skinny21

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About skinny21

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    The Dirtbags
  • Birthday 07/28/1977

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  • Birthdate
    7/28/1977
  • Redskins Fan Since
    Lifelong
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    Baugh
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    TX (via Cabin John, MD)
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    78633

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  1. @PlayAction Just to be clear, that was 10 guaranteed, not as a yearly salary.
  2. Orakpo is an odd one to compare contracts with. Orakpo’s contract is funky (and his contract is 5 years old). His signing bonus was 5 mil (plus roster bonuses), and his second year salary (6.5 mil) was fully guaranteed (if he was on the roster at the beginning of the league season. Also, according to Spotrac, his dead cap hit was 8.5 mil this year (which was his 7.25 salary plus his 1.25 prorated signing bonus), but they sure don’t give the impression his salary was guaranteed this year (only 2016’s)... weird. Anyway, my point is I can’t see us getting Smith at anything like 2-3 mil guaranteed. I could be wrong of course, but I’d be shocked. And FYI, Trent Murphy’s contract had around 7.8 mil guaranteed, and his 2nd year salary of 2.5 becomes guaranteed at the beginning of the league year (and it’s literally more expensive to cut him than pay him that salary). So I’d guess we’re looking at 10+ mil guaranteed. It is possible his base salary is close to that talked about 3 mil mark, though I’d guess closer to double that (Murphy was coming off a big injury).
  3. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    @Skinsinparadise I have to disagree about a bunch of Winovich’s sacks resulting from being unblocked. Unless you’re referring to RO plays, but of course those aren’t counted as sacks. Looked like 1 this year and maybe 1 or 2 last year I believe. He also was injured the 2nd game of the year and opted to delay surgery and play through it. I do see your point about speed rushing though, he hasn’t really shown an impressive ability to really bend the edge. On the flip side, when he was rushing wide and the qb stepped up in the pocket, I liked his ability to switch to an inside rush/disengage better than the other top prospects I’ve watched. @Anselmheifer There’s more to the story of course, but last year Winovich put up 8.5 sacks, better than Walker’s best year. Polite, on the other hand, recorded 11 this year, but wasn’t nearly as productive prior to that (to be fair, he didn’t play much). Winovich also switched to TE his sophomore year, then recorded 5 sacks after switching to DE his junior season (though I believe he played OLB in HS, so this wasn’t completely new to him). Take this with a grain of salt, but Chase was also in place for quite a few sacks but a teammate got there first. Kind of a trip that Winovich and Clay Matthews both started out at TE in college. Matthews faced questions about playing with an excellent team around him and I wonder if Winovich will face the same. Winovich was, of course, far more productive than Matthews and is about 15 pounds heavier, so less of a question mark as to his transition. Bummed for him that he’s going to test injured at the combine, because I’m really curious about his speed/quickness. In hindsight, Green Bay looked really smart trading up for Matthews. If Matthews went 26th, I don’t see any reason Winovich isn’t worth a 1st. I’d love to be the team that looks smart for landing Winovich years down the road, but it’s unlikely. And maybe he’s not the player I think he is, or maybe injuries derail his career. Guess we’ll see.
  4. I wonder if Kotwica’s departure and the rumored desired departures could have anything to do with the team signing Rueben Foster? On the surface, I’d think not, but if that was a part of Lafemina’s departure... Still, sounds a bit crazy, but then again, I imagine most of these guys have wives, daughters, etc. Obviously the more likely answer is that Jay appears to be a lame duck coach (especially if we don’t figure out the qb position), and the FO seemingly has a myriad of issues (optics problems definitely, others are a bit more speculative).
  5. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    What am I missing regarding Chase Winovich? Why isn’t he getting more love? His motor is unbelievable, can bend the edge well, hand use is very good, speed is good, speed to power is good, pretty consistent getting off blocks, smart player, plays the run like a champ. A lot of the other rushers I’ve watched are just there when they get stonewalled initially, but Winovich fights through more often than not. Bull rush, speed rush, inside rush, stunting, grip and pull - he’s got an arsenal. His tenacity really sets him apart though - consistently looks like a starved dog going after a steak. Noticed that Walter comps him to Clay Matthews and I can absolutely see it. He’s so fun to watch. Just watched him track down a running back 45 yards downfield. I wouldn’t hesitate to take him at 15. I guess his stats don’t stand out quite like some others though, so maybe that’s the issue?
