redskins59

It's time that the federal government allows people to work from home. The federal government is the largest employer in the United States.

196 dead in Italy. 2300+ cases. That is just bad.

South Korea can test 15k people a day, but we can't. We are a bigger country with more resources. That is leadership failure. Zero preparation. In situations like this, you need to prepare for a pandemic.

Cases in Boston jumped by 50+. Just read on twitter. Maybe somebody can post here.

A better comparison for the United States would be Italy. China is authoritarian, so I don't think that's a good comparison. They can do things that we can't do.

I think Dr Fauci was suggesting that 15-20% of cases need intensive care. Italian doctors are saying 10% require intensive care. That's a BIG number, because I am reading that only 1% of flu cases require intensive care. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-italy-doctors-intensive-care-deaths-a9384356.html

The question is, how easy is it to create a vaccine for this virus? Any company can claim to create a vaccine. I mean, we have many viruses out there for which we don't have any vaccines. If I had to guess, it will take 5 years. 1 to 2 years is the optimistic timeline. Yes, the federal government will increase funding to fight the virus, but even with that, good luck getting a vaccine soon. Coronavirus is already part of the cold/flu season. Why no vaccine? We had the SARS/MERS issue before. Research takes time.

Think of it this way. Let's suppose that the COVID-19 death rate ends up being 0.1%, and it is as contagious as the flu. Wouldn't you essentially double the death rate per year? So let's say flu kills at a rate of 0.1%, and COVID-199 kills at the same rate, one would expect the overall cold/flu season death rate to jump. If flu kills 10,000, COVID-19 kills another 10,000. Maybe not a double, it would go up.

You can see right here. https://www.livescience.com/new-coronavirus-compare-with-flu.html So influenza's death rate is 0.1%, whereas they estimated COVID-19's death rate at 2.3% (WHO upgraded the number to >3). The other number to look at is R0, which is how easily the virus spreads. The flu R0 is calculated to be 1.3, whereas they have it at between 2-3 for COVID-19. So it appears to spread more quickly. Now, let's say the death rate settles at 0.5%. That's still 5 times higher than Influenza's death rate. The other issue is vaccine. At least with the flu, we have a vaccine, although it isn't 100% effective, but it is known to reduce the symptoms. Here, we don't have any vaccines.

Some common cold types out there appear to already be due to coronavirus. Nonetheless, the death rate of covid-19 is too high for this one to be just a "decent cold". Older people dying at a high rate. Some of us have family members with diabetes or other preexisting conditions, so we have to be worried. Perhaps I will survive, but that's not going to be the case for everybody I know.

How do you calculate the fatality rate? If you look at closed cases only, the death rate appears to be 8%. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Of the active cases, 18% in critical condition.

Well, I think that due to unpopularity of Trump, some people will blame America. I should call my cousin in Canada and ask him what the thinking is there.

Interesting article about how Canada will react. Obviously, Iran is the main culprit, but the relationship with America may go downhill because America provoked Iran, according to this article. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/09/world/canada/iran-plane-crash-ukraine.html

Dead American civilians(3000 total).

How can you not see the difference between somebody like Bin Laden and the Revolutionary Guard?

The Americans they attack hardly have been civilians. Even the missilies they launched recently were at a military base.

Of course it was a regional attack. Basically warfare.

I was talking about the revolutionary guard. They were designated a terrorist organization only this year. Nonetheless, I don't think Soleimani is a terrorist even if he was designated a terrorirst in 05. He hasn't attacked us here. Regional attacks are all warfare.

Okay then, why were they designated a terrorist organization only this year? They have existed for decades. A terrorist is somebody like Bin Laden who killed innocent people. Isis does the same thing. Ask yourself this. Is the revolutionary guard's main target even America? I doubt that. How come terrorists who come here to kill Americans never from Iran? When did that happen?

Read this article on Iran's missile improvement. This right here is the reality. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/how-a-quantum-change-in-missiles-has-made-iran-a-far-more-dangerous-foe/2020/01/07/63020a0c-30c7-11ea-9313-6cba89b1b9fb_story.html

Ehh,It's a fight that America doesn't want to get into either. Isn't that obvious? Iran has alliances all over the region. You want to start a regional warfare? Where's all this skirmish going on right now? Iran or is it Iraq? Of course America always wins wars, but then what? Stuck in Iraq and Afghanistan for decades. I am reading that Iran has the largest arsenal of ballistic missile in all of the middle east. What did Afghanistan have? It was probably the poorest country in the world even back then. This year alone, there were 20 dead Americans in Afghanistan. Not a big number, but this after close to 20 years. What's a win for America? Military vs military? Yeah, that's a win. Who doubts that? Then what? The Ayotollah has his followers no matter how unpopular he is, just as Saddam had his supporters. So prepare to fight his followers for decades. With a country 4 times the size of Iraq, good luck with that. It's also a much bigger country population wise.

No Iraqi casualties either, per CNN.

How big is this base? It's supposed to be a mix of Iraqis and Americans (with probably way more Iraqis). However, no Americans got killed. Wondering if their missiles are this precise.

Based on Trump's tweet, I think this is it. We are deescalating. So Iran's missiles appear to easily reach American bases. This is now. They're going to keep improving their technology.