KDawg

With Wiley there Mariota may just walk out. Oh wait…

If Mariota plays 3-14. Otherwise I think we beat the over.

I don’t have many gripes with the draft. I’m still annoyed we handed Dejean to Philly. But other than that I like our class. I’m just very aware of the success rate of draft classes in general. Most of these guys are very likely to flame out. Doesn’t mean they will. There is always a chance this is the class that rewrites the rule book.

I think McCaffrey (and others) certainly have potential. I mean it’s not impossible each of our picks play well for us… Just not at all realistic. some may get hurt. Some may get buried on the depth chart. Some may flounder in development. Some may not be as good as we had hoped. Reality is that there are currently fanbases from 32 teams who are hyping up 70% or more of their draft choices. That hit rate is pretty much impossible I think us hitting 50% (including UDFA if they hit but NOT counting them as a miss) is a high, high, high improbability. im not really saying who will hit and who won’t. Though I think Sinnott and Newton have the highest chance. Sain and McCaffrey are in a similar boat. Sain was better in college but his size is an issue. McCaffrey has the tools and he may be someone that can help us in the return game… maybe? If that becomes his role that can be considered a hit even if he doesn’t do much as a receiver. But it’s not a major hit. I just think our fanbase should realize the chances are higher that our whole class busts than it is half of them hit. Though, again, I think there is a chance for us to get 5 players out of this class realistically. Which is a huge number.

I think we have two guys in this class who are most likely going to be good players: Newton and Sinnott. I think we have one with superstar potential who could be a major franchise turning guy, but could equally break: Daniels. Everyone else is a question mark. Sainristil looked phenomenal at Michigan… but the size thing is going to rear its head. It just is. The question is how it’s mitigated and how often it occurs. I think he’s going to be a good player. But I figure if we hit on 4 of these dudes we’re in really good shape. The rest of the picks are question marks. Magee I think has potential to surprise us. UDFAs don’t exist as far as I’m concerned… aside from Chig because he’s a dawg and our corners aren’t established.

Good ol’ Ben. Obi Wan Sinnobi.

C'mon, man. Be serious. Buechele is a specimen. But shout out to Vaderson and Ben Sinnobi. I guess I'll just have to live with Daniels.

I do. This is the year of Buechele.

Luke is now known as Vaderson.

Edit: I was beaten… to the punch.

He was. But imo he's a better slot corner. Of course, perhaps Davis playing outside is a clue into what our FO is thinking. Maybe that's where they see him. Him + Noah I + Holmes growth + Forbes growth + St Juste changes the CB landscape a bit.

I don’t know if Sain plays the nickel a whole lot this year. I think Mike Davis was brought in for that and he is one of the best nickel CBs in pro football. I am kind of curious, though… I think they may use Sain as a safety at times and roll him down. I think Sain is incredibly intelligent and reads quickly and breaks quickly and violently. So while I think he is a nickel CB and we will see him some there, I’m kind of wondering if they think he may be a high safety at times and Quan isn’t and will be more of a slot CB. I’m interested to see how creative they can get.

I think Sam Howell and Bienemy did make the line look worse. But what I think is a little bit revisionist is that people are forgetting that the line also made the line look worse. We had a revolving door playing RT and as much as I like Lucas he is a downgrade to Leno. Now, on the flip, I think we have improved the interior IOL. Biadasz is a clear upgrade at center. Allegretti and Stromberg should compete for LG. I’m not sure why everyone lost faith in Strom but I certainly haven’t. Now, having said that: LG still looks to be the third weakest link on the OL after, in order: RT, LT. Can coaching help, too? Sure. Id say our line was a 60 last year (made up number to show my thoughts on improvement). This year, right now, it’s a 68. Now: Stromberg, Brooks, Coleman, Daniels showing improvement and growth can jump this into the mid 70s. Wylie not being a turnstile can push it to about an 80 if all else pans out. I think we will still make a FA move once cuts start happening at one of the tackle spots, too. So TBD. Right now it’s better. But not by a lot. And mostly because of Biadasz.

Name for future radar: TE Thomas Fidone, Nebraska. 6-6 240. Stats are unimpressive but... he plays for Nebraska. If he stays, those numbers go up with Raiola at QB.

The Chig is up!

I just went based on what I would have done. Absolutely zero way that means a damn thing. Like you said: it was for fun and a bunch of bull****.

My logic is fine. It’s MY system that I made up on my own for a stupid purpose of grading a draft immediately after it happened which ultimately means squat.