  6. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I haven’t looked too much at receivers yet, particularly the top of the draft guys (aside from Campbell, though he’s projected 2nd-3rd). However, the impression I get is there isn’t one I’d be happy to land at 15. Depending on if a top player falls, it looks like 15 lines up for DT, corner and edge rusher, and then a possibility or two for olinemen (there are a few others that might be there - Thompson at safety, for instance). I’d consider a trade back depending on who’s available - maybe recoup our 4th. All of that is assuming we don’t make a play for a qb, which is a poor assumption. Did you try @ing them, or using PM?
  7. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Fair enough, and I appreciate the insight. Probably a a moot point with Gustin as I’m guessing a team less snake bitten by injuries will take him long before we’re comfortable doing so. Personally, I’m probably a bit less concerned about the injury history angle than much of ES. It should absolutely be a factor though. The 3rd rounder that could have gone in the 1st, I’m ok with taking that chance if it’s not a recurring issue (multiple breaks or tears to the same area, for example). One, we’ve seen this work out with Fuller and Moreau (and Allen to an extent with his shoulder concerns), and two, we have such a dearth of high end talent (and a lot of holes to plug), that I don’t mind the higher risk for the higher reward. On the other hand, Malcolm Kelly was a poor decision due the the ongoing issues with his knees. Where I’m much less ok with ‘ignoring’ injuries is in FA. The risk/reward factor becomes magnified balanced against the cap. Signing Richardson, extending Reed and Thompson, not carrying another qb with McCoy so injury prone, were not very good decisions. On the other hand, signing Galette and Johnathon Cooper were far lesser risks that I didn’t mind given their small cap hits. @Skinsinparadise You might be right. The ‘politics’ angle is especially concerning. My hope would be (if things broke the way Kiper suggests) we wait until the 2nd and take Grier. I haven’t delved into the qbs too much, but short of punting until next year, which I don’t see them doing, waiting until the 2nd or 3rd would be the better bet IMO. Better than trading the farm for Haskins, moving up for Murray, or looking in FA anyway. Although I’m against taking Murray, if we do, we better grab a guard and receiver in the 2nd/3rd. Personally, I’d rather go for defensive players with 2 or 3 of our first 4 picks. Somewhat random... if we take Murray, I’d look at Campbell or Hollywood in rd 2, and if we take Grier, I’d look to add Sills.
  8. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Yeah, Polite’s definitely not just a pass rusher. At worst I think he’s pretty solid vs the run. Not sure if he’ll be able to shed blocks (consistently) from pro bowl LTs, but few can. Certainly don’t think he’ll be consistently manhandled either. His speed/pursuit and his football intelligence are also significant assets in the ground game. Edit: Polite might not be quite as stout in the ground game as Anderson - though, they have some body type similarities - but he’s also quicker and more dynamic, IMO. @KDawg The above was partly directed to you, but I also wanted to touch on your comments about Gustin. Yes, troubling injury history (hence my joking about being a great fit here), but at least they weren’t recurring injuries or major ones (like an ACL). I wouldn’t consider him at 15, but 2nd or 3rd round would be interesting (and really tempting).
  9. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Continuing the OLB/DE talk, I watched a bit of tape from Porter Gustin. Had trouble finding a lot of recent stuff - he’s had injuries the past two years (so he’d fit right in here), but the dude’s an animal. In 2018, he recorded 28 tackles, 10 TFLs, and 7.5 sacks in just 6 games. That season was a frustrating one for Gustin. It started with high expectations, after a stellar 2016 sophomore season, but in the days leading up to USC’s Sept. 16 game against Texas, the team discovered that Gustin had fractured one of his big toes. Gustin attempted to play that game after midweek surgery, and even recorded two sacks in the first half, but left at halftime when it was discovered that surgically-implanted screws had come loose. Crazy. Worried about the injuries of course, but