my picks for UFC 81:
Tyson Griffin vs. Glison Tiebau (yeah i know i probably spelled it wrong): i don't see how Tibebau beats Griffin. Tyson's strength should be enough to get him a ground and pound finish, or at least a pretty easy decision.
Griffin by TKO, 2nd round
Ricardo Almeida vs. Rob Yundt: Yundt took this fight on less than a week's notice. Almeida may have some rust from not competing, but he'll shake that off after the first round.
Almeida by sub, 2nd round
Nate Marquardt vs. Jeremy Horn: pretty even match up. horn should have the edge striking, but Nate is very well rounded. i think nate can get him to the ground and control Horn for a decision victory. If nate could control Lister on the ground, i'm sure he can handle an aging Horn.
Marquardt by UD
Frank Mir vs. Brock Lesnar: still goin back and forth with this one. Mir looked good at weigh ins, although i think 255 is a bit much for him. Lesnar looked huge at 265, even though he's only 10lbs more than Mir, the size difference is tremendous. i've decided on Brock by tko, in the 1st. obviously Mir has great BJJ for a heavyweight, but brute strength has been shown to be a good defense for some subs (see rampage jackson :laugh: ). i see brock getting a takedown and landing something that puts Mir away before he can slap on the sub.
Lesnar by TKO, 1st round
Timmay vs. Big Nog: Nog looked better than he did against Herring at the weigh-ins, but he looks as though he's carryin some extra weight to deal with Timmay's size. Nog has good technical boxing, but i'm not sure if he can close the distance on Timmay to utilize it. Timmay's takedown D is too good for Nog to just shoot in, he'll have to set his shots up if he takes them. Timmay should be able to keep this standing and use his distance to eek out a decision, even if it is a boring one. i'm really pullin for Nog so i hope he gets it to the ground and submits Timmay, but i don't see it happening.
Timmay by UD