PeterMP

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Everything posted by PeterMP

  1. PeterMP

    ***2019-2020 NBA Offseason Thread***

    Talk is Rockets want Butler in a sign and trade. Wizards get Capella, Gordon, and two future Rockets 1st round picks. Sixers get Beal. Rockets get Butler Yay or nay?
  2. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    It is, but you also don't want to create situations where people travel needlessly or without thinking about the best uses of resources because that creates a hard to monetize waste of money. When people need to move, you want them to be able to move quickly and easily, but often times by doing that, we also encourage people to travel needlessly, which just waste resources. We want to enable people that can and should get advanced educations to get advanced educations, but we also don't want people wasting resources and going to college simply because they can, and they don't want to worry about what they are going to do with the rest of their lives (i.e. people going to college simply to delay their entrance into adulthood). We also don't need/want everybody going to college (I believe there is good data out there that shows the largest current issue with US economy is not the lack of people with advanced educations, but actually the lack of people in the high skilled trades). (As such, I'm not for free college for all (I suspect that will encourage people to waste resources), but also think we need to greatly reduce in state tuition at public schools, while maintaining the ability to get a good education at such schools (i.e. we need to massively increase our funding of the public higher education system).)
  3. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    More people are going to college, including state schools. Funding has not kept up with inflation when taking into account the increase in the number of students. There have been other increases too. Unlike most other industries, public higher education has not massively out sourced jobs. If students need help with scheduling or bill paying, in most places they still talk to somebody in the US that is an employee of the college and certainly teaching jobs haven't been out sourced. So increases in health care have impacted the education field (really at all levels) more so than most other industries. There also have been some increases in administrative costs. Things like greater EPA restrictions, sexual harassment, and Title IX have all increased administrative costs. (The "Common Rule" for working human subjects was recently updated causing a change in NIH policy for being able to work with human cell lines, which caused a host of rule changes for people doing research with human cells and an increase in the training students need to work with human cells. The training has to created by somebody, reviewed by somebody, and somebody has to keep record of it which all falls in increases in administrative costs. https://grants.nih.gov/grants/peer/guidelines_general/Guidelines_for_the_Review_of_the_Human_Subjects.pdf ). Public colleges never did nor were ever intended to return a profit onto themselves. I'm generally not for completely free college for all.
  4. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    1. There's never been an expectation for state schools to turn a profit. 2. No publicly funded transportation system turns a profit either (i.e. roads don't pay for themselves directly).
  5. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    There are better and fairer ways to free up middle-class buying power. All this is just catering to a certain class of voters. While likely encouraging (even more) unethical behavior by institutions of higher education.
  6. I will add though, that I'm not for making weight discrimination illegal. Weight does have real affects, it doesn't make sense to me force society to pretend like it doesn't. We (as a society, including government) have to do more to fight obesity and help people that are overweight, but it isn't something that we should also pretend is just neutral, without causes, and uncontrollable.
  7. I don't think that healthy foods actually are more expensive than non-healthy foods. Where I shop bananas, cheap apples, frozen vegetables, and beans are still some of the cheapest things to buy per a mass unit. I don't think obesity is tied to poverty in the manner of not being able to afford healthy food. I suspect it is more tied at the level of decision making (people that are tired, stressed, and poorly educated tend to make poorer decisions). There are some cases where food deserts are real and are a real issue so easy availability is an issue for some. As for the rest: There is an addictive/adaptive part to obesity, especially once people are obese. Studies show that hunger and food trigger some of the same areas of the brain that addictive chemicals. Further, once you've gained weight your body does set that as its new "normal". It then works to maintain that weight by sending hunger signals when below that weight and slowing down the metabolism (most of the energy you burn in a day is not due to exercise or even physical activity of any kind, but just basic cellular maintenance). There is no doubt that part of the obesity issues in the US are tied to the effectiveness of advertising and the tailoring and targeting of it to children is a large part of the issue. The government has tried at different times to control it, but the food industry has done a very good job of lobbying the government to minimize regulations on marketing to kids. And overweight kids become obese adults.
  8. I seriously doubt that the net long term value of cyber attacks is positive. Historically, the weapons have just turned around us against us (US citizens, companies, and (local) governments that aren't really any better suited to defend themselves than Iran).
  9. PeterMP

