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ILikeBilly2

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Everything posted by ILikeBilly2

  1. I just don't/can't see us taking JD. As good as his season was, there is so much pointing to him either busting or being an injury risk at the NFL level.. I hope GMAP is playing 4D chess and pulls off some trade with the patriots and we end up with Drake and their 2nd rounder.
  2. I still think both teams want Maye and that the Pats will trade back after we pick him. As for all the "smoke", it isn't from our camp, so I don't think it matters.
  3. Jim Plunkett won it, beating out Joey T. Plunkett won two Super Bowls beating Theismann in one of them. Joe must really hate running into Plunkett at a party.
  4. With regards to what would constitute a draft season failure by GMAP, I have these thoughts. 1) If our 2nd and 3rd round picks are at the same level as Ron's picks and aren't earning playing time/starter roles, I will be disappointed with GMAP's picks. 1b) If we don't have a new LT starting by week 6, GMAP has royally screwed the pooch. I am okay with Leno for the first few games. Assuming we pick Jayden: 2) If JD is injured for more than a couple games this year from normal NFL level contact and the same thing occurrs next year, I will consider his pick of JD a mistake, since JD's size and build are a known concern. 3) If JD after this season and several games into next season can't or won't throw into tight coverage, I will consider his pick of JD a mistake, since JD displayed these issues in college. 4) If JD after this season and several games into next season tends to drop his eyes and look to run when he is under pressure in the pocket, I will consider his pick of JD a mistake, since JD displayed these issues in college. Assuming we pick Drake: 5) If Drake after this season and several games into next season has issues with his footwork and therefore misses or is inaccurate when throwing, I will be disappointed in Drake and the coaching staff. If his footwork is causing sacks (drifting toward pressure) or interceptions because of the inaccuracies, I will begin leaning toward the pick being a mistake. For the QBs, I think either pick will need to be given more than a full season to adjust to the NFL. Personally, I think JD has the harder path in making the adjustments. To me, fixing footwork is an ongoing, repetitive type of improvement. Even Tiger Woods worked on his swing every off season. But fixing the issue with where your eyes go when under pressure is a very mental process and not as easily fixed, like flinching when someone throws a fake jab toward your face. It is hard to stand still and not flinch. Throwing into tight coverage is also a mental issue. A QB needs to trust that he can make that type of throw or he will hesitate. Hesitation at the NFL level is obviously very bad.
  5. I might be wrong, but I think the definition of "pressure" in your sentence is different then when we have been discussing pressure to sack ratio. In P2S%, it is when a defender gets within 1.5 yards of the QB. I think, in your statement, it means 5 or more defenders rushed the passer. With a superior oline, rushing 5 often means one less player in coverage, but no actual extra pressure on the QB. Not to harp too much on last year, but Sam not only often had a defender within 1.5 yards, but he had no clue where the pressure would originate from. Left, right or center, it could be any or all on every drop back. If the pressure consistently came from one spot, it would be much easier to avoid. A QB like JD, in my opinion, would have an extremely difficult time keeping his eyes down field. I don't know if our new analytics department will see it the same as me.
  6. Brissett was injured after 4 quarters or less. Couldn't start the last/next game. He was getting hit just as much and as hard as Howell. JD wouldn't have taken that many sacks because he would have been CRUSHED by NFL level defenses. Spy him with 2 guys and blitz. Or some DQ scheme. He won't last. Over/under will be about 8 games played. I sure hope it is for the giants or some other team .
  7. JD had a 24% P2S%. Washington gave about 280 pressures last season. At that rate JD is sacked 67 times. Simple math. Even GMAP can do it.JD had a 24% P2S%. Washington gave about 280 pressures last season. At that rate JD is sacked 67 times.
  8. I'm confused by what you are saying. If he had: 1) the best online of the top 3 qbs 2) the best WRs of the top 3 qbs 3) makes excellent decisions to move and avoid the pressure 4) was sacked 22 times If all true, his sack number is terrible. Give him Maye's oline and receivers and his sack numbers would balloon. Maye, with worse support only had 29 sacks. Give him the limited pressure JD faced and his sacks are likely in the teens.
  9. Is balance through contact an athletic ability? If CBs like Forbes can get him on the ground with minimal contact, JD will not be nearly as dynamic in the NFL and will have similar sack to pressure numbers as he did in college. Let's be clear, athletic ability is more than running fast.
  10. I think you meant to say: Anything can happen and the prognosticators won't have a clue what we're going to do until after the commercial break. 😁
  11. If GMAP and the rest of our crew are still undecided and have more research to do, why would we care what people like Kyle Shanahan say? The 49ers aren't taking one of the top 4 QBs. At the most they have looked at them a little more than some of our best posters. Only about 6 NFL teams have done a full deep dive set of research on all of the top 4 QBs. These teams aren't telling the truth when asked for their opinions. If after all their effort, our crew still has JD and Drake neck & neck, the opinion from outsiders means nothing.
