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About SoCalSkins
- Birthday 02/19/1974
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Profile Information
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Birthdate
02/19/1974
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Washington Football Team Fan Since
1979
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Favorite Washington Football Team Player
Dexter Manley
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Not a Washington Football Team Fan? Tell us YOUR team:
Redskins
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Location
Laguna Hills, CA
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92653
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Interests
Drinking
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Occupation
Professional genius
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They all have bust potential for sure, but you have to have a franchise QB in the modern NFL to have sustained success. Realistically the only way to get one is by drafting one. If you hit on one, the value of a QB performing at an elite level on a rookie contract is the most valuable asset in all of sports. I don’t think it’s even a 50/50 proposition these guys will be busts. I give Caleb 15 to 20% chance of success and 75 to 80% chance of failure. Maye I have around 10% chance of success and Daniels less than 1%. I previously mentioned in the thread there are around 10 humans on earth any given year that can play QB at an elite or close to elite level. Their ages range from 21 to 40. So having an elite player emerge every other year is the norm. Having multiple in the same draft is very unlikely and any given player is a low percentage chance for success. But a team has to keep swinging until they hit. If the qb is a miss, don’t worry about sunk cost and move on to try again. Unfortunately it’s the only realistic way for long term sustained success.
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I think Caleb’s dad is crazy enough to do it. He has 10 million in NIL money. If he credibly threatened to not play for the Bears, he could sit a year and would reenter the draft in 2025. The bears top overall pick will have been wasted. There is no doubt Caleb would still be the top overall pick in 2025 and the team drafting would make sure he was willing to go there. Caleb not wanting to play for a team with lame duck head coach and 101 year old owner Is not unreasonable. He has the leverage to go nuclear. I give it a 25% chance if I had to guess. 75% chance we stay at 2 and likely draft Maye, which would be a nice consolation prize and not bad at all in my opinion.
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Official 2024 FA/Trades Thread - IN: TE Ertz, DE Armstrong, C Biadasz, LB Luvu, RB Ekeler, K McManus, LG Allegretti, DE Ferrell, QB Mariota, DE Fowler Jr., LS Ott, S Chinn, LB Wagner, ST/LB Pittman, ST/CB Igbinoghene, CB Davis BACK: Reaves, Crowder, Obada
SoCalSkins replied to CapsSkins's topic in The Stadium
He’s an insurance policy on a rookie deal in case their aging starter gets hurt. If he had any potential to be a starter he would have fetched more than a 6th. -
He has taken unnecessary hits in college and he played 5 years. He’s not going to learn much better decision making between now and when he’s starting in the NFL. The guy is a far worse prospect than RG3 and has injury riddled career written all over him. You might not realize he is bust because he will likely get hurt so often that it will be a question if he sucks or just got hurt too much. Both is likely the correct answer.
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Official 2024 FA/Trades Thread - IN: TE Ertz, DE Armstrong, C Biadasz, LB Luvu, RB Ekeler, K McManus, LG Allegretti, DE Ferrell, QB Mariota, DE Fowler Jr., LS Ott, S Chinn, LB Wagner, ST/LB Pittman, ST/CB Igbinoghene, CB Davis BACK: Reaves, Crowder, Obada
SoCalSkins replied to CapsSkins's topic in The Stadium
Curl got peanuts compared to what he expected. -
Official 2024 FA/Trades Thread - IN: TE Ertz, DE Armstrong, C Biadasz, LB Luvu, RB Ekeler, K McManus, LG Allegretti, DE Ferrell, QB Mariota, DE Fowler Jr., LS Ott, S Chinn, LB Wagner, ST/LB Pittman, ST/CB Igbinoghene, CB Davis BACK: Reaves, Crowder, Obada
SoCalSkins replied to CapsSkins's topic in The Stadium
The market doesn’t lie. Even our best players kinda suck relative to what good players at the positions get paid. Great to see a staff and front office who aren’t delusional about what was here. We even duped the 49ers. They were convinced Chase Young would score a contract that would net a 3rd rd comp pick. Little did they know how much more horrible our talent evaluation was than they even conceived. -
Official 2024 FA/Trades Thread - IN: TE Ertz, DE Armstrong, C Biadasz, LB Luvu, RB Ekeler, K McManus, LG Allegretti, DE Ferrell, QB Mariota, DE Fowler Jr., LS Ott, S Chinn, LB Wagner, ST/LB Pittman, ST/CB Igbinoghene, CB Davis BACK: Reaves, Crowder, Obada
SoCalSkins replied to CapsSkins's topic in The Stadium