    All Things "AOC" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    No, we do something about the things that are making them come here in the first place (jobs here vs. at home). Refocus on ICE to going after employers. Don't even worry about processing the employees. And I mean repeated raids of the same businesses in short periods of times. Not, we raid and then maybe come back a few years later. I mean we raid and then show up again a month later with another set of fines to go on top of the first. During the Obama administration there were cases where they raided a place and then raided them about a year later and they were employing many of the same illegal people. Dry up the jobs. I'd also probably lobby Congress for more strict penalties against employers, especially (large (say people found with 10 or more illegal employees)) repeat offenders. Based on the Great Recession, I suspect if you can dry up the jobs conditions at these place will improve relatively quickly (6 months). (I'll also point out that this will have a large affect on agriculture, rural land prices, and shift US farming even more to corporate farming (can afford up front costs of equipment that only pays out over the years) so you'd also have to be prepared to deal with that.) Longer term, we need a government that is going to work with countries in Central and South America so that their governments and economy are more stable. Realistically, this probably means broadening NAFTA (or whatever Trump is calling it now), but with clear and large penalties for cases of corruption by US and multinational companies and a real investigative force to investigate such corruption.
  10. PeterMP

    All Things "AOC" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    I didn't grow up in a sheltered environment. I'm sure of that . And my parents have taken on other kids that did not start in a sheltered environment. And I've never heard of 7 or 8 year olds being forced to take care of infants that they just met. And if you have evidence that's a regular occurring thing in the US, please, post it. Otherwise, just go away.
  11. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    Did you read your links? The first one is just irrelevant. The second one says it wasn't 70%, but 58%, which was still higher than the average (52%). The exact numbers don't really matter to my point (Oh and the Hispanic number was 59% (and what other group did I mention in my post?)) And the last one has to new with first time voters. Which is completely irrelevant to my point. Though, I do agree part of Buttigieg's problem is that he hasn't done enough out reach. It is possible for somebody to have more than one (and even more than two) problems with attracting votes even from a subset of the population.
  12. PeterMP

    All Things "AOC" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    I will say I didn't take the idea of them paying starvation wages literally. I think people are allowed a bit of hyperbole when speaking.
  13. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    In African American churches, whose members are also largely Democrats, homosexuality is still a pretty big deal. Prop 8 in CA passed heavily due to African American Obama voters. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2013/03/26/how-proposition-8-passed-in-california-and-why-it-wouldnt-today/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.58fcaa219bde The situation is changing pretty quickly, but there still are elements out there of it yet. (And I suspect that things are not as changing as quickly in more rural and southern African American churches as they are in CA.) I think we're going to see Buttigieg struggle with African Americans (and Hispanics), especially across the south.
  14. PeterMP

    ***2019-2020 NBA Offseason Thread***

    Sixers sold 2nd round picks and did it last year too. Their management has talked about how they are willing to spend money to compete, but they are seeming pretty cheap. Almost wonder if that's why Hinkie got fired. He kept acquiring 2nd round picks, but would never sell any of them. You can pick out the teams with ownership really committed to competing by who buys vs. sells 2nd round picks.
  15. PeterMP

    Server / Hostess Pay Explanation

    Not sure it matters for somebody this age, but the same is true for workman comp claims. I knew a waitress that was working/making enough to support a child. She got hurt at work and ended up missing work for a month. The workman comp claim paid out based on her reported earnings not her actual earnings. She had to go a month making about 25% of what she was really making.
  16. In terms of war Presidents, LBJ didn't even run and Nixon's secret plan to win it was a big party of his victory. I also think, things are different now then in the past because we've had the continual war. We're already at a point that people are frustrated with the war. Trump ran on ending the wars. Not broadening them. (Trump is the equivalent to Nixon in terms of war Presidents. By the time for re-election came around, Nixon was (drastically) drawing down US troops in Vietnam. Not starting another war (the bombing of Cambodia happened earlier).)
  17. If Iran attacked Kuwait or Saudi Arabia directly, I wonder what he'd do.
  18. Going back to my other post, completely what I expected. He doesn't want a war so he doesn't want to escalate. He's looking to down play things as much as possible. The tanker attack wasn't a big deal. Iran hit a drone (and it seems likely coordinated other attacks). The drone attack was an accident. Wouldn't be surprised to see Iran do something else now. I think Iran is testing him. He's a bully. Talks tough, but when called on it doesn't want to act. Iran might see how far they can push him.
  19. Wars are generally bad for the economy because they create uncertainty, which makes people and companies hesitant to spend money so unless government spending is going to offset that, they aren't worth it (Something WW2 being an exception because people weren't spending much money anyway and the government spent a ton of money). Replacing weapons doesn't happen fast enough to really create much economic growth, and it is pretty much dead end growth (i.e. the multiplier for the spending is low). https://www.thebalance.com/cost-of-iraq-war-timeline-economic-impact-3306301 "There's also the opportunity cost in terms of job creation. Every $1 billion spent on defense creates 8,555 jobs and adds $565 million to the economy. That same $1 billion in tax cuts stimulates enough demand to create 10,779 jobs. That puts $505 million into the economy as retail sales. The same $1 billion spent on education adds $1.3 billion to the economy and creates 17,687 jobs. " The GOP has shown they don't really care about the debt. If Trump is looking to boost the economy, there are clearly better ways to do it.
  20. PeterMP

