BMagic
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Letting Daboll get his hands on Maye after his work with Josh Allen would be a disaster. They already face a player with a similar style to Daniels in Jalen Hurts. Against Daniels, you'd look to play contain with the DEs/LBs and Cover 6. Force him into working the Intermediate MOF and away from the boundary throws, which isn't something he had to do a ton of with Nabers/Thomas Jr.
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I'd like Maye, however if they draft Daniels, I'll trust it because Kingsbury has an eye for special traits in QBs. If Daniels is the pick, I'd also like bigger receivers like Chase/Higgins that can win more on deep routes outside the numbers than a guy like Dotson. Ironically, Burrow had a similar set up at LSU with Chase/Jefferson and has been able to have the same luxury in the NFL. I have a hard time seeing that style translate to the NFL consistently, but if they decide to go for it, then they need type of receivers to pull it off effectively.
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Same, Colin also said Caleb's camp didn't want him to go to Chicago. Then, Colin had to get back on the air and backtrack at the request of Caleb's camp. Could be a giant smokescreen a la Mac Jones/Trey Lance. On the contrary, Jayden's game is more electric and I wonder if that resonates with someone like Magic Johnson and whether or not Magic has some influence on the decision, being that his game was Showtime in the NBA. I recall Magic being a key player in recruiting Kingsbury to come here once the Raiders deal fell through and Magic promised him they would do all they could to get him his QB preference. This is a fanbase that needs to be revived and Jayden's style of play is more exciting to watch, especially for more casual fans.
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This is why Dan's "coach-centric" model with Ron Rivera was so wild imo. A good organization has checks and balances. Daniels has crisp mechanics with a more refined release, which is to be expected since he's a fifth year player. A coach is more likely going to gravitate toward the guy who they feel can help them win games faster, for better job security. A GM is more concerned with the long-term state of the Franchise and will lean toward who they project to be the best in 5-10 years. Maye is more raw from a technical standpoint and is going to require more fine-tuning from coaches, but the traits and special throws are seen in his tape. I'm willing to be patient with Maye to develop if their projection of him is as a top-end of the league type talent. Yet, if Jayden can be similar to Jalen Hurts, we've seen that work as well.
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I agree, that's why if that stat is counting sacks when he can't quite squeeze through a gap on a rushing attempt, then it's pointless. If it's because DEs can bring him down by merely grabbing his shoulder pads, then that's a different issue. Dane Brugler goes more in-depth on that. In either case, he can definitely go through progressions quickly and has a clean release with crisp mechanics. I see the Lamar/Cunningham/Jalen Hurts type traits there. I'm in the Maye camp because he's shown special things already without having clean mechanics, but that's what makes him more of a gamble on his upside. He cleans up his footwork/mechanics and he could be an perennial All-pro type player in the wide-open NFC. Depends on his work ethic. That said, if GMAP, Quinn, and Kingsbury pass on him, I'll trust it's because they view his mechanical issues as being those they don't feel can be corrected through coaching or they see Daniels having the higher ceiling if the two. Kingsbury had the eye to see the raw talent in Mahomes and got him to go to Texas Tech. His insight into the process is invaluable.
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I'm sure Eugene Shen is crunching all the relevant numbers. The interviews will matter a ton. You need to know if these were a result of LSU's scheme and if like Keim suggests, some of the sacks are a result of Jayden not quite squeezing through running lanes and it results as a "sack" A 24% pressure to sack ratio is unplayable in the NFL, would absolutely have to be mitigated. If he can maintain a higher playing weight, he'll be able to brush off more sack attempts as well.
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Thanks so much! Our team became so hard to watch, I started watching RedZone more and more on Sundays and the product put out by other franchises was wildly superior. I just want us to get back to that same level and who the team picks at #2 is a large key to the puzzle. I was crushed when we missed on being able to pick Burrow by one spot and I see this as being the chance to get it right. It's a QB driven league now and watching Mahomes, LJack, Allen, Burrow duke it out in the AFC lets me know the NFC is there for the taking. Jordan Love is on the rise, but outside of him, the NFC has solid guys like Dak, Hurts, Purdy, Kyler (playbook issues aside) but these aren't guys that can really keep teams from ascending. Caleb and who is selected at 2 will be in a great spot in a wide open conference. New ownership group, new GM, new Coach, new QB all at once. It's so rare for the universe to align like that, especially around these parts. I was fortunate enough to meet Mitchell Rales at Glenstone randomly and he could not have been a nicer person. I knew right then and there that we were finally in good hands with this ownership group.