broken toe, broken ankle and a torn bicep, so hopefully nothing recurring. He really does fit the bill as a ‘Redskins steal’, lol. BTW, while looking into him, I stumbled on this: What do you worry about, and why? I often worry about the culture and mindset of my current team and the team I will become a part of in the NFL. Too often I see coaches fail to eliminate players that are cancerous to the culture/success of a team due to their elite individual talent. These players are very difficult to motivate and are rarely willing to change their mindset. I have found that if a player like this is not willing to change their attitude for the better of the team, their elite talent is not worth the trouble that they bring to the team . https://www.nfldraftdiamonds.com/2018/11/porter-gustin/ (great interview)
  10. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I like Polite a lot. I have him and D’Andre Walker pretty much neck and neck at this point. Similar tenacity/effort, play against the run, speed, ability to play off ball. Love that Walker performed well vs Alabama. I’m not sure how much variety either has in the pass rush though. I can’t recall for sure now (watched CeCe Jefferson and Polite’s tape interspersed, so I could have them slightly mixed up here), but the spin moves I saw from Polite (I think) were not very well done. He didn’t get into the body of the tackle first, making it easier to deal with. Pretty easy to coach that up though. Edit: Just saw the clip @volsmet posted. That was a legit spin move from Polite (that LT looked like got thrown off a merry-go-round)... so I take back the above. Burns’ speed and length is tantalizing, but I have him a touch behind those two. (not that I know anything) Any thoughts on Claypool (ND wr)? He really intrigues me but his qb play was pretty awful. On the surface, it looks like he has a nice blend of size, speed, hands and the athleticism to get YAC.
  11. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Man, Tre Watson (UMD) comes across as a pro’s pro. Very intelligent, with football pedigree. Tenacious player. I like that he also brings the ability to rush the passer with his time playing as an OLB. Like his grip and pull to shed blockers. Going to be interesting to see how he times in drills - for now his tape speed looks pretty solid. Didn’t look like a liability in coverage either.
  12. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I’m intrigued by Blace Brown, corner out of Troy, but I can’t find enough tape. Ball hawk (converted receiver), nice length. Looks like he can play man and zone. Probably needs some time to develop. Lot of upside I think. Just read that Herschel Walker’s his uncle, which is interesting.
  13. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Ironically, I was comparing him with Murphy as I wrote that. Hard for me to get anywhere as it became (IMV) what would fit best for a team. I like the speed Murphy brings - think he’s going to time quite well - which is something we need badly I believe. Williams is no slouch there though, and brings the added size. He’d be a great fit for the Seahawks, IMO. BTW - Walter has Williams as a 3-4th rounder (and Murphy as the 2nd best corner), so maybe I’m way off base about the 1st round. I sure hope we land one. Given we have Sprinkle, I’d look for a good pass catcher that can possibly grow into more of a blocker. I’m intrigued by Alize Mack and Caleb Wilson, but haven’t spent much time on TEs yet.
  14. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    JoeJuan Williams - Love his size of course (6’3, 206). Surprising speed and quickness for that size. Can really stick with receivers - gave Ole Miss’s receivers trouble. Breaks up a lot of passes, and often makes qbs look elsewhere because of his tight coverage (and size). IMO, solid recognition skills (looked good in zone - peeling off his man to attack the target, and attacking wr screens) and willing in run support. If he got his head around a bit more often on the deeper passes and came down with the ball more often when it hit his hands, he’d be an elite prospect IMO. Solid ball skills though, and most of the hit-his-hands-but-he-couldn’t-come-down-with-it were in his freshman year, so not much of a knock on him. Maybe a touch too early at 15, but looks like a 1st rounder. Seems like a good kid too.
  15. skinny21

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Heard a Harrison Smith comp for Taylor Rapp, and I can see it. Really like this guy. Think we need a stud corner and edge rusher more, but Rapp or Adderley would be a nice addition to our secondary. @stevemcqueen1 yeah, we could really use a stud corner, especially one that could also make a difference vs the run game. As you said, we have some promise back there with our young guys, but no one’s really stood out, IMO.