    ***2019-2020 NBA Offseason Thread***

    I don't like giving Middleton a big contract, but I don't see how you avoid it if you are the Bucks. Letting him walk doesn't likely free up the cap space to bring in a player that is as good, much less one that is better. They'll have to make some other moves, but they likely can give Middleton a near max contract and bring back Lopez.
  21. I don't think Trump is particularly intelligent or interested in learning. I suspect he governs a lot by "instinct". But I also think he does understand that there isn't a lot of public interest/appetite out there for another war. And that will affect his thinking. I think he knows in general wars are bad for the economy and a good economy is an important factor in him being re-elected. I don't think he's eager to go to war with Iran. But I also think he wants to play the tough guy. He wants to carry a big stick and be loud, but he doesn't really want to use the big stick. He likes the likes of Bolton because they have that tough guy and be loud component to them, but I don't think he's as willing to use the stick as them. But I also don't think he really has any idea of how to be that loud tough guy while avoiding using the big stick (well, really, I don't think he's put much thought into how to do that.) And so the only thing he can really do is down play the Iranian actions. (And I'm a little worried that's going to result in Iran being further emboldened to the point that they do something that's not really reversible (and is really bad). In general and normally, I'd say that Iran is what I'd call a rational actor and I'm not overly worried about them doing something to cause a war. But they are used to a rational actor based on a US that follows a set rules well grounded in historical norms. Which is not currently the case.)
  22. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    He's gotta reasonable issues page up. https://peteforamerica.com/issues/ Nothing outrageous for a Democratic candidate in 2019 (Medicare for all that want it).
  23. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    I don't know much about corporate tax code and the only thing I know about what she's planned is she's mostly going after the largest companies. I like that idea in that she is leaving smaller companies alone. But in general you might be right on that. Though, it is clear that the Trump's tax cut hasn't spurred the investment and growth that was claimed. I think there is a lot of evidence the issue with our economy and the global economy isn't lack of investment. But I think you are wrong on the breaking up the big companies. As @No Excuses is outlining in the few posts above this, I suspect they are actually driving down innovation and competition and driving up income and wealth inequality. There is also a history there of them doing things to drive down the wages of their employees that are anti-competitive.
  24. PeterMP

    Presidential Election 2020 - ManChild vs Adult

    Out of curiosity, what is the issue with Warren? On some issues, she's a little further left then I'd like, but I do put in her a different basket than Trump and Sanders. (I hope/pray Sanders doesn't win the nomination. I'd have a very hard time voting for him.)
  25. The bakery has claimed that college employees were involved in organizing some of the protests and the like. In addition, they cancelled their contracts with the bakery, which signaled that the bakery was at fault. "Oberlin College staff -- including deans and professors -- and students engaged in demonstrations in front of Gibson's Bakery following the arrests of the three students, the lawsuit stated. The suit also said Oberlin Vice President and Dean of Students Meredith Raimondo and other college staff members "handed out hundreds of copies" of a flier to the community and the media stating that Gibson's Bakery and its owners racially profiled and discriminated against the three students." Not sure how you separate their actions as individuals from their function as employees, and a private institutions right to decide who to do business with. Oberlin essentially denies it: "Neither Oberlin College nor Dean Meredith Raimondo defamed a local business or its owners, and they never endorsed statements made by others. Rather, the College and Dr. Raimondo worked to ensure that students' freedom of speech was protected and that the student demonstrations were safe and lawful, and they attempted to help the plaintiffs repair any harm caused by the student's protests." https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/09/us/oberlin-college-bakery-lawsuit/index.html