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CousinsCowgirl84

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Posts posted by CousinsCowgirl84

  1. 25 minutes ago, PleaseBlitz said:


    In speaking with some colleagues, it was unanimous that Trump would not see the inside of a jail cell for the felonies, but an open question whether he’d get a day or two for his many violations of the gag order. 

    How can you be convicted of multiple felonies and not see a day in prison?! WHERE ARE THE GET TOUGH ON CRIME REPUBLICANS!

    • Like 3
  2. 1 hour ago, The Sisko said:

    It’s not about rosy assessments, but production capacity. Russia did ramp up their defense spending and put their industrial base on a war footing. The problem for them is that even with that, they can’t keep up with the losses of their “modern” tanks. 

    I’ve provided sourcing. Could you provide recent non-Twitter sourcing that claims that Russias military capacity has shrunk? 
     

    Not losses. In a war of attrition there will be massive losses. Capacity and cumulative losses are different things.

     

  3. 2 hours ago, Skins24 said:

    There is a plethora of websites, githubs, youtubes that are documenting Russia's losses and all that is being moved from storage..

     


    yea. But like you point out, most of those losses are old equipment, which according to US assessments, they have been able to regain those capabilities.


    it wasn’t 300k/ year, it was since the war began. 
     

    You can argue with credible sourcing all you want. My advice would be to take the rosey assessments proffered by Twitter osint with a grain of salt.

     

  4. 4 hours ago, Renegade7 said:

     

    And here I was kinda hoping it was a Zoo like warning to get our **** together, or else...

     

    Orcas would definitely lead the revolution, and it won't be televised...


    no, it will be dolphins.

     

     

    • Haha 1
  5. On 5/26/2024 at 10:08 PM, Skins24 said:

    N

    ***

    To actually respond to something in your post - as far as them "regaining" losses, quality matters. If you have 10 T-80 tanks, lose them, then replace them with 10 70-year old T-60 tanks, yes you still technically have 10 tanks, but capability has certainly diminished.

     

    except, that is not what the article has said. It specifically says Russia has rebuilt its military capabilities.

     

    On 5/26/2024 at 10:08 PM, Skins24 said:

     

    Russia's demographic set up is certainly not ideal to replace its human losses, which will lead to a whole host of other problems...

     

    300k people sounds like a lot, but it’s really a drop in the bucket compared to the Russian population.

     

    The demographics problem is the same problem faced by most western countries.

  6. 11 minutes ago, Skins24 said:

    😂

    Perfect. Your whole post perfect. I'll explain why in 40 years. 50 max 🙂


     

     

     

    You are confusing what is happening with what my position is. They are different things.

     

  7. 27 minutes ago, Skins24 said:

    Like...most of this isn’t true at all.

    yes it is. You just haven’t been paying attention.

     

     

    27 minutes ago, Skins24 said:

    We are not tying Ukraine's hands to anything...

    NATO hasn't surrendered any concessions...

     

     

    Ukraine cannot use American weapons to attack targets in Russia. If you need that sourced I will. The concession is that NATO wouldn’t directly intervene to support Ukraine, even though they knew Ukraine couldn’t beat Russia unless  Russia decides to give up.

     

    27 minutes ago, Skins24 said:

    Support and aid are only increasing...

    the difference between Russian artillery fire and Ukrainian artillery fire is telling a different story.

     

    https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/23/ukraine-war-artillery-shortage-production-military-aid-bill/


    For months, Ukrainian troops have been firing about 2,000 rounds a day, barely enough to sustain a defensive war against the Russians. And even with the approval of new U.S. aid, most factories have yet to ramp up production.

    “The problem is there is a huge shortage—worldwide—of artillery shells,” said Oleksandra Ustinova, a Ukrainian lawmaker. “The Europeans said they would provide us a million shells—they provided only 30 percent of those. The Americans have dried out their stocks, and they’re also delivering to Israel. And they are only ramping up the production line.” 

     

     

    27 minutes ago, Skins24 said:

    Russia will take DECADES to rebuild it's military to be even close to what it was...

