Johnny Punani2 Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 This one might be stronger than Camille which is about as bad as you can get... WTNT34 KNHC 091451 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST THU SEP 09 2004 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN HEADING FOR JAMAICA AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AT 11 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD...INCLUDING PORT AU PRINCE. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BARAHONA PENINSULA FROM BARAHONA TO PERDENALES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PALENQUE WESTWARD TO BARAHONA. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS EASTWARD. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ARUBA...BONAIRE... AND CURACAO AND ALL WARNINGS FOR VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES... 695 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEARING JAMAICA ON FRIDAY. IVAN IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE WIT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 920 MB...27.17 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF IVAN IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF IVAN. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.5 N... 71.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 920 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER AVILA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavyDave Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 If we had only signed the Kyoto Treaty,restricted cutting down trees,ate less red meat, stopped driving SUVs, banned freon, aerosal cans we could ve prevented this. Seriously this is looking bad and my like minded aka stubborn daughter isnt leaving Florida which has me worried again since she could be in the path for another storm as well as my cousins in the gulf and panhandle areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Punani2 Posted September 9, 2004 Author Share Posted September 9, 2004 Originally posted by NavyDave If we had only signed the Kyoto Treaty,restricted cutting down trees,ate less red meat, stopped driving SUVs, banned freon, aerosal cans we could ve prevented this. Seriously this is looking bad and my like minded aka stubborn daughter isnt leaving Florida which has me worried again since she could be in the path for another storm as well as my cousins in the gulf and panhandle areas. Well, she better get use to this because this is part of a new 20 yr cycle of increased atlantic hurricanes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 The Caribbean can't get a break.... 6.1 earthquake in Cayman islands region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavyDave Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 Good thing the only disasters we face in this area are lead poisoning. From water and sudden impact trauma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cskin Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 I can't get over how symetrical Ivan is, an indication of absolutely no wind sheer at all. Probably why it's got 160mph winds. Recon aircraft suggest winds down around the ocean's surface may actually be over 200mph. That's Camile and Labor Day Hurricane 1938 strong. :Yikes: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SKINtil8tin Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 Originally posted by Cskin I can't get over how symetrical Ivan is, an indication of absolutely no wind sheer at all. Probably why it's got 160mph winds. Recon aircraft suggest winds down around the ocean's surface may actually be over 200mph. That's Camile and Labor Day Hurricane 1938 strong. :Yikes: Holy Sh*t! I can't believe how strong it's gotten - and it's not moving too fast either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redman Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 That image just looks mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rskins1 Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 This is F'n Bull$**t...... I haven't had power since last Saturday and the power company says don't expect it until Monday which means perfect timing with Ivan and no power for a lot longer..... Hope Ivan hauls a$$ somewhere else. Sick and tired of hurricanes and only been here 2 years...... :wewantd: :dallasuck :wewantd: :dallasuck :wewantd: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carlsbadd Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 That's one bad MF'er of a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted September 9, 2004 Share Posted September 9, 2004 They put the winds down to 150, but the pressure dropped meaning this thing can jump up again at any time... (it is forcasted to go back up to 160 http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT4+shtml/092029.shtml? ) It's a beautiful nearly perfect storm...when it's not affecting anyone The latest track spares south Florida, but keeps it over the very warm waters of the Gulf longer... http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0904W5+GIF/092038W5.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renegade7 Posted September 11, 2004 Share Posted September 11, 2004 Originally posted by NavyDave Good thing the only disasters we face in this area are lead poisoning. From water and sudden impact trauma That too, Navy. But c'mon, we get everything round here. Tornadoes, Blizzards, Hurricanes, hail storms, ice storms, even earthquakes. All we need is a lil smog and a volcano and we'd be set. :laugh: I've had my fill of hurricanes. Short term this sucks, but I want to know what this means long term effects. Christ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeSkin Posted September 11, 2004 Share Posted September 11, 2004 I'll be surprised if those islands are still there after Ivan passes through. Sounds like a big ass storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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