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CommDownMan

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Everything posted by CommDownMan

  1. A few names I could swap out, but this was an exercise to get 4-5 mid+ range FAs, 5-8 lower priced FAs and see how the cap would look. I think LB/DE/S/G are really good spots to aim high in FA. FA: Defense: I think we’ll see more here FA. Mostly based on what is stronger at needs. Josh Uche (3/24) – Dante Fowler (1/3.5) Ahkello Witherspoon (2/20) Azeez Al Shaiir (4/36) Xavier McKinney (4/44) I’m not expecting Winfield Jr to hit FA, but I’d make some changes if it did happen. Offense: Michael Onwenu (4/56) Juaun Jennings (2/8) yeah RFA, but I’d take the shot if Right of First Refusal is used. Ertz (1/3) ST: Reaves (2/5.5) Someone Good (2/4) – Lots of options, just find a good one Cut Candidates: 1 TE Logan Thomas (6.5mill savings) This is probably deemed a fairly heavy FA signing period, but with cuts and only small changes from AAV for year one (eg McKinney 8/10/12/14), the cap remaining is about 40 million (and 100 million-ish for 2025). Another 10.3 mill for draft picks per https://overthecap.com/draft I’m still 4 players shy of a full 53, and would expect a few UDFA and 2-3 mill 1 year type deals. Effective cap won’t change much, as other contracts drop off the list, so ~25 mill left in cap even after all this. Draft: Pick 1.2: QB. Not going to say, but I’m be mind blown if this isn’t a QB. 2.36: I see a trade with a team (New Orleans for this exercise) traded for 2.45, 5.149, 5.167 2.40: Cooper Beebe OG. If this goes down, I'm probably finding a way to replace Wylie. 2.45: Xavier Legette: Bigger receiver, nice compliment to what we have. 3/3/4/5/5/5/6- Lots of options and I've gone down the rabbit hole enough tonight. (OT, TE, DE, LB, CB, S, RB listed below to spread the love). Offense: 24 QB: Draft Pick 1.2, Howell (2) RB: Robinson, Rodriguez, Draft Pick (3) WR: McLaurin, Brown, Dotson, Jennings, Legette (5) OT: Leno, Daniels, Onwenu, Draft Pick (4) OG: Paul, Cosmi, Beebe, Wylie (4) OC: Gates, Stromberg (2) TE: Bates, Turner, Ertz, Draft Pick (4) Defense: 22 DE: Henry, Jones, Uche, Fowler, Draft Pick (5) DT: Allen, Payne, Mathis, Ridgeway (4) LB: Davis, Shaiir, Draft Pick, UDFA (4) CB: Witherspoon, St-Juste, Forbes, Martin, Draft Pick (5) S: McKinney, Forrest, Butler, Draft Pick (4) Special Teams: (3) K: Someone (1) P: Way (1) LS: Addington (1)
  2. Looking at stats (and general contracts over time), he'd be looking for more per than McClaurin's 3 yr / $68.3 mill extension. Even if just $23 million per, you would have $46 million tied to you're top 2 receivers and be down draft capital. If you skip an extension, I'd imagine the noise would continue and he'd be moving on next year. With extension, that's 19% of the cap, dedicated to 2 players. Unless they traded Terry, I don't think you'd find a scenario it makes sense.
  3. Was curious what the implications would be after this comment. PROJECTED values of $4.6 (2nd round tender) to 6.4 million (1st round tender) and it'd be a 1 year deal, so all that would hit year one. He was a 7th rounder it seems, but even the Right of First Refusal is $2.8 mill. Although, it's fair to assume at least 1 team would be willing to ditch a 7th rounder for him and to a contract that would likely be tough for 49ers to match. https://overthecap.com/franchise-transition-and-rfa-tenders https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/san-francisco-49ers Currently, $3.7 mill over (effectively 11.7 mill over needing 8 new players to hit 53). Cuts from this don't look super valuable to gain cap space (McCaffrey, Greenlaw and Juszczyk the only guys with 4+ million cap savings and they aren't getting cut). Some restructures to kick down the road would help, but with draft picks needing some $$ and only 45 contracts (meaning at least 8 new signings), it would seem they have a few tough decisions to make. They do have 12 draft picks to fill, which is late round heavy, that may be where most of the 8 new signings come from.
