redskins59

Let's see what happens. Hopefully some justices move left (Roberts, maybe Gorsuch).

This is just a terrible news. RIP. We all knew her health was deteriorating.

What would coronavirus kill without the lockdown? 2 million? 3 million? Now, let's suppose that heart attack kills 800k, and coronavirus kills 200k, this still means 200k on top of 800k. So a million or so. That's an increase of 25% (200×100/800)

Did anybody look at Florida's number today? Whopping 15,300. I was hoping daily death would peak at 100 or a bit more. Ain't happening. It will be multiples that.

Cases going up in many states. Texas, California and Florida hitting triple digits or close to it. Arizina will soon follow. Then if you look at states like Georgia and South Carolina, cases have appreciably gone up. Here in MD, we are doing okay, but I have a feeling it will go up here too.

In the process of buying a house. Got mortgage rate of less than 3.

Deaths are going up. Deaths were peaking in the 700's the last few weeks. Guess the situation this week. Over 900 yesterday. More than 800 today. The way Texas is going, they may end up with more hospitalizations than even New York. Texas is currently at 9000+. New York peaked at slightly above 18,000.

Look at this video. Deaths following soon, unfortunately.

Comparing this data to New Jersey, looks like they hit slightly above 8000 hospitalization at their peak: https://www.nj.gov/health/cd/topics/covid2019_dashboard.shtml New York hit close to 19,000: https://forward.ny.gov/daily-hospitalization-summary-region Now, I don't think Texas will be bad as New Jersey , or New York, but it'll get bad in terms of deaths.

With hospitalizations spiking in Texas, Arizona, and (most probably) Floriday, deaths will follow very soon. Just look at the data in Texas: Hospitalizations June 10 total: 2100 Today: Close to 7000 Give it a week or two before Texas starts reporting Coronavirus deaths in the hundreds.

The police station appears close by. 1 min walk from CNN studio tours. So maybe they were protecting themselves. I don't know the area, I am just searching on Google.

Okay, but are immigrants even coming here right now? What's the flow like? Political move that does not mean a whole lot.

People need to look up Bayes' theorem. if a test is 99% sensitive and 99% specific, and the population sick is 1%, what is the probability that a person who tested positive is actually sick? The number is 1 out of 2. So what happens is that when the % of sick people is really low, the false positives are very high. I looked at the numbers yesterday. If the actual sick is 2%, the positive will be slightly more than 60%. Now, if the sick is 5%, then the test will be correct more than 90% of the time. If I had to guess, not many sick people out there. I don't buy the 2 to 5%.

This stock market bullish run is really stupid. Granted, I would like my 401k to go up, but why is it going up? CNBC says because remdevisir may work. I believe it will prove to be effective as well, unlike hydroxychloroquine, but how quickly will they be able to manufacture the product? Meaning, if they have to manufacture a 100,000 product, how long will it take. That right there is the problem. Gilead is not giving a big number either. A million or so in a year(2021?). The other reason may be because they are trying to open up the country. That will take some time. This thing is going to fizzle once people realize that it will not be a V-shaped recession.

I sold my house in November when I moved from Virginia to Baltimore. I am all for helping people out, but I also feel that I would like to take advantage of the unfortunate situation. Now, I am definitely seeing price reductions left and right. I must say though, we cannot have a sitation where people are making more money unemployed. Who knows, I might lose my job too. At the same time, I want real estate to tank. I would like to see a balance. 2000 to everybody? What would it do to real estate? I want that to go down at least.

Anybody looking at Sweden's numbers? They have 487 cases, but 114 deaths. They decided to not shut down like their neighbors. It appears to be a disaster in the making.

I am watching Inside the E.R. on CNN right now. Recommend it. Just started.

Another drug to test. This one is called Ivermectin. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166354220302011

I think it mentions in the article above that it was the same dosage. The study should be interesting when they publish it. I also posted anothet one above where supposedly the drugs are ineffective in severe cases.

Another claim that hydroxychloroquine is not effective. This is supposedly France's best hospital. https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-04-02/hyped-malaria-drug-not-showing-much-effect-at-one-paris-hospital

Anoyther study on hydroxychloroquine. No benefits on severe patients: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0399077X20300858?via%3Dihub

Well, even in Rault's second study, one patient above 80 died. Now, there were only 5 patients above 80, but the death rate would be 20%.....

Do you think that it works as well as, say, even a flu shot (which is like 60% effective or so- but it does reduce symptoms)? I feel that it is already being used left and right.

I think a lot of states are probably using it. What will be the death rate? It won't be zero like that doctor from NY is suggesting. Having said that, if I got coronavirus, I would take it. The results are mixed. I posted a paper a few days ago from China, which seemed to suggests that hydroxychloroquine may work. On the other hand, there is another study from China where the benefit was none between case and control. So it is mixed. Now the question is one of side effects.

Interesting article on hydroxychloroquine and the French doctor. https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-04-01/trump-chloroquine-coronavirus-bad-science-hiltzik-column