The Consigliere Posted October 9, 2022 Share Posted October 9, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, srtman04 said: Hope they are smart enough to tank the rest of the season. They need to take advantage of this upcoming QB class... They are not. Historically when the team has had starts this bad, they've blown it with meaningless wins to play their way out of top draft picks. The most painful versions of this happened in the fall of '98, fall of '09, '10 and '11, and again in the fall of '19 and '20. Some years it mattered less. This draft is top heavy in elite QB prospects like 2012, 2017, 2018, 2020, and 2021. Some years it plays out well (2012, 2017, 2020) some years it doesn't or seems not to (2018, 2021). We'll see how this one plays out. For now, it does look like there's a top 2 again, and 4 or so likely to go top 10-12. Before the season started if memory serves, I put our ceiling at around 9-10 wins, our floor at about 4-5, and our expected wins just in line with Vegas at 7 or 7.5. Now looking at the schedule, 5-7 wins seems the most likely. We're going to need to keep that as low as possible and while infuriating is a strong word, winning the season opener was a complete and total disaster since we likely won't win opponent winning percentage tie breakers. Our chief competitors in slotting who seem likely to be interested in QB include Seattle, Chicago, Houston, Atlanta, NYJ, Carolina, and Detroit (am I forgetting anyone?). I definitely see Seattle, Carolina and Detroit as prioritizing QB, the others are more open to question.... Praying we stall out at 4-13, or 5-12 at best, if we win more than 5, we probably pick up the leftover crumbs. We're benefiting potentially from teams being caught between QB's which should help as well as teams like NYG, catching a run, and likely playing themselves out of options. I don't know what teams like Atlanta, Chicago, NYJ, New Orleans, Indy, Houston, and Tennessee will do. All of them save for New Orleans and Indy have young potential answers in house, do they still want a QB? I think Chicago and NYJ will stand pat, but pending record, I think Atlanta, New Orleans, Indy and Houston might pull the record if they crap out enough. I will note, this was one of many reasons I've wanted us to trade down for future picks the last three drafts and been increasingly frustrated that we haven't. One day we'll be run by forward thinking GM's, but it's probably unlikely to be soon. Btw, if you want to know a sign about the team being run by halfway intelligent people, look for them to unload players at the deadline to improve the tank, and add picks for the loaded '23 class. Needless to say, THEY WON'T, but they sure as hell should, and a smart team WOULD. To be fair to the chuckleheads that have run this team into the ground over the past 30 years or so, almost no NFL teams utilize the trade deadline because this is the ultimate CYA league where coaches and GM's fear losing their gigs if they waive the white flag on seasons, but when you have a loaded QB draft, and your team lacks an answer at QB, you sure as hell should. Edited October 9, 2022 by The Consigliere 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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