  12. I have almost the same information all of us have on these QBs. We are all missing the inside scoop that only the NFL GMs and coaches have. This is a fact. With that said, I will repeat my prediction from a month ago, since I still believe it. 1) Chicago picks Caleb 2) If we pick Maye, the Patriots will trade out of the 3rd pick If we pick JD, the Patriots will pick Maye. I think we take Maye and someone like the Vikings or Giants get JD. Personally, I hope it is the Giants. They will once again be set back years by picking the wrong QB in the first.
  13. I wonder if Washington knew about JD's elbow. If he tried to hide the bursa sack issue, it is a major red flag. Also, I don't think foot work is a big deal. If Brady was still working on his foot work after 10 years, then ever QB, even JD, will need to continually improve it. Foot work needs to be timed with the WR route running. Caleb, Drake and JD will all need help and practice with it.
  14. If we pick JD, I will support the pick, but will feel the same as I did last year when we picked stick thin Forbes over Gonzalez. Also, to the JD supporters, how good do you think Drake would look if stayed in college, transferred to LSU and played there for two seasons? And would JD have survived last season playing for the Tar Heals?
  15. 𝙄𝙛 𝙮𝙤𝙪 𝙬𝙚𝙧𝙚 𝙖 𝙙𝙚𝙛𝙚𝙣𝙨𝙚 𝙘𝙤𝙤𝙧𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙖𝙩𝙤𝙧, 𝙬𝙝𝙤 𝙬𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙 𝙮𝙤𝙪 𝙧𝙖𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙧 𝙣𝙤𝙩 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙜𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙣 𝙖𝙜𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨𝙩 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙛𝙖𝙘𝙚? I find this question overly simplistic. In week one, the answer is likely JD. After 10 weeks of wear and tear, it is probably Drake. If both have a banged up ankle or knee, it is Drake. In 5 years when player's athleticism has diminished, it is Drake.
  16. Two of his incompletes occurred when the coach rushed him and moved him off his spot. Did he lose track of the WR as he prepared to run?
  17. According to FIFA Weekly, Marvin Harrison Jr. will forgo the NFL draft to instead play goalkeeper for the US National team.
  18. Sam Howell made that same throw dozens of times this year. We just traded him away.
  19. I just don't see it. There is NOTHING special in those highlights. The only time he throws into tight coverage, it is a deep, over the shoulder type throw. Those are low risk, just chuck it long throws. All the other throws, his guy has 2 or more yards of separation. In other words, those throws are nothing special and something he won't often see in the NFL. His runs are nice, but several seemed to be 1st read not open, so take off running types of plays. Those should be counted against him as he is evaluated for the NFL. I will root for who we pick, but will be shell shocked if GMAP picks JD.
  20. I used the first scoring system that popped up in my search engine. I am sure GMAP has a better one. Wish we could access it.
  21. Here is what my research says about trading back into the first round based on points per draft slot. Pick 36 = 540 points Pick 40 = 500 Pick 67 = 255 Pick 78 = 200 Pick 100 = 100 Combining different combinations of these picks gets us back into the first round. Here is what I see as our options (only combining two picks at a time.) Picks 36 + 40 = 1,040 = pick 15/16 Picks 36 + 67 = 795 = pick 21/22 Picks 36 + 78 = 740 = pick 24 Picks 36 + 100 = 640 = pick 29 ------------------------------------ Picks 40 + 67 = 755 = pick 23/24 Picks 40 + 78 = 700 = pick 26 Picks 40 + 100 = 600 = pick 31 If accurate, using 2 picks, we can get as high as pick 15/16. This will give us a starting level LT. I prefer holding onto pick 36. Using pick 40 + 67 we are at pick 23/24. This should leave us with a variety of linemen to choose from. I think we will see some type of trade back into the first. Hopefully GMAP can fleece some team and get even better value than what I am showing above.
  22. I don't believe it, but I might if the prediction comes true. If we get CW at pick #2, it will be the luckiest end of season/off season ever for this club.
  23. Conspiracies often start off sounding far fetched, but when they are shown to be true they can really open your eyes. So, here is my argument to show that the NFL is fixed. It starts with the renaming of our team.... The Redskins were a hated organization in the NFL, then they changed their name. We were still hated. Then we got a new owner, and the league created a path for our revival. Remember about 12 games into the season when were all started looking at our draft position. There is a thread, if anyone want to check the details. We were rooting against about 6 teams. They all lost. Same thing happened the following week when about 5 teams lost to help our drat position. We stopped rooting for a top 10 pick and were looking for a top 4 pick. We seemed blessed. It almost unraveled in the jets game, but the NFL is great at making a fixed game look realistic and the jets won a nail biter. Now we are picking number 2 and what happens next is where we will see the "proof". Some how, for some reason, the bears will either not pick Williams or will trade us the pick for a ham sandwich (one of our 2nds and one of our 3rds.) If this happens, we will know the NFL has blessed us with CW. The bears will settle for QB2 or trade back again. It doesn't matter; we are the blessed team. The likelihood of this happening is low, but I just have this conspiracy feeling in my gut.
  24. Tom Brady was 15 years into his career and still worked on his foot work during the off season. Maye will be fine. The coaches will have him doing foot work drills all summer long. Howell will be right there with him.
  25. More likely would be a trade up that combines one of our 2nd round and one of our 3rd round picks so we can move into the bottom half of the first round.
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