The Consigliere

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About The Consigliere

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    The Role Player
  • Birthday 12/13/1974

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  • Redskins Fan Since
    1979
  • Favorite Redskin
    Art Monk
  • Location
    Alameda, California
  • Interests
    Writing, Reading, Travelling, Music, Film, Athletics, Comedy etc
  • Occupation
    Teacher

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  1. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Dwayne Haskins QB Ohio State

    Never before agreed with something to such a degree at the start and equally sharply disagreed with everything else, and I was fine w/the Haskins pick at slot (though I would've much preferred to have traded for Rosen). Still, regardless, I'm firmly a supporter of giving your takes, period. We have the ability to avoid reading ones we don't like, or skipping posters we don't enjoy reading. I'm not in favor of muzzling people for dissenting opinions even when it gets to be tiresome.
  2. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Montez Sweat Mississippi St.

    Like many I didn't even realize it happened. At 715 the bed time ritual for my two year old begins, so I'm occupied with bath, dressing for it and reading time, then I get time for a shower, then I'm able to relax, and when I came down, I noticed while rewinding that the redskins were inexplicably on the clock, I managed to rewind w/o seeing what happened (looking away) and then spent a bunch of minutes dodging calls from my excited brother, and praying it wasn't for super-reach Hollywood Brown. I was SO SO SO relieved when I saw Brown several slots before our pick, and then I watched hoping it wasn't stupid and then grew increasingly excited as I saw Montez continue to fall. Fantastic. I hope we find a way to recoup that second (probably not) as I expect it to be top 40 in a fantastic class, but there's no arguing that Sweat was/is more valuable than the 45th or so pick and a pick next year likely to be top 40-45. Sweat was a top 5-12 pick this year w/o the Heart rumors and a top 3-4 edge in a class loaded with front seven talent (and the most athletic of the edge rushers to boot).
  3. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Montez Sweat Mississippi St.

    Generally I saw him associated w/that second tiering of guys locked in to go around 1.04 to about 1.12, most likely in the 6-10 area.
  4. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Jordan Brailford EDGE Oklahoma State

    Interesting athletic profile: His 4.65 40 was in the 85th percentile for the position (drops to 75th percentile when adjusted for size), his burst score was 85th percentile (combining Vertical leap w/broad jump), but his agility sat at 40th percentile. Looked like 12.5 or 13.5 sacks final two years combined, and something like 26 TFL's combined. Not an elite prospect, but an interesting one, maybe rotational value. Unless he's just found himself and will continue to grow, he's probably a rotational guy at best.
  5. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Terry Mclaurin WR Ohio State

    Not a fan at all, and I hope and pray I'm wrong about him. No breakout, let alone a poor breakout age, late overage performer, never a strong market share of the offense. The one thing he has is quality combine performance, but he doesn't have anything else to suggest he'll make it if he didnt produce in college. We'll see, the QB play was awful which could explain the lack of a breakout, but it wouldn't really explain the weak market share and lack of involvement in the offense until he was a significant overage prospect. Hope he proves me totally wrong. I have no problem with that, would be fantastic other than the confusion it would provide, but sports are full of outliers, maybe he'll be one.
  6. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Kelvin Harmon WR North Carolina State

    Diggs is definitely a #1, but the list is just made up of guys that definitively hit, w/a few that are borderline (Snead and Enunwa hit depending upon what you consider "hitting," but they're nowhere in the same universe as Diggs, or Thielen or Hill etc. Interesting thing about Diggs, he was more productive in 2018 than 2017, but he was vastly more efficient with Keenum than Cousins He was 8th, 17th, 21st, 10th, 8th and 8th in all the key production markers with Cousins, while being 22nd, 23rd, 25th, 31st, 5th and 8th with keenum. But the efficiency #'s were really Weird: Cousins vs Keenum: Production Premium: 51st vs 12th Target Premium: 53rd vs 10th Yards Per Target: 81st vs 17th Yards Per Pass Route: 46th vs 17th Catch Rate: 32nd vs 21st Dominator: 18th vs 14th QB Rating when Targeted: 39th vs 4th Target Separation: 69th vs 43rd At least in Minnesota, Diggs was a significantly more efficient weapon w/Keenum at QB than with Cousins.
  7. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Kelvin Harmon WR North Carolina State

    Nah, our picks in rounds 3, 4 and 5 weren't steals, our 3rd was a reach, our 4th's were lacking an injury discount in one case, and just solid in the other, and our fifth's were solid value but nothing special. Our potential steals were Haskins, Sweat, Harmon, and Moreland. Every other pick (most of which I liked as well) weren't "why are they still on the boar" type players. I kinda put Haskins there, I'm not sure how I feel about him. I'm sure every fan base has players they call steals, but I've heard a bunch of guys in national media etc refer to Harmon as a steal at slot, and they're guys I kinda respect.
  8. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Kelvin Harmon WR North Carolina State

    Playerprofiler likened him to Mike Williams, which is really funny when you consider draft capital, and the fact that Williams ran an equally sluggish 4.59 40 at the combine, and had a similarly god awful burst score (24th percentile to Harmon's 15th percentile). Harmon had the better Market Share/Dominator (54th to 41st percentile) while Mike Williams had the better breakout age (67th to 44th percentile). yeah, I would've much preferred Hall to wasting a pick on McLaurin, and we could've gotten Hall, a better WR, as a undrafted free agent as well. Major bummer there. While I like Harmon and think he can be successful, I am worried for the same reasons you are, plus how draft capital will impact his ability to make the roster. Hoping he can stay healthy so he can at least show what he can do and get a fair shot.
  9. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Kelvin Harmon WR North Carolina State

