HTTRDynasty

32 minutes ago, joeken24 said:

Personally, I take that Nexgen stat with a grain of salt. Especially, when the stat doesn't indicate those tight throws as completion. Also when I look at some the QBs in the lower end, most of those guys extend plays. Brees' offense doesn't require tight window throws for the most part and Gruden's offense normally has a guy running free. 

Why does the stat have to include completions?  It's a stat that measures how willing a QB is to throw into tight coverage.  It doesn't need to only include completions IMO.  

That's a fair point on guys extending plays.  I'm sure that contributes to a lower percentage of tight window throws for some of those guys.

32 minutes ago, joeken24 said:

I think Gruden's problem (and mine I might add) with Cousins is that he apparently doesn't throw into tight windows, he misses open receivers and he doesn't really extend plays. So if everything breaks down, Gruden is not confident that Kirk can make a play. I think the reason Cousins doesn't really throw into tight windows is because he has been known to give the ball away when doing so. He'll do ok in Minnesota, because he doesn't have to be the guys your see in the lower half that make plays. He just needs to manage the game. I think Gruden will be ok with Alex.

I agree that Cousins doesn't throw into tight windows because he is scared he might get picked off.  And it was obvious that Gruden was extremely frustrated about that.  I just think he's deluding himself if he thinks Alex will be more willing to do it than Kirk was.  It already sounds like he is, in fact, deluding himself, based on this quote:

Quote

 

Washington coach Jay Gruden said earlier this week he expects Doctson to benefit from Smith’s arrival.

 

“I think Josh will get more opportunities to make plays on 50-50 type balls, which is Josh’s strength,” Gruden said, via Kimberley Martin of the Washington Post. “He’s not a guy that’s going to get that five or six yards of separation right away. He’s a guy that builds up his speed. He can run. He can adjust to the ball like no other. His 41-inch vertical is documented, so that’s where he gets his separation — by leaping and adjusting to the ball.”

 

Match made in heaven?

Quote

 

Smith turned in a career year in what turned out to be his final season with the Chiefs. He was remarkably efficient when throwing to confined spaces in 2017, ranking among the best quarterbacks in completion percentage and passer rating. Smith was still as cautious as ever, throwing just 12.7 percent of his overall passes to a receiver with less than a yard of separation, the second-lowest rate among all quarterbacks. Yet, when he took those chances, he made them count. His 2017 output was a far cry from his expected results, however, as the veteran ranked 25th with a 42.4 tight-window passer rating back in 2016. The Washington Redskins have to hope they get a player closer to the 2017 version after agreeing in principle to a trade that will bring them Smith's services at the start of the new league year.

 

» Several young receivers who could be on the verge of breakout seasons showed out on tight-window throws this past year. Sterling Shepard (Giants) and Josh Doctson (Redskins) both finished inside the top 15 receivers. Shepard owned the second-best catch rate (57.1 percent) among qualifying receivers. Doctson had the 12th-best passer rating (69.3), despite seeing 35.9 percent of his overall targets on tight-window throws. Seahawks wideout Paul Richardson averaged a whopping 27.2 yards per reception on his tight-window catches this year, making difficult vertical plays look routine.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000915001/article/stefon-diggs-marvin-jones-among-top-10-tightwindow-receivers

 

Both the QB and the WRs seem to be really efficient throwing and catching the ball in confined spaces, respectively.  Though it's kind of odd that Gruden was so vocal about Kirk being unwilling to take chances throwing to confined spaces these last few years, yet we trade for a QB that had the 2nd lowest rate of throws like that among all QBs...

EDIT:  Found this tweet.  Guess it isn't all that much of a drop-off.  Still interesting that we would opt for a QB that is liable to frustrate Gruden even more in this particular aspect - an aspect he was extremely vocal about with Cousins, probably Gruden's biggest criticism of our former QB.  

Doctson get a nod in this PFF "receivers by route tree" breakdown:

https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/pro-the-top-nfl-receivers-by-route-in-2017

Here at Pro Football Focus, we keep track of everything that happens on a football field. Every player on every play of every game. Thanks to that, we’ve got a tremendous database just loaded with football goodness. We’re going to dive into that database and take a look at which receivers were the most productive last season on individual routes. The metric we’re using to rank these players is wide receiver rating. Simply: WR rating is the passer rating that a quarterback earns when throwing to that receiver.

Some context here, these are the numbers each receiver saw on the very basic of our route tree definitions. At PFF, we have multiple modifiers for routes that are broken off, combination routes and specialized routes by design like a ‘back-shoulder go.’ The numbers below are just based off the basic design and execution of each route, not inclusive of combination routes, specialized routes or modifiers.

Comebacks (min 5 targets) – League average wide receiver rating: 75.4

1. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings – 112.5 wide receiver rating

There were only 303 targets thrown to comeback routes last season, only 16 receivers saw at least five in their direction. Thielen led the group in terms of WR rating, and he was just one of three receivers to produce a rating of at least 100.0. The Vikings’ receiver hauled in 5-of-6 targets for 66 yards, with four of those five catches resulting in a first down.

2. Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders – 104.2

3. Josh Doctson, Washington Redskins – 102.5

4. Brandin Cooks, New England Patriots – 82.2

5. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 82.1

‘Go’ routes (min 10 targets) – League average wide receiver rating: 66.0

1. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs – 132.6 wide receiver rating

There were 888 ‘go’ routes thrown in 2017 with 25 receivers being targeted at least 10 times on the route. Hill was one of two receivers to produce a WR rating of at least 130.0 on flys. The speedy receiver hauled in 7-of-15 targets for 353 yards and three touchdowns, five of his eight incompletions were deemed uncatchable.

2. Marvin Jones Jr., Detroit Lions – 130.2

3. Josh Doctson, Washington Redskins – 128.5

4. Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers – 122.9

5. Robby Anderson, New York Jets – 107.6

Nvm. It's back.

8 minutes ago, FS#21 said:

Youtube feed looks great. Similar quality to what I could run if I had the guts to stream there. Don't blame ya if you watch there. Consider me as a backup. (Yes I will show game.)

 

Looks like the youtube stream is down.  Blacked out.

Stream available on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cm6mc4H8qdU&index=5&list=PLKBtVgMt44SXB7xznR7tlUW_mRiKEkQbh

Works for me.  Thanks!

Your score is: 5322 (GRADE: A-)

Your Picks:
Round 1 Pick 5: Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson (A)
Round 2 Pick 6: Marcus Peters, CB, Washington (A-)
Round 3 Pick 5: Tre' Jackson, OG, Florida State (A-)
Round 4 Pick 6: Donovan Smith, OT, Penn State (A-)
Round 5 Pick 5: Mike Hull, ILB/OLB, Penn State (A-)
Round 6 Pick 6: Austin Hill, WR, Arizona (C+)
Round 7 Pick 5: Nick Boyle, TE, Delaware (B-)

What a crock a ****. We're better than we were last year. No way in hell we go 3-13.

 

If Dallas goes 3-13, I will no longer post here. Period.

 

Now  with that being said, if romoSUCKS, Dez, Tyron all go down, we go 3-13.

 

Won't happen. Guarantee you that. This offense is too good to only win 3. Top 5 O + Top 20 D = A Playoff Run but we have to stay reasonably healthy.

 

Eagles waive their best WR, had a so so Draft and are going to improve by 2 to 3 games. It's the Dream Team all over again.

Lmao.  In what world?

Ahahahaha. Jerry Jones cursing in the suite.