my UFC 86 picks:
Joe Stevenson vs. Gleison Tibeau: only thing Joe has to worry about is Tibeau's size. Tibeau is one of the biggest LW's around. Joe has the edge standing and with submissions and should be able to grind out a decision victory.
Stevenson by Unanimous Decision
Tyson Griffin vs. Marcus Aurelio: this has fight of the night written on it. both guys push a hard pace and neither has ever been finished in a fight. Aurelio has had some trouble wiht wrestlers in the past, but Griffin may want to keep it standing since Aurelio is slick as hell with his subs. i think this goes to decision with Aurelio pulling off the upset.
Aurelio by Split Decision
Josh Koscheck vs. Chris Lytle: its actually pretty amazing how far Koscheck has come in his striking. When he was on TUF, he looked lost standing. the training at AKA has paid off because his striking looks natural now, not as defensive as it did. That said he shouldn't stand too long with Lytle as Lytle can end it in one shot. This could look alot like Lytle's match against Hughes. with Koscheck getting the takedown virtually whenever he wants to.
Koscheck by TKO, 2nd Round
Patrick Cote vs. Ricardo Almeida: Striker vs. Submission artist. Cote's only hope is to keep it standing, as his sub defense is not the best and he's facing one of the best submission guys in Almeida. Almeida would be foolish to trade hands with Almeida, and if he does Cote will end it with one shot. Almeida should just relentlessly go for the takedown and get it into his world.
Almeida by Submission, 2nd Round
Rampage vs. Forrest Griffin: Griffin is a testament to how far you can go on heart. he's well rounded, but not dominant in any area of MMA. Rampage isn't taking him lightly and he knows how hard Forrest can work. Cardio shouldn't be a problem for either, although we know Rampage can go 5 full rounds, we've yet to see it from Griffin. Rampage would be wise to stay away from the knees and watch for Forrest's leg kicks. Forrest would be wise to stay to the outside and use his reach to keep Rampage at a distance. Forrest doesn't have the best chin, and Rampage has KO power in both hands, i expect Rampage to connect on his chin and finish it with ground n pound.
Rampage by TKO, 3rd Round