    Most recent Late Day 3 Picks to hit big at WR: 2016: 5th (165): Tyreek Hill 2015: 5th (143): Stefon Diggs 2014: Quincy Enunwa (not exactly, but he did post a 50+ catch 850ish yard year, and then has fought injuries in the two years since, I still believe in his talent) Undrafted Free Agent: Willie Snead 2013: 5th (144) Kenny Stills Undrafted Free Agent: Adam Thielen 2012: 5th (166 Marvin Jones 2010: 6th (196): Antonio Brown: As you mentioned Undrafted Free Agent: Victor Cruz 2009: 7th (209): Julian Edelman 2008: 7th (224) Stevie Johnson So depending upon whom you count, it looks like about 11 WR's have hit that were taken between 2008-2017 at around slot 140 or later (5th round). Not exactly an impressive hit rate. I think Harmon gets a boost based upon his production profile and where he was viewed pre-combine, but not that much. It's also worth mentioning that draft capital tends to make it damn hard to make a roster if you land on the wrong team and w/a late day 3 pick. There are quite a few guys over the past two years that I think could succeed in a different situation. Currently there are a bunch of WR's I either really like, or like and think genuinely could be very productive even this coming season, some examples from the 2018 draft picked in round 5 or lower: Indy: Deon Cain Green bay: MVS and ESB Tampa: Justin Watson Washington: Trey Quinn
  10. The Consigliere

    Welcome to the Redskins Kelvin Harmon WR North Carolina State

    X2, although I don't really care about the tape too much other than in what it reveals about how he wins despite being a sub-athlete.. I like his market share enough, enough, and his breakout age is okay (he broke out in his age 20 season), and if you take a look at what he did in his sophmore and junior years, it's pretty damn impressive. Vs South Carolina: 10-114Vs Louisville: 6-133-1@pitt: 3-113@ Notre Dame: 7-97-1Vs Clemson: 8-155-1Vs ASU in Bowl Game: 4-24as a 21 year old:Vs Virginia 6-94-1@ Clemson 2-13 (yuck)@ Syracuse 11-247-2@ Louisville 7-100-1
  11. The Consigliere

    2019 NFL Draft discussion thread

    Case was fantastic in college, saddled with Jeff Fisher's inept Rams coaching that nearly caused Gurley to retire, then got in an ideal situation in Minnesota before he left for Denver where the run game depended on two rookies, an iffy OL, and two AARP WR's in Dem Thomas and Manny Sanders who both suffered potential career ending injuries midseason (though Dem Thomas was traded by then) , so he spent half the season throwing to rookies (Hamilton and Sutton) and no TE worth a damn. I don't think he's great, but I think there's reason to believe he'd be at least solid w/a quality line (we have that when healthy), and reasonable weapons to play with (we do not have that, yet anyway). I think Keenum could end up doing A LOT for Doctson if he wins the starting job and they don't move on from him. Doctson prorated was basically a 50-750 guy in year 2 w/a limited QB taking shots in Colt McCoy, Keenum will take bigger shots and is more capable of doing so. Considering that was basically Doctson's second year, if he was healthy and Case was healthy, I'd fully expect a 55-70 catch season in his third full season. Case is also fine for our objective which should be to tank for the '20 draft (loaded with talent, especially on offense). We have the schedule necessary to land a top 10 pick, possibly top 5 next year.
  12. The Consigliere

    2019 NFL Draft discussion thread

    Depends on the type of injury. Some are much more dangerous than others. An ACL while catastrophic in the short term, typically is not catastrophic for careers like it used to be. Typically you're out for 9 months, you are not your 100% self in your first season back, but you should be by year 2, especially if you're young. Other injuries, especially foot and toe injuries, achilles etc are much much more dangerous, ditto soft tissue problems, hammy's (just look at USMNT Forward Jozy Altidore, who hasn't played a complete game in a major tournament for the US since World Cup 2010 in South Africa. His chronic soft tissue injuries knocked him out of WC '14, and the Copa America Centenario, and for part of WC qualifying in 2016/2017. He hasn't scored a goal in a major tournament for the US since his shocker against Spain a decade ago when he was just an 18 year old, now he's 29, and the early promise he displayed is a forgotten memory in terms of big game moments, he doesn't have any. All largely due to gimpy hamstrings more than anything else. If you draft an ACL guy there's a 90% chance he'll be what he was w/in 18 to 24 months, and playable within 9-12 months. That's not a concern. The nightmare is drafting a young D'Onta Foreman, then seeing him blow out his achilles halfway into his rookie year and never become the same RB again (a likely scenario right now).
  13. The Consigliere

    2019 NFL Draft discussion thread

    I hope and pray we don't end up losing him like we lost Kyle shanahan, Matt Lafleur and McVay. We need to fire Allen and promote him.
  14. The Consigliere

    2019 NFL Draft discussion thread

    I've got no issue supporting the guys below Allen and Snyder, but them? No, not changing my mind on them. We've got two decades of proof that Snyder's a hopeless idiot, and nearly a decade of proof that Allen is a scumbag and an incompetent fool. The fact that they blindly stumbled onto some F.O. talent while not noticing that they had 3 different coaches on staff better than Jay Gruden five years ago shouldn't be an endorsement, it's an indictment. We'll know if Snyder has learned anything if he ejects Allen and promotes from within so he doesn't repeat the mistakes made over the past five years w/the coaching staff, Cousins, McCloughan etc w/his front office talent this time.
  15. The Consigliere

    2019 NFL Draft discussion thread

    Far superior is a bit of a stretch. Obviously Hall is a orders of magnitude more athletic (90th percentile Speed Score, 99th Percentile Burst (explosion drills), production and breakout ages are very similar. I don't really understand why Hall wasn't drafted especially when guys like McLaurin were. It makes zero sense to me. I like Harmon a lot, but yes, the athleticism may be a deal breaker, and that's why he fell. We'll see.