a banker, I'm not seeing the numbers add up.
  23. profusion
    Just when you thought you'd heard it all... What a clown.
  24. profusion
    From cursory reading, it appears the funding is more of a future tax break than an up-front payment. Sadly, local and state governments give these sweetheart deals to bigger businesses all the time. Snyder would still have to come up with the cash to build the project. The league would probably help out, as they've done elsewhere. The questions for lenders would be whether Snyder is already too leveraged and whether the profit potential is high enough. If I were considering it, the Loudoun location would appeal because of the upscale demographic there. The stadium isn't central to the profitability here; it's the surrounding entertainment stuff that makes or breaks it financially. Woodbridge and Dumfries are both terrible in terms of accessibility and are downscale. I'd wary of committing multi billions to fund a destination project there.
  25. profusion
    I'd prefer that the Va. legislature further adjust that support figure down from $350M to zero. If Dan wants to build his giant Commanders-logoed toilet bowl in Woodbridge or Dumfries or Appomattox Courthouse, fine, but not on my dime. If the league won't force him out, then I'd prefer him gone from the area altogether. I'm done with him.
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