kleese Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 www.edkleese.blogspot.com Last Week: 11-5 Season: 24-8 Record Picking Redskins Games: 1-1 Against the Spread: 5-2-1 Lock of the Week: 2-0 Last Week’s Pats: Rode the Packers to an upset win for the second straight week. I also nailedthe Vikings-Lions game right down to the final score. But my “pat on the back” of the week goesto my Colts-Titans prediction. Many thought I was nuts to predict a close Colts victory, but I came within one point of getting that final score exactly correct as well. Last Week’s Apologies: Got burned by the Rams for the second straight week, but the game I really didn’t see coming was Tampa Bay’s dismantling of New Orleans. The Saints look simply horrendous right now. This Week’s Picks: Arizona at Baltimore: Don’t be too quick to dismiss the Cardinals here. The Ravens will most likely give Matt Leinart a hard time, but Arizona’s defense is no slouch. I see a tight, low-scoring affair. Ravens 16, Cardinals 13 San Diego at Green Bay: A brutal way to start the season for San Diego opening at home with Chicago and then two long road trips to New England and Green Bay. Frustration is already mounting for the Chargers offense and they won’t get much relief this week from a solid Green Bay defense. Having said that, I do think San Diego finds a way to win this one. Chargers 20, Packers 17 St. Louis at Tampa Bay: I am 0-2 predicting the Rams this year (the team I picked to win the NFC West). Not only are they 0-2, but they are 0-2 at home. Now, they go on the road to face a Tampa team that throttled the Saints last week. For now, I am going to be stubborn and stick with the Rams. But if they lose this one, I am officially off the bandwagon. Rams 21, Bucs 17 San Francisco at Pittsburgh: The 49ers defense is for real, period. That unit is getting after people, and I think the Steelers offense is in for a rude awakening this week. But I do not yet trust Alex Smith to lead his team on the road against a quality defense. Steelers 17, 49ers 13 Detroit at Philadelphia: This is simply a “law of averages” prediction. So far, there is little evidence to think the 0-2 Eagles will beat the 2-0 Lions. But I just can’t see Detroit at 3-0, while Philly sits at 0-3. Look for a big game from Brian Westbrook. Eagles 24, Lions 20 Miami at New York Jets: Whoever loses this one can pretty much pack it in for 2007. The Dolphins should be getting their luggage ready. Jets 20, Dolphins 16 Buffalo at New England: Won’t be quite as ugly as many expect because I could see the Pats “playing down” to the Bills a bit this week. Still, the Bills have no chance to win this game. Patriots 27, Bills 14 Minnesota at Kansas City: Desperation time in Kansas City. If you enjoy watching quality quarterback play, under no circumstances should you tune into this game. Flip a coin and take the home team. Chiefs 19, Vikings 16 Indianapolis at Houston: Losing Andre Johnson is a gigantic blow for the super-hot Texans. Without Johnson, the Colts will be able to clamp down on the Texans attack and shrink the field for Matt Schaub. Houston has caught everyone’s attention—including the Colts. Colts 30, Texans 17 Cincinnati at Seattle: The Bengals defense is coming off one of the worst performances in NFL history. Seattle is coming off a loss they almost literally “handed” to Arizona. I expect both teams to be a bit ornery this week, with Carson Palmer getting the last laugh. Bengals 24, Seahawks 23 Cleveland at Oakland: How do you gauge the Browns after their 51 point explosion? Was it legitimate, or a freak occurrence against a leaky defense? Hard to say at this point. For now, I’ll give Derek Anderson the benefit of the doubt. Browns 22, Raiders 20 Jacksonville at Denver: The Broncos are two plays away from being 0-2, but winning close games is a good sign—especially for Jay Cutler. It won’t be that close this week as Jacksonville’s pathetic offense will be stonewalled by the Denver defense. Broncos 20, Jaguars 9 New York Giants at Washington: If the Giants fall to 0-3, and 0-2 in the NFC East, the current media swarm will turn into a frenzy and the Giants will melt away for 2007. This is a must-win for New York and a must-win for Washington if they expect anyone to take their 2-0 start seriously. Despite the Giants laughable defense, expect a close game. Redskins 23, Giants 20 Carolina at Atlanta: The Falcons are just what the doctor ordered for the Panthers. Panthers 28, Falcons 13 Dallas at Chicago: Upset of the week. I was as unimpressed with the Bears offense in week as I was in week one. Dallas certainly won’t “light up” the Bears defense like they did against the Giants and Dolphins, but Tony Romo sits to pee will outplay Rex Grossman and lead the Cowboys to an ugly victory. Cowboys 17, Bears 16 Tennessee at New Orleans: One more week New Orleans, that’s all I’m giving you. Saints 27, Titans 20 4 To Score 1. San Francisco (-9) against the Steelers: The Steelers will probably win, but this spread is way off. 2. St. Louis (-4) against the Bucs: A bit nerve-wracking leaning so heavily on an 0-2 team, but the Rams are better than they’ve shown thus far. 3. Carolina (+4) against the Falcons: I just don’t see how Atlanta is going to score this week. 4. Arizona (-7.5) against the Ravens: Don’t trust the Ravens offense to distance themselves in any individual game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RSimports Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 good picks again, I am going with the titans though, they have looked pretty good. and the saints have yet to have an impressive drive/game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soup Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Expect a close game. NO run game for the giants ELi is hurt. I don't understand how the skins can win IN philly and have a close game at home against the Giants? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