    😂😂


    https://www.newsweek.com/russia-built-military-pre-war-level-us-general-1889569

     

    Congress was warned on Thursday that Russia is replenishing its forces at a "far faster" rate than the United States originally estimated as the war in Ukraine rages on.

    Speaking in front of the Senate Armed Services Committee, General Christopher Cavoli, the head of U.S. European Command and NATO's supreme allied commander in Europe, told lawmakers that Russia's military has "grown back to what they were before" launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

  8. 2 hours ago, TheGreatBuzz said:

     

    Ukraine should be free to make the decision without pressure. And we should support it either way.

    I agree. But the reality is that once aids stops Ukraines ability to continue to fight will be diminished so the US has huge sway. We are already trying one hand behind Ukraines back by limiting what it can target. Once the other hand gets pulled then Ukraine will have to surrender to Russias terms. 
     

    I’d rather nato provide whatever is necessary to keep Russia on its side of the border, but NATO has already surrendered that. It seems clear that NATO is willing to let Russia have some of Ukraine, otherwise they would have been more hawkish from the start. Nobody ever thought Ukraine could beat back Russia.
     

    Instead they embarrassed Russia and temporarily degraded its military capability. Now that Russia has been able to rebuild its military production capacity what is left for nato besides emptying its supplies 🤷‍♀️

     

    There are significant symbolic reasons to support Ukraine, but I guess we will see if they are strong enough.

  9. 1 hour ago, Fergasun said:

    @CousinsCowgirl84

    Read a little bit here:

    https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/gaza-israel-occupied-international-law/

     

    I would argue the only way to effectively destroy Hamas is to effectively rule, occupy, take over Gaza.


     

     

     Should Israel never be asked to win their hearts and minds?

    So you honestly think annexing Gaza and the West Bank will win hearts and minds?

  10. 2 hours ago, Fergasun said:

    GWOT part 2.0

     

    One side is calling for the annihilation of the Jews.  The other is calling for the annilihation of Hamas and actually annihilating "Hamas" as in a lot of men and women and children, who we have no idea are actually Hamas.  

     

    Let me just throw this out here.  I know it is apples and oranges.

     

    December 5, 2001, the United States formed an Afghanistan government.  Less than 3 months after 9/11.  December 9, 2001, the Taliban collapsed.  By this metric, Israel is doing a really horrible job of getting rid of Hamas. 

     

    We invaded Iraq in March 2003, deposed Saddam in April and established the Coalition Provisional Authority in May. 

     

    Again, apples and oranges... but shouldn't we start to question how effective they ace at "destroying Hamas"?  An enemy that they have known about.  Right in their backyard?  
     

     

     

    I think that has been the point Biden has been trying to make to Israel. They aren’t listening though.

     

     

    2 hours ago, Fergasun said:

     

    Sure. United States had allies there.  But so does Israel.  THEMSELVES. Just take over the WB and Gaza and try your best to run it democratically like America.   One state it under the UN (or unilaterally) until Palestine gets their act together.  Try to actually do them good and you will do yourselves good.  This is what America did, as best as possible... 

     

    Stop bombing them and run the country...

     

     


     

    I think the problem with your plan is that there are other countries like Egypt and Iran and other powerful actors like Hezbollah that would probably have a military reaction to Israel unilaterally annexing Gaza and Westbank, even with the promise of democracy. They give no ****s about democracy.

     

    And there is zero chance the UN will vote to give Israel control over those two areas. Why would they? Israel has “governed” parts of West Bank in the past and currently but they haven’t been equitable.

    • Thanks 1
  11. 2 hours ago, Destino said:

    You guys think the engineers tapped for this are secretly thrilled? Not by the tragedy, but by the work. Like I imagine some people went to school forever and figured they’d spend their whole lives working on reasonable projects. Then one day they got a call to move millions of tons of steel from a river, and suddenly they had an absurdly unique and interesting problem to solve. 
     

    I am sure they are. I assume the rebuilt bridge will feature high design and not just utilitarian.  

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