Slaga's Power Rankings - Week 4

[slaga]

Below is this weeks power rankings. 50% of the team's % is their own record, 25% is the previous competition's average record and 25% is each team's future opponent's record.

Rank (Last Week) Team Combined Winning %

1 (3) Kansas City Chiefs 69.3%

2 (1) Pittsburgh Steelers 68.2%

3 (13) Baltimore Ravens 63.7%

4 (4) Atlanta Falcons 62.8%

5 (5) New York Jets 62.8%

6 (2) Chicago Bears 62.2%

7 (9) New England Patriots 61.8%

8 (6) Green Bay Packers 58.9%

9 (11) Houston Texans 57.8%

10 (16) New Orleans Saints 56.4%

11 (15) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.6%

12 (20) San Diego Chargers 53.1%

13 (7) Arizona Cardinals 51.9%

14 (26) Washington Redskins 50.9%

15 (12) Indiannapolis Colts 50.3%

16 (25) Jacksonville Jaguars 50.3%

17 (22) St. Louis Rams 50.2%

18 (24) New York Giants 49.5%

19 (14) Philadelphia Eagles 49.0%

20 (17) Miami Dolphins 49.0%

21 (21) Denver Broncos 48.4%

22 (8) Tennessee Titans 48.3%

23 (10) Cinncinnati Bengals 46.5%

24 (18) Seattle Seahawks 46.5%

25 (19) Dallas Cowboys 45.1%

26 (29) Cleveland Browns 41.7%

27 (27) Minnesota Vikings 37.8%

28 (23) Oakland Raiders 37.5%

29 (28) San Franciso 49ers 31.9%

30 (31) Buffalo Bills 28.0%

31 (30) Detroit Lions 26.4%

32 (32) Carolina Panthers 25.7%

Average winning percentage of each team's past opponents:

1 San Franciso 49ers 75.0%

2 Cleveland Browns 72.9%

3 Buffalo Bills 68.8%

4 Dallas Cowboys 66.7%

5 Pittsburgh Steelers 66.7%

6 San Diego Chargers 62.5%

7 Carolina Panthers 60.4%

8 Detroit Lions 58.3%

9 Baltimore Ravens 56.3%

10 Indiannapolis Colts 56.3%

11 Oakland Raiders 56.3%

12 Washington Redskins 52.1%

13 Atlanta Falcons 50.0%

14 Arizona Cardinals 50.0%

15 New York Jets 50.0%

16 Tennessee Titans 50.0%

17 Jacksonville Jaguars 50.0%

18 Denver Broncos 50.0%

19 Miami Dolphins 45.8%

20 New York Giants 43.8%

21 Philadelphia Eagles 43.8%

22 St. Louis Rams 43.8%

23 New England Patriots 43.8%

24 Cinncinnati Bengals 43.8%

25 Minnesota Vikings 41.7%

26 Chicago Bears 39.6%

27 Houston Texans 39.6%

28 Seattle Seahawks 37.5%

29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33.3%

30 Green Bay Packers 31.3%

31 New Orleans Saints 27.1%

32 Kansas City Chiefs 25.0%

Average Winning percentage of each team's future opponents:

1 Chicago Bears 41.0%

2 Arizona Cardinals 42.4%

3 St. Louis Rams 43.1%

4 Pittsburgh Steelers 43.8%

5 New York Giants 45.8%

6 Green Bay Packers 45.8%

7 New England Patriots 46.5%

8 San Franciso 49ers 47.2%

9 Philadelphia Eagles 47.9%

10 Kansas City Chiefs 47.9%

11 Washington Redskins 48.6%

12 Atlanta Falcons 48.6%

13 New York Jets 48.6%

14 Jacksonville Jaguars 48.6%

15 San Diego Chargers 50.0%

16 Miami Dolphins 50.0%

17 Baltimore Ravens 51.4%

18 Seattle Seahawks 51.4%

19 New Orleans Saints 51.4%

20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 52.1%

21 Dallas Cowboys 52.8%

22 Detroit Lions 52.8%

23 Indiannapolis Colts 54.9%

24 Cleveland Browns 56.3%

25 Oakland Raiders 56.3%

26 Denver Broncos 56.3%

27 Buffalo Bills 56.9%

28 Tennessee Titans 56.9%

29 Minnesota Vikings 56.9%

30 Carolina Panthers 57.6%

31 Cinncinnati Bengals 57.6%

32 Houston Texans 58.3%

[ExoDus84]

I'm sorry, but you have the Chiefs as the best team in the league. I stopped reading right there. That's just silly. LOL

[Duckus]

I know that this is just a calculation . . . . but. . . .

13 (7) Arizona Cardinals 51.9%

[Conn]

I'm sorry, but you have the Chiefs as the best team in the league. I stopped reading right there. That's just silly. LOL

It doesn't make it much better, but they're the only undefeated team in the league right now. So I can see why any "Power Rankings" that are based off of a mathematical formula rather than opinion would be "fooled" by that. Just sayin'.

With something like this, small sample sizes never show great results. Halfway through the season, his formula might look much better.

[slaga]

Kansas City's previous opponents are a collective 3-9. That is a 25% wining percentage. Although their previous competition has not been good, they beat the teams they should have. I have said it a few times but the first couple weeks mean absolutely nothing. By week 3 or 4 there starts to be elite teams (undefeated), bad teams (winless), and a bunch of middling teams. In week 3 and 4, the Kansas City Chiefs were the worste rated undefeated team. If my opinion mattered in this ranking, Kansas City would not be #1. But if we were to start the playoffs right now, who do you think would have the #1 seed in the playoffs over Kansas City? Someone has to take that away from the Chiefs. Oddly enough, if the Chiefs and Steelers won next week (I know the Steelers cannot because they have a bye), due to the toughness of their schedules, the Steelers would move into the #1 spot even though the Chiefs are undefeated. The Chiefs have had easiest schedule numerically and took advantage of it. In a season of extreme parity, the Chiefs are the only undefeated team.

Aizona? They have the same record as the Skins and a much, much easier remaining schedule. They have Seattle (twice), Tampa, Minnesota (1-3), San Franciso (Twice), St. Louis and Carolina left to play. Even though I feel the 'Skins are a better team than Arizona, looking at the remaining schedule for both teams, they both have a decent chance to finish at 8-8. Ironically enough, they are ranked 13th and 14th.

This ranking system isn't a who will beat who type of ranking system but more of a who has the best chance to make the playoffs and get the opportunity to make some noise.