70th Week Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 you need to have inserted an apology for the skins pick last week..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RabidFan Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 shouldn't it be AZ +7 in your four to score if you say the Ravens won't distance themselves? maybe i'm on crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsfan07 Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 good call with the Cowboys game. That may very well be the upset of the week, Last year the Boys knocked off 8-0 Indy, so anything is possible. and yes we will beat the Giants, but it won't be as close as you think. i think we own them 31-17 or something like that. We'll score over 30. Any team that loses their home opener 35-13 against GB should be expecting much worse from a better team. I hope we beat them into submission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SkinFaninOKC Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Expect a close game. NO run game for the giants ELi is hurt. I don't understand how the skins can win IN philly and have a close game at home against the Giants? The Giants have Burress and Shockey, who by themselves, are better than the entire Eagles WR corp. The Giants will use the pass to open up the run game. Toomer and Eli's shoulder are wild cards in this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Man, this is a tough week. Good luck with those picks, kleese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRay Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Disagree with on the Steelers game.. I think the Steelers will win big. The Niners do not have enough offense and their run defense is not very good. They will not stop Willie Parker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrfriedm Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 I would not be surprised at all if this is a very close game, that came down (yet again) to a big 4th quarter drive (either by the offense or the defense needing to step up yet again). Unfortantly, I dont' think this team is to the point yet to where we will start blowing team out, instead I think that we are the type of team that will just grind it out and find a way to win at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRay Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 I would not be surprised at all if this is a very close game, that came down (yet again) to a big 4th quarter drive (either by the offense or the defense needing to step up yet again). Unfortantly, I dont' think this team is to the point yet to where we will start blowing team out, instead I think that we are the type of team that will just grind it out and find a way to win at the end. I agree I do not think this team has the killer instint right now they have to grind out wins but, hey I take an ugly win over an ugly lost anyday of the week:D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMat184 Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 When do we ever beat a team that we should clearly beat on paper? I feel confident in a win but winning big? I'm just never confident enough saying that about our team....We should, however, open up the playbook and throw deep and often and bury them early as their DBs are extremely suspect at best. Lloyd might have a good game if he can see the field this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocky21 Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Kleese like the Skins over the Giants. :fingersx: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins n' Bones Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 The Giants have Burress and Shockey, who by themselves, are better than the entire Eagles WR corp. The Giants will use the pass to open up the run game. Toomer and Eli's shoulder are wild cards in this game. Isn't Burress banged up too?? I thought he was....maybe I'm wrong.... You know Williams is going to key on Ellie early in the game....hit him hard a couple times and see if he can stand it. I won't say I expect it, but I could see the Skins making a statement in this game and crushing the G-men.....I believe Sam Huff is the honorary captain for this one, so the team needs to watch the segment in the 75th anniversary DVD about his "revenge game," and let him talk to them about it too. The Detroit game looks like it could be that one game that the Skins should win, but don't.....hopefully not though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inigo Montoya Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 I think this week is going to burn you. I mean no offense, but usually I agree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oldfan Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Jacksonville at Denver: The Broncos are two plays away from being 0-2, but winning close games is a good sign—especially for Jay Cutler. It won’t be that close this week as Jacksonville’s pathetic offense will be stonewalled by the Denver defense.Broncos 20, Jaguars 9 You missed this one, kleese. The bottom-feeder Bills led Denver except for the last second of the game and the bottom-feeder Raiders nearly took the Broncs at Mile High. Denver has a major Red Zone problem and Elam isn't sharp. Right now, the Jags are the better football team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oldskool Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Good luck kleese. Most of the time you seem to be spot on, but you're off this week on a few. Ravens over Cardinals Chargers over Packers Bucs over Rams Steelers over 49ers Lions over Eagles Jets over Dolphins Patriots over Bills Vikings over Chiefs Colts over Texans Bengals over Seahawks Raiders over Browns Broncos over Jaguars Redskins over Giants Panthers over Falcons Chicago over Dallas Titans over Saints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kleese Posted September 19, 2007 Author Share Posted September 19, 2007 You missed this one, kleese. One thing I try to do is not look so much at what happens week to week, and instead focus on how I really feel about each team. With the way the NFL is now, you'll get burned making assumptions that because team X played team Y tough, that means that team Y really isn't very good. I just don't like the Jags this year at all. That offense doesn't scare anyone and the defense is overrated. IMO, there are NO "surprises" week to week in the NFL anymore other than a truly obvious one (like if the Bills won in NE). So, by no means do I think Denver is a "lock" to win this game, but I just really don't like what's going on in Jax right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNSTONE Posted September 19, 2007 Share Posted September 19, 2007 Ravs favored by more than a TD over cardinals is a good bet. Ravens seem to only do enough to win, and they might lose this game. SF -9 pts is not a bad bet either. Still, I'm not going to touch this game. For some reason I see the steelers blowing SF out of the stadium. The only reason I see SF covering the spread is because they are 2 and 0, they will give it all they got. Cowboys Bears, this is a tough tough game for the cowboys in chicago. If the bears can get a running game going, the cowboys will lose this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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