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The Non-Winter Weather Thread


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Just now, skinsmarydu said:

Some days, like today, I actually question your humanity.  Swear, you're a bot. 

THIS YEAR.  That's what you're judging this on?

 Just another indication that stupidity is absolutely free. 


 

What are you talking about it? I was referring to this year, regarding hurricanes, yes.

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8 hours ago, CousinsCowgirl84 said:


 

What are you talking about it? I was referring to this year, regarding hurricanes, yes.

 

This year currently stands at the 2nd most active season and it's not over yet:

 

2020 Atlantic hurricane season already second most active in history

Quote

As of Monday, Oct. 5, there have been 25 named tropical systems, well above average for this point in the season. Typically, there are just 12 named storms in an entire season. It is very rare for there to be more than 21 named storms in one season, but when it happens, the Greek alphabet is used to name the storms.

 

Of those 25 named storms in 2020, nine made landfall in the contiguous United States, which ties the record from 1916 for the most ever in one season. 

 

Three more named storms will break the record for most active, and storm Delta will be making landfall which will break the record for most making landfall.  And again, the season isn't over yet. Your simply wrong if you thing this isn't one of the worst, if not the worst (which it may well be before the season is over) years on record.

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It is not the worst in terms of damage and deaths, not even close, look it up @China.  


Of course we are only talking about up to this point, things can change.

 

but it is unlikely that this will be the worst hurricane season.

 

 

it gems of strength/power of tropical storms it has a long way to go before it becomes the worst.

 

The ACE (accumulated cyclone energy) index is a way to measure that,  right now it is at around 115, which is just above average for an entire season.

 

http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic

115 won’t even crack the top ten, and we would have to get above 180 to do it.

 

on order to be the worst in modern history it would need to climb to above 250.


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_cyclone_energy

 

theoretically possible but unlikely.

 

 

QED on this not being close to the worst hurricane season...

 

Edited by CousinsCowgirl84
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14 hours ago, Mr. Sinister said:

Our criteria for" Worse" is a bit different. 


most storms seems like bad criteria for worse, which is the only criteria you could use to say worst? 

 

 

focusing on damage, deaths, or energy content is better criteria, so that’s what I’ll roll with.

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4 hours ago, CousinsCowgirl84 said:


most storms seems like bad criteria for worse, which is the only criteria you could use to say worst? 

 

 

focusing on damage, deaths, or energy content is better criteria, so that’s what I’ll roll with.

 

I can see that...

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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast to Pass Near Bermuda as a Hurricane Thursday or Friday

 

Tropical Storm Epsilon is expected to intensify into a hurricane in the central Atlantic Ocean before tracking close to Bermuda late this week. While not a U.S. threat, it may help generate high surf along the East Coast later this week.

 

Epsilon became the 26th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season late Monday morning, beating the previous record earliest 26th storm of the 2005 hurricane season - Nov. 22, 2005 - by over a month, according to Phil Klotzbach, Colorado State University tropical scientist.

 

This newly formed tropical storm is centered about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda and is moving little at this time.

 

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Zeta could be Category 2 hurricane at landfall late this afternoon

 

BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Hurricane Zeta continues to show signs of strengthening as it approaches the southeast Louisiana coast.

 

Governor John Bel Edwards will hold a news conference at 1 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 28 as Hurricane Zeta is expected to make landfall. WAFB will carry the governor’s news conference live on air, online, on streaming devices, and on the WAFB 9News app.

 

The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) calls for Zeta to become a Category 2 hurricane prior to landfall.

 

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Tropical Storm Eta becomes record-tying 28th storm of the season

 

NEW ORLEANS — We have our 28th named storm of the season as Tropical Storm Eta forms in the Caribbean Saturday night.

 

This ties the historic 2005 season for total number of storms in a season.

 

Eta has max winds of 40 mph as it is moving to the west at 15 mph.

 

It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Monday as it nears Nicaragua.

 

A hurricane watch is in effect for the northeastern coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.

 

Heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Jamaica and Hispaniola this weekend.

 

This will be the first time Eta is used. The 2005 season only went through Zeta.

 

After the 2005 season, post-season analysis identified a subtropical storm that went unclassified during the season. It is referred to as "Unnamed tropical storm." This is why Eta would only tie the number of total storms, despite the name never being used in 2005.

 

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Hurricane Eta rapidly intensified and is now a major Category 4 hurricane nearing landfall

 

Slow-moving Eta, which rapidly intensified overnight, is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and strong winds to Nicaragua and Honduras. Portions of Central America could receive nearly 3 feet of rain, resulting in catastrophic flooding and landslides in some areas.

 

"Eta has become an impressive November hurricane as it continues to undergo rapid strengthening," the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Monday afternoon.


Eta's wind speed has doubled in the past 24 hours, strengthening by a remarkable 65 mph since 4 p.m. EST Sunday, when the storm was only a tropical storm. This is nearly double the qualification for rapid intensification -- a wind speed increase of 35 mph in 24 hours.


It is now a dangerous Category 4 hurricane, with sustained winds of 130 mph and higher gusts.

 

https://dynaimage.cdn.cnn.com/cnn/animations/w_1100,ac_none/201102101140-desktop-weather-1102-1000.mp4

 

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Hurricane Eta forecast: Much of Florida must keep an eye on this rare November threat

 

In U.S. landfall terms, November is historically the quietest month of the hurricane season. With just ten historical tropical storm or hurricane strikes since 1851, November has the same number of recorded U.S. landfalls as May, a month that is not (yet) part of the season.

 

And yet: There are more storms in the Gulf and Caribbean than are dreamt of in climatology, and Florida faces a real risk of impacts from Tropical Storm Eta over the next week or more. 

 

While you’d be forgiven for having checked out of tropical weather long ago, Eta has had a busy week. The record-tying 28th named storm of the 2020 season rapidly intensified Monday into a high-end Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, becoming the third-strongest November hurricane on record.

 

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Tropical Storm Eta threatens Cuba and south Florida

 

Tropical Storm Eta is lashing the Caribbean with torrential rainfall and damaging winds early Sunday as it approaches Cuba.

 

The storm is currently moving northeast away from the Cayman Islands and toward central Cuba at 13 mph as of 1 a.m. ET. It has sustained winds of 65 mph with tropical storm-force winds extending up to 115 miles out from the storm's center.


The center of the storm is forecast to cross central Cuba in the next few hours and approach south Florida and the Florida Keys later Sunday. Eta will then pass near or over south Florida and the Florida Keys Sunday night and Monday, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.


Tropical storm conditions are forecast by late Sunday in the Florida Keys and along portions of the southeast Florida coast, according to the hurricane center.

 

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