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Short Passing attacks are the trend in NFL


redman100

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I keep hearing that we should be throwing deep, deep, deep, yet over the last few years passing attacks in the NFL have trended toward the shorter, possession types of passes. These attacks keep defenses off balance and allow the offense to dictate momentum. For those that think the strong armed gunslinger is favored in the NFL, think again.

These stats from todays Jags-Colts game should interest you. Keep in mind that these are two good defenses, and two of the strongest arms in the league.

Look at the percentages of short passes to long passes. And by short, they are the same type of dink and dunk that Saunders has been calling and that Mark proved he can execute.

I'm posting the game stats for both QB's below. I appoligize for the long stats, but they are important to illustrate my point.

Byron Leftwich:

B.Leftwich pass short right to R.Williams to IND 45 for 6 yards

B.Leftwich pass short middle to F.Taylor to IND 46 for -1

B.Leftwich pass short left to G.Wrighster to JAX 44 for 4 yards

B.Leftwich pass deep middle intended for G.Wrighster INTERCEPTED by J.David

at IND 9. J.David pushed ob at IND 25 for 16 yards

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short middle to M.Jones-Drew

B.Leftwich pass short right to E.Wilford to JAX 35 for 7 yards

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short right to G.Wrighster

B.Leftwich pass short right to M.Jones-Drew to IND 16 for 12 yards

B.Leftwich pass short left to G.Wrighster to JAX 35 for 3 yards

B.Leftwich pass deep middle to E.Wilford to IND 44 for 17 yards

B.Leftwich pass incomplete deep left to E.Wilford.

B.Leftwich pass short middle to R.Williams to IND 40 for 2 yards

B.Leftwich pass short right to G.Wrighster to JAX 40 for 5 yards

B.Leftwich pass short right to M.Jones-Drew to JAX 48 for 7 yards

B.Leftwich pass short right to K.Brady to IND 46 for 6 yards

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short right to G.Wrighster.

B.Leftwich pass incomplete deep middle to E.Wilford

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short left to R.Williams

B.Leftwich pass short left to E.Wilford to IND 34 for 8 yards

B.Leftwich pass short middle to M.Jones-Drew to IND 28 for 6 yards

B.Leftwich pass short right to A.Pearman to IND 23 for 5 yards

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short middle to A.Pearman

B.Leftwich pass short middle to G.Wrighster to IND 7 for 13 yards

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short right to C.Hankton

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short middle to E.Wilford

B.Leftwich pass incomplete short middle to G.Wrighster

B.Leftwich pass deep middle intended for R.Williams INTERCEPTED by M.Doss

at IND 20

21 short passes - 8 incompletions

4 deep/intermediate passes - 2 interceptions, 1 completion, 1-4-2 25%

completion percent

Payton Manning:

P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to R.Wayne

P.Manning pass short middle for 14 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short right

P.Manning pass short middle for 2 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short right

P.Manning pass deep middle to R.Wayne to JAX 29 for 51

Play Challenged by JAX REVERSED. INCOMPLETE

P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle

P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle

P.Manning pass short right for 22 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short right

P.Manning pass deep left for 20 yards

P.Manning pass short left to J.Addai to JAX 40 for 5 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short left to A.Moorehead.

P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to M.Harrison.

P.Manning pass short right for 6 yards

P.Manning pass short left to M.Harrison for 4 yards

P.Manning pass deep middle for 38 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short right to M.Harrison

P.Manning pass deep right to D.Clark for 30 yards,

TOUCHDOWN.

P.Manning pass short right for 6 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short right to J.Addai

P.Manning pass incomplete short left to J.Addai.

P.Manning pass incomplete short left to R.Wayne.

P.Manning pass incomplete short right to D.Clark.

P.Manning pass deep middle for 15 yards

P.Manning pass deep left to R.Wayne to JAX 31 for 18

yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short middle to D.Clark

P.Manning pass short left for 18 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to M.Harrison

P.Manning pass deep middle to M.Harrison to JAX 44 for

17 yards

P.Manning pass incomplete short left to D.Rhodes.

P.Manning pass incomplete deep right to M.Harrison.

P.Manning pass deep middle for 22 yards

short passes - 21

deep passes - 12. Incompletions - 8 completion % 33

What this illustrates is a fundamental fact. Intermediate and long passes are very low percentage and they are the most likely to be intercepted. Go to NFL.com and check out the game stats for any game and you will see the same trend. Ball control with short passes.

Does this mean we should not attack deep? No, but it is not necessary to throw deep if you don't need to.

By the way. Manning had a hell of a time with the Jags. We will probably need so big plays to beat them.

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Short passing is the trend. The overall schemes are short passing attacks. These have developed since the advent of the west coast offense and continued. Short routes allow the QB to deliver the ball quicker, taking away the recovery speed of the LB's and cornerbacks. The offense has the advantage in the first couple of seconds off the line because the D does not know the play. If the ball is released in a couple of seconds when the D is most vulnerable you have the best opportunity for catch and run yardage pick ups. Also, your linemen don't have to hold the blocks as long.

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