What are you disagreeing on? My opinion? 100% for Sinnott was based on who *I* would have selected there. I would have picked Sinnott. So it’s a 100%. I don’t get the disconnect. It’s MY grade

What? 97-100 is A+ 93-96 A 90-92 A- 87-89 B+ 83-86 B 82-80 B- 77-79 C+ 73-76 C 72-70 C- 65-69 D 64 and below F

I mean… I have no tangible way to grade this draft. I have no idea how it’s going to pan out. But just based on optics and how I felt during it (which is NOT a fair way to grade and nor is it the correct way to grade): Daniels: 100% (Maye would have been a 100% as well) Newton: 90% - BPA pick, but at a position of strength so not weighted for need at all. KA Mc or Dejean here would have been a 100%. The player is phenomenal, though, and I’m excited. Sinnot: 100%. Agree completely. Sainristil: 75%. Love the player. But again we’re loaded at slot corner. We can move some guys around and make this better. I don’t think he was the BPA here. But love the player. Doesn’t agree with my strategy and since that’s the only way to bull**** grade here… Campbell: 70%. Needed tackle. Got tackle. Probably a decent value selection. Eh. Magee: 80%. Fits a profile of an athletic LB that gets after it. Robinson or whatever the safety’s name is: 50%. Don’t understand that pick personally. McCaffrey: 75%. Good value pick. Probably going to be a decent contributor. Jean Baptiste: 80% for the value selection of when we got him. -2.5% because I ****ing hated trading with the Eagles and passing on a need/BPA convo that made sense. 80% - 2.5% = 77.5% Which is a C+. Which for a pre see any of these guys draft grade is probably pretty good. I don’t think I’d have anyone over an 84 or so based on a quick run through of teams drafts and quick math in my obviously well thought out scoring scheme.

I used to start watching prospects now for the next class. Now I'll just watch a few here and there and wait for December-ish to watch. 1) Time wise it makes more sense for me. 2) These pre-season lists change almost completely after the next season. Malachai Moore is probably one of my favorites so far. Stutsman and Barrett are going to likely wind up on next year's lists. The QBs... meh. The top 3... maybe the top 4... and possibly even the top 5 QBs were better this year, I think. But there is always the chance for a late riser so we'll see.

This is just too hard to do. For instance, we have a pretty good idea if we didn’t take Newton at 36 he’s probably gone at 40, right? But we don’t know. So if you switch picks at 36 and say… Dejean… when we get to 40 is Newton there or not? You can do this with a bunch of picks and situations. The other issue is: are we doing this as if we were the GM? Or just using the picks we ultimately wound up with? Anyways, here’s my half ass version because I don’t feel like looking at the draft board and see what actually happened using the picks we ultimately wound up with (which means Dejean has to go to Philly because that’s why they traded up… which is another issue with this exercise. If Dejean isn’t there they likely don’t move up so for the intent of this exercise I’m saying we couldn’t have taken Dejean at 36. 2- Daniels. Coin toss between him and Maye. Might have chosen Maye. I don’t know. I like the size but hate the mechanics. I’m not going to say here because if I was making the decision I would have a lot more info. I’ll stick with Daniels just because. But I would have loved Maye. Also worthy of note: if I was GM I would have weighed trade options heavily and if I could have traded down to 4/5 I may have done so to acquire picks and take McCarthy + OL. Or I may not have. 36 - I didn’t see it coming but Newton was definitely a BPA and likely mine. Dejean can’t be taken or we don’t get the next two picks in sequence… so let’s stick with Newton. Only other option here is Kool-Aid. So could have been him, too. 50 - Patrick Paul. Weighted need/BPA pick. 53 - Ben Sinnott. 67 - Cooper Beebe 100 - Cade Stover. 139 - Caelon Carson. 161 - Christian Jones 222 - Michael Pratt.

Sainristril isn’t going to be outside. Nickel will likely be a four front and a basic 4-2 alignment. Fowler - Allen - Payne - Ferrell Luvu - Wagner Forbes Juste M.Davis-Forrest-Quan Newton/Sain/Jamin Davis rotational pieces

So… I foresee some 3-4 sets in our future. Magee - Allen-Payne-Newton - Davis Luvu - Wagner Forbes-Forrest-Quan-Juste

So we have a Luke and a Ben… both receivers. Luke and Ben, folks… the nickname writes itself. Star Wars. The Force. Boom. Yahtzee.