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Projection is the hardest part. A different sport, but I saw Kemba Walker will his UCONN squad to a National Championship after leading them through the Big East Tournament. I never thought he'd end up having a better pro career than Kyrie Irving, who only played 11 games at Duke. Same position, relatively the same size players. It's levels to it and Kemba has had a solid career nonetheless. Kyrie has had ups and downs, but is a Hall of Famer with one of the most iconic shots in NBA history. In football, it's even tougher to evaluate QBs because guys play in different schemes and the talent level of teammates and between teams is so widespread across the board. Mahomes was absolutely lighting it up at Texas Tech and had footwork issues coming into the league. Reid/Ryan Poles saw something there, as did Kingsbury. If Kingsbury sees similar traits in one of these top guys, I'll trust his judgement even though the final call comes down to Peters.
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I can see where you're coming from for sure. When the 49ers scored the FG in OT, I knew they loss right then and there because Mahomes is that guy. I actually figured the Chiefs would repeat before the season started because I see Mahomes as being that transcendly great. Not trying to make excuses for Allen, but we may look at his career differently if it weren't for 13 seconds and Mahomes/Kelce/Hill. Then, they were cooked with the Hamlin situation the year they played Burrow. No excuse for Mahomes coming to his house and getting it done this past season though, that's going to haunt Allen for a while. Wide-right is Buffalo's version of the yips. Maye could have that dog in him that we haven't seen yet since the team surrounding him wasn't quite up to par. Growing up in a house with four older brothers (all athletes at that) meant he had to scrap to earn his keep and their respect. That type of environment can groom a person to be extremely competitive. Nothing was handed to him in that house. Turned down Saban and Alabama and kept his family ties to UNC. He had to know he wouldn't have been surrounded by as much talent and still decided to take on that challenge. The opposing viewpoint could be he ducked the pressure of playing at Alabama. The worrisome thing is all Butch Davis QBs seem to enter the league with bad habits.
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I definitely agree concerning his footwork, but there have been many prospects coming into the league with sloppy footwork who end up figuring it out. The interviews with him will be key to gauge whether or not he's already working on it, since I find it hard to imagine he hasn't heard that critique about his game. Part of the projection will be figuring out if his footwork issues are what the coaches feel can be tweaked or if they're too far gone for them to want to try to rectify. Jordan Love had to sit for a while to get his footwork straight. You see the improvisation, frozen rope throws, tight windows throws between the hashes, slides when running, and pretty much carrying a program on his shoulders. I saw someone posted the wins above replacement stat. Makes sense, UNC was smoked in their bowl game without him and the year prior he was incredible in their Bowl game against Oregon. He just makes the types of throws that other guys can only dream of and if he figures out the footwork you're looking at a guy who could be Josh Allen/Herbert/a mobile Big Ben type QB. I see more Alex Smith in McCarthy, but he wasn't asked to carry Michigan so perhaps I'm being unfair to him and his untapped potential. It'd be a bad use of an asset to draft him at 2 since other teams likely have him as the fourth QB on their boards, but you can't really trade down past 4-5 if you really like him. They'd be in a tough pickle if they like him over Maye/Daniels and would still likely have to stay put at 2 to ensure no other team jumped up to grab him.
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I love Daniels' explosiveness and a younger me would have been pining for him just to be able to have my own version of Mike Vick to use in Madden 😂. What concerns me are the sack rate and percentage of passes over the middle of the field, since those are usually top indicators of your game projecting well on the NFL level and hard to overcome when transitioning to the league. IMO it's easier to clean up Maye's footwork than adjust the mindset to throw over the MOF between the hashes, and in tighter windows with anticipation. Daniels does go through his reads extremely well and has super crisp mechanics. If GMAP and Quinn/Kingsbury feel they can coach that part of his game up, I'm fine with the pick. But, if not, it could be Justin Fields/RG3 all over again and that's scary to think about if Maye becomes a hybrid of Allen/Herbert. Of course Daniels could end up being Lamar 2.0 and Maye could be stuck at a first/second year Josh Allen level as well. The toughest part of the job is projecting how these guys will fare on the next level. I don't even care much about Yards/TDs in College. It's more about seeing every type of throw at all field levels and evaluating their decision-making prowess, especially under duress. Another thing I like about Maye is already having experience with having to carry a program on his shoulders. UNC was pretty terrible outside of him.
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I know his career own didn't pan out, but Mark Sanchez brings up some interesting points about Maye hooping in high school. Said that Maye averaging 11 boards reveals some things about his attitude/moxie. Rebounding comes down to desire and ability to box guys out, while requiring the toughness to compete with guys for the boards. Touches on him being able to throw with anticipation and not turning the ball over much on 3rd and 4th downs. Also shows that he needs to improve on decision-making.