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About CapsSkins

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    The Benchwarmer
  • Birthday 05/20/1956

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  1. CapsSkins

    Game Day Thread - Redskins at Schiltz Magic

    We might be the worst 6-3 out there but we're a 6-3 team god damn it ? Making the playoffs would be a positive step. Winning a playoff game would be fantastic. Hoping we address the receiver position this offseason like we addressed DLine last offseason.
  2. Even better! What's that buzzing sound? Is that a nascent #BruceHive? #HTTR
  3. I'm not trying to derail this thread or start a tiff or anything, but I did want to say: I, for one, feel way better about Derrius joining an offense led by Alex Smith than if he were joining one led by Kirk Cousins. When I think of who'd be better for a young, impressionable, potentially "at-risk" stud talent to develop under, it's the grizzled been there-done that unfazed composed vet that comforts me. Just wanted to throw that out there. Doesn't hurt that we got the 3rd back too.
  4. Hey all, quick question for the group. Would it be possible to wait until Hankins, you know, signs with a different team before putting a fatwa on Bruce for not signing him? Just wondering.
  5. Curious what the plan is for DL if they bow out of Logan and watch Wilkerson, Richardson and Poe go elsewhere. Does that mean we're going bargain hunting and drafting high (and nabbing a RB later since that position is so deep) or are they perhaps willing to spend on the Honey Badger? I get not wanting to overpay but at a certain point you need to plug holes. You know Manusky and Tomsula are pressuring BA for some new toys after Jay gets his on offense.
  8. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    I don't think the FO played this particularly well-- I think Scot had the right mindset: give him that deal in 2015, but as the price tag went up back off. I just don't think the FO are buffoons for letting this situation play out the way it did. The ultimate outcome I actually think is decent... especially if the Garoppolo deal helps push through a tag-and-trade scenario
  9. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    It's not just his words. It's that he didn't counter. If he were motivated to get a deal done he'd have countered, even an absurdly high counter would have sent a differentially more positive message.
  10. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    He himself has said essentially there was no scenario in which he signed a LTD last off-season. He didn't even counter; that corroborates that message. He was adamant about hitting FA. I don't blame him, but that also means it was the right call to trade for Smith. To be clear, he WILL get offers at $30M or more-- I, however, think that is overpayment for him. I wouldn't give one of those offers. And I'm glad our management agreed (however they got to that conclusion-- smartly or through dumb luck).
  11. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    @Skinsinparadise It's funny you bring up blockbuster movies because my job is valuing content for Netflix. Traditional theatrical movie business ain't looking too hot... tide has turned indeed. I used to be an investment banker, too. So this kind of data analysis is in my wheel-house. I'd answer you the same way I'd answer someone who asks why CEO's can be so M&A-prone when more acquisitions destroy value than create value: you have to consider the human element and the incentive structure. Being in the QB void is a miserable place to be as a GM, and if you stay there long you can bet you'll be fired. Owners are not football people-- but they sure as **** understand the concept of "we don't have a QB-- aren't I paying you to find one?" It's MUCH easier to sell "we found the guy". Owners and shareholders are not rational; management will respond to the incentive structure. To be clear, I'm not saying Bruce Allen is a genius or that he's making decisions for the right reasons. That being said, I'm pretty sure Eric Schaffer is the kind of guy who's aware of the above information. Look, I'd rather have had Kirk at $19M than Alex Smith at $23M, but I'd MUCH rather have Alex Smith at $23M than Kirk at $30M+. And the truth is, not signing Kirk at $19M was a mistake but considering the context I don't think it was a colossal one by any means. Good decisions can yield bad outcomes and bad decisions can yield positive outcomes. Sometimes below average decisions can yield super ****ty outcomes. Regardless, from last off-season on Kirk has been adamant about hitting FA. As his market value has continued to increase, as well as the risk of him leaving, he priced himself out of staying in Washington. Given that situation, we did the best thing we could which was to acquire a guy like Smith and lock him up. Stability and Pro Bowl-caliber QB play at a cap % that is in-line with the above table. That to me is an above average outcome to a bad set of cards, even if losing Kendall stings.
  12. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    @Skinsinparadise, you're choosing to see only one side of the coin. I could just as easily argue championship teams need X% of the cap free to build a top-10 defense and surround the QB with necessary pieces to win. This isn't basketball-- one individual can only drive so much of a football team's success. The fact that the stud QB's on the list only commanded those %'s of the cap in the past is illuminating to me. It signifies that it's not as simple as "find a top 15 QB, pay whatever it takes". If we move to an era where stud QB's command 15% of a team's cap, we might see more Keenum's and Bortles's in championship games for that very reason.
  13. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    Garoppolo deal makes me feel way better about our situation for 2 reasons: 1) Kirk is gonna command $30M/year if not more. Would MUCH rather have Smith at blended AAV of $22.5M (or whatever it is, his $17M year + extension). A delta of ~$10M a year is a lot 2) This makes a tag and trade scenario much more likely. If the Browns already think they'll have to pay Kirk $30-$35M a year, they're much more likely to make a trade to guarantee getting him for a year at $34M.
  14. CapsSkins

    Alex Smith Trade Thread (Details Inside)

    1. 34 million reasons why 2. It's not about helping the Skins, see point 1 3. Bc at the end of the day it's about point number 1