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Slaga's Power Rankings - Week 7


slaga

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This is a numerical method of ranking teams based on win/loss records of each team, their past opponents, and future opponents with a little more emphasis on each team personnal record.

Rank (Last Week) Week 7 Combined Winning %

1 (1) New Orleans Saints 77.8%

2 (2) Denver Broncos 75.2%

3 (3) Indiannapolis Colts 69.2%

4 (8) Arizona Cardinals 65.0%

5 (4) Minnesota Vikings 64.7%

6 (6) Cinncinnati Bengals 64.6%

7 (13) Pittsburgh Steelers 59.1%

8 (5) Atlanta Falcons 58.5%

9 (9) New England Patriots 57.9%

10 (14) Dallas Cowboys 56.7%

11 (11) Green Bay Packers 56.0%

12 (7) New York Giants 55.9%

13 (17) Houston Texans 53.2%

14 (15) New York Jets 52.4%

15 (10) San Franciso 49ers 51.6%

16 (18) Philadelphia Eagles 51.3%

17 (12) Chicago Bears 51.0%

18 (19) San Diego Chargers 50.9%

19 (16) Jacksonville Jaguars 49.7%

20 (21) Baltimore Ravens 48.0%

21 (20) Miami Dolphins 47.7%

22 (24) Buffalo Bills 45.0%

23 (22) Seattle Seahawks 44.6%

24 (23) Oakland Raiders 41.2%

25 (26) Cleveland Browns 38.4%

26 (27) Detroit Lions 37.9%

27 (25) Carolina Panthers 36.7%

28 (28) Kansas City Chiefs 30.4%

29 (30) Tennessee Titans 29.9%

30 (29) Washington Redskins 29.4%

31 (31) St. Louis Rams 27.6%

32 (32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23.1%

1 (2) AFC North 52.5%

2 (1) NFC North 52.4%

3 (4) AFC East 50.8%

4 (6) AFC South 50.5%

5 (8) AFC West 49.4%

6 (5) NFC South 49.0%

7 (3) NFC East 48.3%

8 (7) NFC West 47.2%

Points to ponder:

Toughest Schedule to date:

Cleveland Browns 69.7%

Miami Dolphins 69.4%

Tennessee Titans 67.9%

Detroit Lions 67.1%

Arizona Cardinals 60.3%

Easiest schedule to date:

Washington Redskins 28.9%

Indiannapolis Colts 30.6%

Philadelphia Eagles 34.1%

Minnesota Vikings 38.4%

Green Bay Packers 39.7%

Toughest remaining schedule:

Washington Redskins 68.5%

Carolina Panthers 65.2%

New York Giants 62.7%

Philadelphia Eagles 62.1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 61.9%

Easiest remaining schedule:

Arizona Cardinals 33.6%

New Orleans Saints 36.7%

Seattle Seahawks 41.0%

Cinncinnati Bengals 43.1%

Jacksonville Jaguars 44.0%

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Rankings by week:

Team Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7

Dallas Cowboys 16 19 14 19 16 14 10

New York Giants 13 3 4 5 6 7 12

Philadelphia Eagles 14 20 15 15 14 18 16

Washington Redskins 28 17 25 22 26 29 30

Chicago Bears 29 18 13 10 9 12 17

Detroit Lions 24 26 18 21 24 27 26

Green Bay Packers 5 15 12 12 13 11 11

Minnesota Vikings 6 7 3 2 4 4 5

New Orleans Saints 7 4 1 1 1 1 1

Atlanta Falcons 11 9 16 13 7 5 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32 32 28 31 32 32 32

Carolina Panthers 30 29 29 30 25 25 27

Seattle Seahawks 2 13 21 23 19 22 23

St. Louis Rams 20 31 32 32 31 31 31

San Franciso 49ers 8 2 10 9 10 10 15

Arizona Cardinals 21 16 17 17 12 8 4

Miami Dolphins 25 24 27 24 18 20 21

New England Patriots 9 11 8 7 8 9 9

New York Jets 1 1 2 6 11 15 14

Buffalo Bills 19 21 20 25 28 24 22

Baltimore Ravens 12 5 7 11 17 21 20

Pittsburgh Steelers 3 22 24 16 15 13 7

Cinncinnati Bengals 26 12 9 8 5 6 6

Cleveland Browns 22 25 26 27 22 26 25

Tennessee Titans 23 30 31 29 29 30 29

Houston Texans 17 14 22 20 23 17 13

Indiannapolis Colts 4 8 6 3 3 3 3

Jacksonville Jaguars 18 27 19 14 21 16 19

San Diego Chargers 10 10 11 18 20 19 18

Denver Broncos 15 6 5 4 2 2 2

Oakland Raiders 31 23 23 26 27 23 24

Kansas City Chiefs 27 28 30 28 30 28 28

Divisions:

NFC East 1 1 3 3 3 7 7

NFC North 5 5 1 1 1 1 2

NFC South 7 7 7 7 5 2 6

NFC West 3 4 8 8 7 8 8

AFC East 2 2 2 2 4 6 3

AFC North 4 3 4 4 2 3 1

AFC South 8 8 6 5 6 4 4

AFC West 6 6 5 6 8 5 5

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Cardinals with a big jump this week, and a chance to move up even more with an easy schedule ahead..
The Cards have Carolina, Detroit, St. Louis (twice) and Tennessee left to play this season. Those teams are a combined 3-29, counting St. Louis twice because they will play them twice. They only have 2 teams on their schedule that have a winning record, Green Bay and Minnesota. I picked up Anquan and Kurt Warner in fantasy football in anticipation of the easy schedule during the second half of the season, not to mention they play Detroit and St. Louis during most fantasy football's playoff weeks.
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Interesting stuff but just wondering, why would future schedule figure into a power ranking? I understand that it will have an affect on where they finish but I don't see the reasoning on where they currently stand.
I got tired of hearing " you can only play the schedule the NFL gives you" so I tried to come up with a ranking system that incorporates schedule toughness into the rankings. If a team is 4-1 and their opponents have averaged a 20% winning percentage and their future opponents are averaging an 80% winning percentage, I doubt they are going to continue their winning ways, as a reactionary, past performance only ranking system would show. I also thought a proactive measure of looking at future games would make the ranking system less volatile. Basically in this system if a bad team (win loss record wise) beats a good team, both teams will jump a few positions in opposite directions. If a good team beats a bad team, neither team really moves much because that is exactly what is expected.
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