  4. As mentioned in a previous post, I generally don't know much about coaches outside of our own, so I haven't really spoken much about Quinn. I was thinking about the 2013 coaching staff we talk about that had Kyle Shanahan, McVay, LaFleur, O'Connell and McDaniel with a final record of 3-13. The team was run in a way that it really doesn't seem like success could be had by anyone. Even while fresh in my mind, there is no part of me that thought Rivera would be this bad. Having Peters in place, along with a traditional structure really is a decent starting place. I'll decide on Quinn more on the results then anything else, but at least it appears he has better support than previous regimes at this point.
  5. First , I want to see if players like him as much as the quotes. This team is a mess and while coaching changes will help, I want to see a FA period where players want to sign here. If players wait a year or 2 and we do mostly draft additions while facilities are made better, I think any coach would be at a disadvantage. So ask me again in April. Haha
  6. Agreed. The talk of Ben Johnson to Seattle, would mean we could have MacDonald at this point. I get why people may rather Johnson, but there are top line options and we should get one of them. All of a month ago, I knew pretty much nothing about other coaches, cause I generally don't care outside of what Commanders are doing. I'm not going to pretend to know which one is truly the best choice. After how things seem to have fallen with Peters, I'm hoping we can continue to hit home runs.
  7. The 12 million Signing Bonus was spread over 5 years. If we look at the last note from sportrac contract details, the last 2 years are voided 4 days after SB and the fake/void years accelerate to 2024 dead money. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/washington-commanders/curtis-samuel-21781/#:~:text=Curtis Samuel signed a 3,dead cap value of %244%2C800%2C000. IDK if a new contract could be worked to pushed/spread out further since it is signing bonus related, but I don't know of an example where that happened.
  8. I'm not saying this because of who is going to be coaching here, just speaking to KDawg's post. At the end of the day, the bottle finally isn't always empty here and I'm happy to just go with it. If some crazy reason it isn't Johnson, its not going to be some Zorn-like ****er after no one else wanted to be in DC. My cup is full and there will be no gripes from me.
  9. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/33518865/rb-jd-mckissic-flips-buffalo-bills-returns-washington-commanders-two-year-deal I'm way late by like 5 pages, but it makes me think of this.
  10. Nope, I'm saying trading back from the higher 2nd round pick (#36), not 2nd overall. I see names like Bo Nix, J.J. Carthy going early 2nd a decent bit. There are a decent number of teams Falcons, Titans, Jets, Vikings, Broncos, Raiders that likely are in the Penix maybe range and no other QB range. Falcons (43), Titans (38), Jets (no 2nd), Vikings (42), Broncos (no 2nd), Raiders (44). Clearly the teams with no 2nd don't count in my original statement, but Vikings/Falcons/Raiders trading picks to jump Titans (Giants even) for QB could add at least one pick (probably 4th or 5th+6th). Being 40/44 still gives Commanders a good shot at Xavier Legette and Cooper Beebe (for example). I see this as the way to add to the 9 total picks if they go that route.
  11. I think QB at 2 is still pretty likely. I guess the team could surprise us, but I'm sticking with that for now. I could see the higher 2nd pick having a QB that teams 10ish spots back would want to trade up. I think something like 2 (36) for 2 (~46) and a 3rd or 4th/5th would still put Commanders in decent place for 2nd round. 4th rounder to start day 3 is the 2nd pick, so more time to work out trades and could probably add 1/2 picks in the 5-7 round range. I think we'll see at least a little movement and have more than 9 total drafted players when it's all said and done, but I don't think it'll be using the overall #2. I would be curious the approach on future picks. I don't know how much Peters teams went in that direction and will be curious if we'll see more of that now.
  12. The statement about fans seeing the difference on the field is step one. Whether it's instant or 2 years, I'm ready to see a different intensity/approach.
  13. When he released this in real time, I thought it was a throw away or a dangerous throw the defense could adjust to in the air. The receiver stopped, stumbled back to catch, but it didn't matter as only 1 defender was in view and 10+ yards away. Some was design, but that's also terrible defense.
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